Momentum = Yellow

[] Ford Motor Company (F) stock is struggling in the wake of bad recession warnings and concerns around semiconductors. Here’s how many investors can protect themselves against a selloff [View in browser]( . Ford Motor Company (F) stock is struggling in the wake of bad recession warnings and concerns around semiconductors. Here’s how many investors can protect themselves against a selloff [View in browser]( . . [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [Havens Investment Letter] [] [] [] AVAILABLE TO THE PUBLIC... Every morning, before the market opens, A notorious 20-year trading legend has been sending out his personal list of high-probability stock picks for the day. Handing everyday traders just like you a chance to grab $490 on a stock every day the market is open... [CLICK HERE TO GET THE LIST!]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] AVAILABLE TO THE PUBLIC... Every morning, before the market opens, A notorious 20-year trading legend has been sending out his personal list of high-probability stock picks for the day. Handing everyday traders just like you a chance to grab $490 on a stock every day the market is open... [CLICK HERE TO GET THE LIST!]( [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Momentum = Yellow [Garrett Pic]Dear Investor, I planned to discuss Ford Motor Company (F) based on yesterday’s copy. Unfortunately, the trade happened before I could type the letters into TD Ameritrade. We witnessed a 5% drop in F stock on Tuesday. Our manufacturing numbers are looking worse. Consumer sentiment is terrible. Now, 81% of Americans are worried about a recession in the year ahead, according to a March CNBC + Acorns Invest in You survey. History shows that when people are worried about a recession, they start to consume like we are in one. So while the Fed is projecting a solid economy and stating that we should continue with our usual programming, this economy’s soft underbelly can slow down quickly. I don’t mean to bring you bad news. But semiconductors, manufacturing, high-tech, rail, and consumer cyclical/retail look like trouble. And with momentum now turning YELLOW on Tuesday and several sectors showing weakness, now is the time to have your finger on the hedge button. Buying Insurance One of the things that investors do when they are worried about any significant downturn is the purchase of insurance. These insurance contracts are known as put options. A put gives you the right to sell a stock at a specific price on or before a particular date (known as the expiration date). So, if you currently own 100 shares of Ford (F) at $15.85 per share. If you’re worried that the stock might fall quickly in the next two months, you might purchase the May 20, 2022 put option for $0.75. This means that you have the right - but not the obligation - to sell the stock for $15 if the stock falls under that level by the expiration date. However, it’s worth noting that because you have purchased this contract, there are other numbers that you need to understand. First, that insurance is based on today’s prices. So, as volatility goes up or the stock falls (or both), the value of that $15 call can go higher. That would make insurance around that strike price more expensive. Second, if you are buying this contract, you’re going to have a breakeven price of $14.25 if you move to that expiration date. So if the stock is trading at $14.50 on May 20, you can execute the contract and still sell the stock for $15 per share. However, you will have lost about $0.25 on each share because you were truly aiming to protect your interest at the total cost of the strike price minus the value of the put. The contract is valuable to you if the stock moves to a much lower price. If the stock hits $14.00, these contracts will allow you to protect the difference between the $14.25 and the price under that level. If Ford falls to $12.00, that would be a significant amount of money you were able to protect by owning this insurance. One of the challenges is that there will be price competition for these contracts in this environment. Therefore, there must be a seller of this contract for every buyer of this protection. In that case, someone SELLS another person the right but not the obligation to sell that stock at a specific price on or before the expiration date. So, you will see what people are willing to pay for that insurance at the BID price and what people are ready to sell it for at the ASK price. This is important because there may be fewer sellers in times of higher volatility and lighter liquidity, and there may be fewer sellers. And those sellers will set the price. I remind everyone that a market’s entire purpose is for people TO SELL. That is why the focus on the ASK price is so important. Many speculators will purchase the same contract without owning any of the underlying stock. I planned to be one of them today… That strategy would allow me to sell that same contract for a higher value to someone who needs and wants that protection if Ford stock - or any other stock linked to a specific put option - continues to decline. But I missed the trade, and now I must move on. There was quite a volume around that Ford $15 call today for May 20, 2022. (Click on the image to see a larger version) [Ford Calls]( That’s a sign that people are worried that shares could drop at least another 10% or more from today’s levels. I’ll circle back with a recap of the Fed’s minutes tomorrow. If you’re worried about volatility or a selloff, remember that there are inverse ETFs that are cheap and can provide protection similar to buying puts on the SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF) with either straight purchases or options contracts. Later this week, I’ll explain the Triple Inverse S&P 500 ETF - the SPXU. Enjoy your day, [Garrett Sig] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets [] --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Momentum = Yellow [Garrett Pic]Dear Investor, I planned to discuss Ford Motor Company (F) based on yesterday’s copy. Unfortunately, the trade happened before I could type the letters into TD Ameritrade. We witnessed a 5% drop in F stock on Tuesday. Our manufacturing numbers are looking worse. Consumer sentiment is terrible. Now, 81% of Americans are worried about a recession in the year ahead, according to a March CNBC + Acorns Invest in You survey. History shows that when people are worried about a recession, they start to consume like we are in one. So while the Fed is projecting a solid economy and stating that we should continue with our usual programming, this economy’s soft underbelly can slow down quickly. I don’t mean to bring you bad news. But semiconductors, manufacturing, high-tech, rail, and consumer cyclical/retail look like trouble. And with momentum now turning YELLOW on Tuesday and several sectors showing weakness, now is the time to have your finger on the hedge button. Buying Insurance One of the things that investors do when they are worried about any significant downturn is the purchase of insurance. These insurance contracts are known as put options. A put gives you the right to sell a stock at a specific price on or before a particular date (known as the expiration date). So, if you currently own 100 shares of Ford (F) at $15.85 per share. If you’re worried that the stock might fall quickly in the next two months, you might purchase the May 20, 2022 put option for $0.75. This means that you have the right - but not the obligation - to sell the stock for $15 if the stock falls under that level by the expiration date. However, it’s worth noting that because you have purchased this contract, there are other numbers that you need to understand. First, that insurance is based on today’s prices. So, as volatility goes up or the stock falls (or both), the value of that $15 call can go higher. That would make insurance around that strike price more expensive. Second, if you are buying this contract, you’re going to have a breakeven price of $14.25 if you move to that expiration date. So if the stock is trading at $14.50 on May 20, you can execute the contract and still sell the stock for $15 per share. However, you will have lost about $0.25 on each share because you were truly aiming to protect your interest at the total cost of the strike price minus the value of the put. The contract is valuable to you if the stock moves to a much lower price. If the stock hits $14.00, these contracts will allow you to protect the difference between the $14.25 and the price under that level. If Ford falls to $12.00, that would be a significant amount of money you were able to protect by owning this insurance. One of the challenges is that there will be price competition for these contracts in this environment. Therefore, there must be a seller of this contract for every buyer of this protection. In that case, someone SELLS another person the right but not the obligation to sell that stock at a specific price on or before the expiration date. So, you will see what people are willing to pay for that insurance at the BID price and what people are ready to sell it for at the ASK price. This is important because there may be fewer sellers in times of higher volatility and lighter liquidity, and there may be fewer sellers. And those sellers will set the price. I remind everyone that a market’s entire purpose is for people TO SELL. That is why the focus on the ASK price is so important. Many speculators will purchase the same contract without owning any of the underlying stock. I planned to be one of them today… That strategy would allow me to sell that same contract for a higher value to someone who needs and wants that protection if Ford stock - or any other stock linked to a specific put option - continues to decline. But I missed the trade, and now I must move on. There was quite a volume around that Ford $15 call today for May 20, 2022. (Click on the image to see a larger version) [Ford Calls]( That’s a sign that people are worried that shares could drop at least another 10% or more from today’s levels. I’ll circle back with a recap of the Fed’s minutes tomorrow. If you’re worried about volatility or a selloff, remember that there are inverse ETFs that are cheap and can provide protection similar to buying puts on the SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF) with either straight purchases or options contracts. Later this week, I’ll explain the Triple Inverse S&P 500 ETF - the SPXU. Enjoy your day, [Garrett Sig] Garrett {NAME} Chief Analyst, American Markets --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Pick the Perfect Apple Trade -- with 70% Success Rate and a 3-to-1 Reward-to-Risk Ratio [apples in basket]( [Learn the method here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Pick the Perfect Apple Trade -- with 70% Success Rate and a 3-to-1 Reward-to-Risk Ratio [apples in basket]( [Learn the method here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] Details on a Remarkable Near-70% Successful System for Trading AAPL If you ever thought that it’s way too late to see significant movement in major stocks like AAPL... You need to think again… The Perfect Apple Trade Has Been Discovered Thanks to the help of a maverick group of former Wall Street traders… and a state-of-the-art artificial intelligence platform… California tech wiz and renowned trader Micah Lamar has uncovered obscure “trade cycles” in AAPL shares capable of signaling major movement… All in a matter of days... These Aren’t Common Results Nearly all market analysts are clueless about these moves… But Micah’s proprietary system has been able to predict significant moves in AAPL stock… over and over again. Now, You Can See the System for Yourself! He’ll walk you through his AAPL system step-by-step… and answer the most common questions he sees... You’ll even be able to gain access to Micah’s proprietary Apple trading tool… Plus, you’ll see the remarkable results Micah’s system has returned, just by placing one trade on iconic Apple Inc., the crown jewel of tech stocks… [Click here to gain immediate access to this presentation]( You’ll be one of the lucky few to see the Perfect Apple Trade system yourself… And meet the brilliant inventor behind this system… [Catch it all here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] Details on a Remarkable Near-70% Successful System for Trading AAPL If you ever thought that it’s way too late to see significant movement in major stocks like AAPL... You need to think again… The Perfect Apple Trade Has Been Discovered Thanks to the help of a maverick group of former Wall Street traders… and a state-of-the-art artificial intelligence platform… California tech wiz and renowned trader Micah Lamar has uncovered obscure “trade cycles” in AAPL shares capable of signaling major movement… All in a matter of days... These Aren’t Common Results Nearly all market analysts are clueless about these moves… But Micah’s proprietary system has been able to predict significant moves in AAPL stock… over and over again. Now, You Can See the System for Yourself! He’ll walk you through his AAPL system step-by-step… and answer the most common questions he sees... You’ll even be able to gain access to Micah’s proprietary Apple trading tool… Plus, you’ll see the remarkable results Micah’s system has returned, just by placing one trade on iconic Apple Inc., the crown jewel of tech stocks… [Click here to gain immediate access to this presentation]( You’ll be one of the lucky few to see the Perfect Apple Trade system yourself… And meet the brilliant inventor behind this system… [Catch it all here]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Article Recap - [Momentum = Yellow](#i572731) - [Details on a Remarkable Near-70% Successful System for Trading AAPL](#156380) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Article Recap - [Momentum = Yellow](#i572731) - [Details on a Remarkable Near-70% Successful System for Trading AAPL](#156380) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] © 2022 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: {EMAIL} [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States [] © 2022 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER: COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY – NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFP’s communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: {EMAIL} [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States