A Tree Falls in the Woods... No One Cares...

[] Momentum remained positive after a lackluster reaction to the Fed minutes on Wednesday. Let’s talk about what comes next for this market. [View in browser]( . Momentum remained positive after a lackluster reaction to the Fed minutes on Wednesday. Let’s talk about what comes next for this market. [View in browser]( . . [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [] [] Trading the Crown Jewel of Tech Stocks with a 70% Win Rate That is the power of the remarkable system that California tech genius Micah Lamar calls "the Perfect Apple Trade." Recently, he even identified a 30% on AAPL over four days, even while the S&P 500 tanked. [See this incredible system in action here]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Trading the Crown Jewel of Tech Stocks with a 70% Win Rate That is the power of the remarkable system that California tech genius Micah Lamar calls "the Perfect Apple Trade." Recently, he even identified a 30% on AAPL over four days, even while the S&P 500 tanked. [See this incredible system in action here]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] A Tree Falls in the Woods... No One Cares [Garrett Pic] Dear Investor, What happens if a tree falls in the woods… and a bear is trying to go to the bathroom… and no one cares? I’m not good at “old adages.” All I can do is react to “new” data. I have read the Federal Reserve’s minutes from the July meeting. And, apparently, I’m using the wrong scotch, because nothing makes sense. The Fed effectively says that it plans to be aggressive with interest rates because inflation hasn’t been tamed. But then the Fed says that interest rates can slow down the economy… and therefore, it will rely on data to make future decisions. I have been looking at these minutes like my dog does when I play a YouTube video of another dog barking. Utter confusion. But I’ll give you my KEY takeaways today… and that should help make sense of this situation. Two Key Points The market had a nice short-term rally in the first 20 minutes of the Fed’s release at 2 pm. From there, nothing effectively happened. But the odds of a 50-point rate hike jumped from 50% to more than 63.5%. Just a month ago, the odds of a 50-point hike were 37%. I talked to one fund manager today - asking him to help me uncork the right analysis - and he simply said… “It’s going to be a 50-point hike in September…” But… don’t discount the Fed going to 25 points. The idea of a 25-point hike in September, and only 25 points, gave me the closest thing to an ice-cream headache. Inflation is bad… it’s not improving, and energy prices are likely heading higher in the fourth quarter. But we could see this sort of accommodation… just because. The only thing that matters right now is that momentum is Green. I’m not shifting any positions because momentum tells me we’re in extremely strong conditions. In addition, buying has outweighed selling… and it could take weeks - not days - to unwind positions to a point that momentum would fall so hard that we’d see a repeat of the selloffs from April or June. We’re not just overbought. We’re so overbought that funds wouldn’t be able to unload all of their positions fast enough. We’re more likely in for a repeat of November 2021’s sideways selloff into January… I’ll let you know when momentum shifts… be patient. The Situation with Nvidia My friend Scott is a professional in the semiconductor world. He knows it better than me. Today, we talked about the news that Bank of America (BAC) predicted a big leg down for semiconductor designer NVIDIA (NVDA) next week. The analyst at the bank sees a possible downgrade here because of the company’s most recent outlook. It might have to cut prices and clear out its inventory in order to help promote its newest pipeline of products. That could hammer guidance. Now, NVIDIA is a leader in its space. Its processing units were part of the shortage that we saw in the new XBOXs and Playstation 5s. Demand has plunged as a result of the gaming problems, and it was gaming supply in order to goose demand. As Scott explained, people waited in line for hours to get access to some of these semiconductor cards. Demand was extremely high for gaming and cryptocurrency mining when prices kept elevating. But now, the entire thing is going sideways, and prices are cratering to clear units. Look at these price cuts… [Price Cuts] We are talking 40% to 50% cuts in prices… and this stock could become a huge loser if and when momentum goes negative. Add it to your Watch List, and then watch it fall when momentum turns. It could be a VERY long fall (and Autumn too) for NVDA. Enjoy your day, [Garrett Sig] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] A Tree Falls in the Woods... No One Cares [Garrett Pic] Dear Investor, What happens if a tree falls in the woods… and a bear is trying to go to the bathroom… and no one cares? I’m not good at “old adages.” All I can do is react to “new” data. I have read the Federal Reserve’s minutes from the July meeting. And, apparently, I’m using the wrong scotch, because nothing makes sense. The Fed effectively says that it plans to be aggressive with interest rates because inflation hasn’t been tamed. But then the Fed says that interest rates can slow down the economy… and therefore, it will rely on data to make future decisions. I have been looking at these minutes like my dog does when I play a YouTube video of another dog barking. Utter confusion. But I’ll give you my KEY takeaways today… and that should help make sense of this situation. Two Key Points The market had a nice short-term rally in the first 20 minutes of the Fed’s release at 2 pm. From there, nothing effectively happened. But the odds of a 50-point rate hike jumped from 50% to more than 63.5%. Just a month ago, the odds of a 50-point hike were 37%. I talked to one fund manager today - asking him to help me uncork the right analysis - and he simply said… “It’s going to be a 50-point hike in September…” But… don’t discount the Fed going to 25 points. The idea of a 25-point hike in September, and only 25 points, gave me the closest thing to an ice-cream headache. Inflation is bad… it’s not improving, and energy prices are likely heading higher in the fourth quarter. But we could see this sort of accommodation… just because. The only thing that matters right now is that momentum is Green. I’m not shifting any positions because momentum tells me we’re in extremely strong conditions. In addition, buying has outweighed selling… and it could take weeks - not days - to unwind positions to a point that momentum would fall so hard that we’d see a repeat of the selloffs from April or June. We’re not just overbought. We’re so overbought that funds wouldn’t be able to unload all of their positions fast enough. We’re more likely in for a repeat of November 2021’s sideways selloff into January… I’ll let you know when momentum shifts… be patient. The Situation with Nvidia My friend Scott is a professional in the semiconductor world. He knows it better than me. Today, we talked about the news that Bank of America (BAC) predicted a big leg down for semiconductor designer NVIDIA (NVDA) next week. The analyst at the bank sees a possible downgrade here because of the company’s most recent outlook. It might have to cut prices and clear out its inventory in order to help promote its newest pipeline of products. That could hammer guidance. Now, NVIDIA is a leader in its space. Its processing units were part of the shortage that we saw in the new XBOXs and Playstation 5s. Demand has plunged as a result of the gaming problems, and it was gaming supply in order to goose demand. As Scott explained, people waited in line for hours to get access to some of these semiconductor cards. Demand was extremely high for gaming and cryptocurrency mining when prices kept elevating. But now, the entire thing is going sideways, and prices are cratering to clear units. Look at these price cuts… [Price Cuts] We are talking 40% to 50% cuts in prices… and this stock could become a huge loser if and when momentum goes negative. Add it to your Watch List, and then watch it fall when momentum turns. It could be a VERY long fall (and Autumn too) for NVDA. Enjoy your day, [Garrett Sig] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets --------------------------------------------------------------- [] "NO MORE Altcoins" Crypto Workshop [jeffry alt coin]( [Learn from a top trader why to avoid this minefield]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] "NO MORE Altcoins" Crypto Workshop [jeffry alt coin]( [Learn from a top trader why to avoid this minefield]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] 20-Year CBOE Vet Reveals: “This is My Answer to Volatility” Alan Knuckman is a CBOE veteran who has made millions trading the market, appearing regularly on every major financial network in the company. But today—after 3 years of research—and billions of data points analyzed… He’s revealing one of the biggest breakthroughs of his career! It’s a research project that helps solve the scariest issue for most traders… [Click here to learn Alan’s solution for volatility]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] 20-Year CBOE Vet Reveals: “This is My Answer to Volatility” Alan Knuckman is a CBOE veteran who has made millions trading the market, appearing regularly on every major financial network in the company. But today—after 3 years of research—and billions of data points analyzed… He’s revealing one of the biggest breakthroughs of his career! It’s a research project that helps solve the scariest issue for most traders… [Click here to learn Alan’s solution for volatility]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Article Recap - [A Tree Falls in the Woods... No One Cares](#i572731) - [0-Year CBOE Vet Reveals: “This is My Answer to Volatility”](#159895) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Article Recap - [A Tree Falls in the Woods... No One Cares](#i572731) - [0-Year CBOE Vet Reveals: “This is My Answer to Volatility”](#159895) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] © 2022 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: {EMAIL} [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States [] © 2022 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: {EMAIL} [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States