[] The Federal Reserve will take action on interest rates in March as inflation continues to batter the U.S. economy. We explain what stocks to avoid and one trend that you cannot miss.
[View in browser]( . The Federal Reserve will take action on interest rates in March as inflation continues to batter the U.S. economy. We explain what stocks to avoid and one trend that you cannot miss.
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[] Inflation Nation [Garrett Pic]Dear Investor, Pitchers and catchers are supposed to report to the Grapefruit and Cactus Leagues this weekend… But the baseball players’ union and ownership are barking over billions. So, we patiently wait and dig into stories that will impact your money this week. I try my best not to talk about inflation too much. It’s a topic that enrages a lot of people, and it’s a subject that makes a lot of people sad. Yes, it’s VERY frustrating and infuriating that the value of the money sitting in the bank is effectively worth 7% less than it was at this point last year. And it’s likely going to get worse. This Thursday, we’ll receive yet another update on inflation in the United States, a nation that sits 15th out of 20th on a list of G-20 nations in terms of our inflationary pressures. The target level set for this week is 7.3% year-over-year. And month-over-month, economists forecast a 0.5% uptick. This week’s report is critical because it will provide an answer on how aggressive the Federal Reserve will be when leaders raise interest rates in March. According to CME FedWatch - a tool that shows the probability of rate hikes by percentage that is effectively priced into the market - the odds of a 25-point (0.25%) rate hike sits at 85%. However, the odds of a 50-point hike (0.5%) increase now sits at 15%. (The odds of no hike is effectively 0%). Last week’s jobs number shows that the Fed has reached its goal of maximum unemployment, one of the two pillars of its mandate. The other pillar - maintaining inflation - requires aggressive action to prevent runaway depreciation of the dollar. Simply put: We have too many dollars chasing too few goods in the middle of a supply chain crisis, a labor shortage, and a massive wave of wage growth. The question is how investors can address the Fed’s pending action and what aggressive hikes would generate. The Simple Answer I don’t want people to overthink this situation too much, so I’ll offer you the simplest two outcomes. First, if the Fed moves forward with a 0.5% rate hike in its first action, it will likely impact technology stocks. There are many, many stocks trading at price-to-sales ratios north of 20, and in many cases these companies are barely (if at all) profitable. A change to the benchmark rate will impact valuations of all stocks as investors finally have a risk-free rate worth a damn. Just look in the technology industry alone. There are a few absolutely absurd stocks that are trading at PS ratios that are still north of… 100. Nano Dimension (NNDM) is trading at a PS ratio of 161. Focus Universal (FCUV) trades at a PS at 226. Microvision (MVIS) is at 209. There are dozens and dozens of these companies… and the numbers make no sense. To justify a PS ratio of 209 - Microvision would need to effectively give investors 209 years of its revenue as a dividend over a 209 year period. Just at a PS of 10, a company must provide 10 years of revenue (over a 10-year investment period) as a dividend to its investors… without taking into consideration ANY costs. PDF Solutions (PDFS) - which trades at a 10.3 Price-to-sales ratio - is an example. A large number of zombie stocks - which have come down hard since November 2021 - could see another round of selloffs. And price discovery for so many companies will be miserable. Be careful… How To Make Money On the other side, I can tell you that community and regional banks have been waiting VERY patiently for a rate hike. Remember, lending is the bread-and-butter industry of banking… And when the Fed keeps interest rates artificially low, it’s hard for them to generate money. Now - I will note that lending has been very difficult for banks over the duration of the pandemic. However, there’s a major trend in the banking space - and a simple valuation trick - that provides ample upside for the industry. Tomorrow, I’m going to break down this trend further - and give you a few stocks that will certainly benefit from the Fed’s action AND this 35-year trend that has produced incredible wealth for patient investors. Enjoy your day, [Garrett Sig] Garrett {NAME}
Chief Analyst, American Markets []
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[] Inflation Nation [Garrett Pic]Dear Investor, Pitchers and catchers are supposed to report to the Grapefruit and Cactus Leagues this weekend… But the baseball players’ union and ownership are barking over billions. So, we patiently wait and dig into stories that will impact your money this week. I try my best not to talk about inflation too much. It’s a topic that enrages a lot of people, and it’s a subject that makes a lot of people sad. Yes, it’s VERY frustrating and infuriating that the value of the money sitting in the bank is effectively worth 7% less than it was at this point last year. And it’s likely going to get worse. This Thursday, we’ll receive yet another update on inflation in the United States, a nation that sits 15th out of 20th on a list of G-20 nations in terms of our inflationary pressures. The target level set for this week is 7.3% year-over-year. And month-over-month, economists forecast a 0.5% uptick. This week’s report is critical because it will provide an answer on how aggressive the Federal Reserve will be when leaders raise interest rates in March. According to CME FedWatch - a tool that shows the probability of rate hikes by percentage that is effectively priced into the market - the odds of a 25-point (0.25%) rate hike sits at 85%. However, the odds of a 50-point hike (0.5%) increase now sits at 15%. (The odds of no hike is effectively 0%). Last week’s jobs number shows that the Fed has reached its goal of maximum unemployment, one of the two pillars of its mandate. The other pillar - maintaining inflation - requires aggressive action to prevent runaway depreciation of the dollar. Simply put: We have too many dollars chasing too few goods in the middle of a supply chain crisis, a labor shortage, and a massive wave of wage growth. The question is how investors can address the Fed’s pending action and what aggressive hikes would generate. The Simple Answer I don’t want people to overthink this situation too much, so I’ll offer you the simplest two outcomes. First, if the Fed moves forward with a 0.5% rate hike in its first action, it will likely impact technology stocks. There are many, many stocks trading at price-to-sales ratios north of 20, and in many cases these companies are barely (if at all) profitable. A change to the benchmark rate will impact valuations of all stocks as investors finally have a risk-free rate worth a damn. Just look in the technology industry alone. There are a few absolutely absurd stocks that are trading at PS ratios that are still north of… 100. Nano Dimension (NNDM) is trading at a PS ratio of 161. Focus Universal (FCUV) trades at a PS at 226. Microvision (MVIS) is at 209. There are dozens and dozens of these companies… and the numbers make no sense. To justify a PS ratio of 209 - Microvision would need to effectively give investors 209 years of its revenue as a dividend over a 209 year period. Just at a PS of 10, a company must provide 10 years of revenue (over a 10-year investment period) as a dividend to its investors… without taking into consideration ANY costs. PDF Solutions (PDFS) - which trades at a 10.3 Price-to-sales ratio - is an example. A large number of zombie stocks - which have come down hard since November 2021 - could see another round of selloffs. And price discovery for so many companies will be miserable. Be careful… How To Make Money On the other side, I can tell you that community and regional banks have been waiting VERY patiently for a rate hike. Remember, lending is the bread-and-butter industry of banking… And when the Fed keeps interest rates artificially low, it’s hard for them to generate money. Now - I will note that lending has been very difficult for banks over the duration of the pandemic. However, there’s a major trend in the banking space - and a simple valuation trick - that provides ample upside for the industry. Tomorrow, I’m going to break down this trend further - and give you a few stocks that will certainly benefit from the Fed’s action AND this 35-year trend that has produced incredible wealth for patient investors. Enjoy your day, [Garrett Sig] Garrett {NAME}
Chief Analyst, American Markets --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Get His High-Probability Trade Picks... EVERY MORNING! [rob booker]( [JUST CLICK HERE NOW!]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Get His High-Probability Trade Picks... EVERY MORNING! [rob booker]( [JUST CLICK HERE NOW!]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] [Recommended] Daily List Of High-Probability Stock Trades Every morning, before the market even opens, this pro trader sends out a list of his top high-potential stock picks for the day… And [open enrollment is still available to the public.]( “Stocks with the highest probabilities of moving 5% to 10% in just a couple of hours each trading day.” Tired of wasting time (and cash) looking for “perfect” stock trade setups that always seem to… lose money the minute you enter the trade… move sideways or don’t even move at all… or pump and dump before you can even enter the “buy” button? Let a seasoned trading pro with DECADES of trading success hand select your daily trades for you! Just like trading “side-by-side” with a real professional trader, you’ll get a chance to… “…make $490 (or more) every single day the market is open.” That’s a potential $98,000 a year in trading profits just by simply following along and placing the exact same stocks as a real veteran trader. [>>CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP FOR THE LIST]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] [] [Recommended] Daily List Of High-Probability Stock Trades Every morning, before the market even opens, this pro trader sends out a list of his top high-potential stock picks for the day… And [open enrollment is still available to the public.]( “Stocks with the highest probabilities of moving 5% to 10% in just a couple of hours each trading day.” Tired of wasting time (and cash) looking for “perfect” stock trade setups that always seem to… lose money the minute you enter the trade… move sideways or don’t even move at all… or pump and dump before you can even enter the “buy” button? Let a seasoned trading pro with DECADES of trading success hand select your daily trades for you! Just like trading “side-by-side” with a real professional trader, you’ll get a chance to… “…make $490 (or more) every single day the market is open.” That’s a potential $98,000 a year in trading profits just by simply following along and placing the exact same stocks as a real veteran trader. [>>CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP FOR THE LIST]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [] [] Article Recap - [Inflation Nation](#i572731)
- [[Recommended] Daily List Of High-Probability Stock Trades](#156391) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] Article Recap - [Inflation Nation](#i572731)
- [[Recommended] Daily List Of High-Probability Stock Trades](#156391) --------------------------------------------------------------- [] © 2021 Godesburg Financial Publishing, Inc. DISCLAIMER:
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COMMUNICATIONS FROM GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING (GFP) ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY â NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE: GFP and all the services it offers are for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be understood to be securities-related offers or solicitations. None of GFPâs communications should be considered or used as personalized investment advice. GFP recommends that you speak with a licensed professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED ARE NOT NECCESSARILY TYPICAL OR VERIFIED: GFP communications may include information regarding the historical trading performance of gurus in their services (all verified by a third party), as well as testimonials of non-employees depicting profitable investments and trades that are believed to be true based on the representations of the persons providing the testimonial of their own free will. Please be aware that the claims regarding investing or trading results of non-employees are not tracked by GFP nor can they be verified. As always, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Therefore, results presented in this email should NOT be considered TYPICAL. Actual results can and will vary based on everything from experience, ability, risk mitigation practices, and market volatility... to the amount of money exposed in the investment or trade. Investing and trading are speculative and carry serious risk. You may lose some, all - or possibly more - than your original investment or trade. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR OR REGISTERED BROKER: GFP, including its owners and employees, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers, brokers, or any sort of registered investment advisors with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, any state securities regulatory authorities, or any self-regulatory organizations. GODESBURG FINANCIAL PUBLISHING EMPLOYEES MAY HOLD SECURITIES DISCUSSED: If a writer holds any securities in a communication, it will be disclosed along with the information on the potential investment or trade. HIR, its owners or employees, have not been - or ever will be - paid by the issuer of a security mentioned in our services or communications. GFP, its owners and employees are paid entirely or in part from commissions based on sales of their services to subscribers. For more information, please visit [our disclaimer page here.]( Sent to: [{EMAIL}](mailto:) [Unsubscribe]( Godesburg Financial Publishing Inc., 251 Little Falls Drive, Wilmington, DE 19808, United States