The Next Energy Crisis Started Yesterday

[] Bull traps are a nasty trade that can cost you a lot of money. Make sure you know what is a real rally… and what is a bear market rally. [View in browser]( . Bull traps are a nasty trade that can cost you a lot of money. Make sure you know what is a real rally… and what is a bear market rally. [View in browser]( . . [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [] [] This 12-time World Trading Champion Wants To Trade With You! He’s won the prestigious World Traders Challenge a total of 12 times... and it’s no wonder why, when he specializes in finding low-priced stocks that move 30%... 60%... even 100% in mere hours! Now he’s teaching his unique strategy to a small group of traders -- and inviting you to learn his system! [Click here to activate your trial now!]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] This 12-time World Trading Champion Wants To Trade With You! He’s won the prestigious World Traders Challenge a total of 12 times... and it’s no wonder why, when he specializes in finding low-priced stocks that move 30%... 60%... even 100% in mere hours! Now he’s teaching his unique strategy to a small group of traders -- and inviting you to learn his system! [Click here to activate your trial now!]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] The Next Energy Crisis Started Yesterday [Garrett Pic] [Momentum is Red.]( Dear Investor, It’s not fun to experience a bear market rally… short squeezes… or bull traps. But we saw a bull trap hit this market on Friday. Yesterday, as expected, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), my primary tool for momentum, collapsed to 390. Today, it rallied back to support at 400 and swiftly capitulated. What happened? Momentum remained negative. We measure momentum through a variety of metrics. And when we exit the market - like we did on Monday and move to cash - it is not surprising to see a regular trend. We see lower highs - and lower lows. And those lower highs are what tend to define a “Bull Trap.” A stock or index can break above one of the defined support levels and signal that it’s time to buy. However, what can happen is that a short-term rally is a reason why many people come in off the sideline, only to be trapped. Their buys can fuel a loss quickly as the market reverses and follows its ladder-down step pattern. That’s what happened on Friday. Fund managers are cutting exposure to this market in September. There remain a number of bearish trends. The Fed will hike balance sheet cuts to $95 billion. Seasonality is historically bad, with the markets typically selling off this month. Europe’s energy crisis is worsening. Wage growth still lags inflation… and the Fed is likely to hike rates by 75 basis points during its September meeting. So, this is why we move to cash. And, because our signal went red earlier this week, we could avoid the carnage. More importantly, we got out in front of the largest amounts of outflows in the ETF market since April. What’s the Upside for Oil Prices? The energy market was under pressure this morning. But chatter emerged that OPEC+, the global oil cartel that controls the bulk of international supplies, could start cutting production. Oil prices have been dropping largely due to global demand weakness. In the United States, gasoline demand was weaker this summer than during the COVID crisis of 2020. Meanwhile, Chinese demand is stagnant due to ongoing lockdowns from COVID. Watching energy is worthwhile not because of OPEC but because of Russia. Today, leaders of the G7 announced plans to cap Russian oil prices in response to the ongoing invasion of Ukraine. The goal is to affect Russia’s economic war chest and reduce the nation’s profits from exports. In a statement Friday, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen predicted that a price cap would put “downward pressure on global energy prices” and slash Putin’s revenue that funds the war. But… how does this work? In August, a G7 leader told Reuters that the cap would be between $40 and $60 by December 5, 2022. This feels like a game of chicken. Russia has said it would withhold energy products from any nation participating in this plan. If China and India don’t cooperate - as these two nations are among Russia’s buyers - will there be a noticeable impact? And, what happens if Russia simply pulls barrels off the global markets? In a global situation where the supply is tight, Bank of America suggests that price caps could push Brent crude to $130 per barrel. "Even as recession concerns set in and push oil lower, upside risk to prices could come from fuel substitution and Russia sanctions," the bank said, referring to the recent 50-day slide in oil prices. But, "an EU/US cap on Russian oil prices could trigger a supply cut from the Kremlin, pushing Brent prices back above $130/bbl," analysts wrote in early August. That would put us back in a global energy crisis… and would only further accelerate the ongoing deglobalization that creates new inflationary pressures in the coming years. At a time Europe already faces serious supply shortages of natural gas, I’m highly concerned that we could face lower economic growth and higher oil prices. The White House may push to ban exports as a mechanism to keep U.S. oil and gas within the borders. But there will likely be a negative response to more protectionism. I’ll circle back on this and identify the companies poised to “win” from this mixture of policies. I would expect Exxon (XOM) sits at the top of the list. Enjoy your day, [Garrett signature] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] The Next Energy Crisis Started Yesterday [Garrett Pic] [Momentum is Red.]( Dear Investor, It’s not fun to experience a bear market rally… short squeezes… or bull traps. But we saw a bull trap hit this market on Friday. Yesterday, as expected, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), my primary tool for momentum, collapsed to 390. Today, it rallied back to support at 400 and swiftly capitulated. What happened? Momentum remained negative. We measure momentum through a variety of metrics. And when we exit the market - like we did on Monday and move to cash - it is not surprising to see a regular trend. We see lower highs - and lower lows. And those lower highs are what tend to define a “Bull Trap.” A stock or index can break above one of the defined support levels and signal that it’s time to buy. However, what can happen is that a short-term rally is a reason why many people come in off the sideline, only to be trapped. Their buys can fuel a loss quickly as the market reverses and follows its ladder-down step pattern. That’s what happened on Friday. Fund managers are cutting exposure to this market in September. There remain a number of bearish trends. The Fed will hike balance sheet cuts to $95 billion. Seasonality is historically bad, with the markets typically selling off this month. Europe’s energy crisis is worsening. Wage growth still lags inflation… and the Fed is likely to hike rates by 75 basis points during its September meeting. So, this is why we move to cash. And, because our signal went red earlier this week, we could avoid the carnage. More importantly, we got out in front of the largest amounts of outflows in the ETF market since April. What’s the Upside for Oil Prices? The energy market was under pressure this morning. But chatter emerged that OPEC+, the global oil cartel that controls the bulk of international supplies, could start cutting production. Oil prices have been dropping largely due to global demand weakness. In the United States, gasoline demand was weaker this summer than during the COVID crisis of 2020. Meanwhile, Chinese demand is stagnant due to ongoing lockdowns from COVID. Watching energy is worthwhile not because of OPEC but because of Russia. Today, leaders of the G7 announced plans to cap Russian oil prices in response to the ongoing invasion of Ukraine. The goal is to affect Russia’s economic war chest and reduce the nation’s profits from exports. In a statement Friday, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen predicted that a price cap would put “downward pressure on global energy prices” and slash Putin’s revenue that funds the war. But… how does this work? In August, a G7 leader told Reuters that the cap would be between $40 and $60 by December 5, 2022. This feels like a game of chicken. Russia has said it would withhold energy products from any nation participating in this plan. If China and India don’t cooperate - as these two nations are among Russia’s buyers - will there be a noticeable impact? And, what happens if Russia simply pulls barrels off the global markets? In a global situation where the supply is tight, Bank of America suggests that price caps could push Brent crude to $130 per barrel. "Even as recession concerns set in and push oil lower, upside risk to prices could come from fuel substitution and Russia sanctions," the bank said, referring to the recent 50-day slide in oil prices. But, "an EU/US cap on Russian oil prices could trigger a supply cut from the Kremlin, pushing Brent prices back above $130/bbl," analysts wrote in early August. That would put us back in a global energy crisis… and would only further accelerate the ongoing deglobalization that creates new inflationary pressures in the coming years. At a time Europe already faces serious supply shortages of natural gas, I’m highly concerned that we could face lower economic growth and higher oil prices. The White House may push to ban exports as a mechanism to keep U.S. oil and gas within the borders. But there will likely be a negative response to more protectionism. I’ll circle back on this and identify the companies poised to “win” from this mixture of policies. I would expect Exxon (XOM) sits at the top of the list. Enjoy your day, [Garrett signature] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Bitcoin Bull Declares: “STOP Buying Altcoins!” [bitcoin bull]( [Join him for this FREE crypto workshop to learn his higher-probability strategy]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Bitcoin Bull Declares: “STOP Buying Altcoins!” [bitcoin bull]( [Join him for this FREE crypto workshop to learn his higher-probability strategy]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] Since 2019, This Unique Trading Phenomenon Has Racked Up… - 55 double-digit wins - 23 triple-digit wins - 103% average win… - 97% win rate! Of course, these are outstanding results, and the market is unpredictable. These gains aren’t guaranteed to continue. But you should know that these trades have cost him on average less than 50 cents! [>> Learn how it has been possible here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] Since 2019, This Unique Trading Phenomenon Has Racked Up… - 55 double-digit wins - 23 triple-digit wins - 103% average win… - 97% win rate! Of course, these are outstanding results, and the market is unpredictable. These gains aren’t guaranteed to continue. But you should know that these trades have cost him on average less than 50 cents! [>> Learn how it has been possible here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Article Recap - [The Next Energy Crisis Started Yesterday](#i572731) - [Since 2019, This Unique Trading Phenomenon Has Racked Up...](#159893) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Article Recap - [The Next Energy Crisis Started Yesterday](#i572731) - [Since 2019, This Unique Trading Phenomenon Has Racked Up...](#159893) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] © 2022 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: {EMAIL} [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States [] © 2022 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: {EMAIL} [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States