Call my bluffâ¦
[Gilder's Daily Prophecy]
March 18, 2020
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Are you ready for whatâs happening tomorrow morning?
[Enable_Images_Please](It's official...
The longest bull market in history has crumbled.
[But whatâs taking place TOMORROW MORNING could have an even bigger impact on retirees, investors, or anyone else interested in the markets.](
Iâm talking about a possible âmake or breakâ situation.
[And if you act now](â it can mean the difference between watching your investments swing up and down for no apparent reasonâ¦
Or potentially raking in thousands as early as next week.
[Click here for full details on this opportunity..](
Ripping a Page from this Poker-Inspired Novel
[George Gilder]Dear Daily Prophecy Reader,
Just a warning to my readers. In this prophecy, Iâm going to bluff.
Some of you will not want to read it. Hey, it may be hokum as usual. But Iâm going to skip all the gut-wrenching panic about coronavirus, investment volatility, equity values, political vanities, and preen seriously about sex.
Iâm an octogenarian so you know I must be real.Â
But first let me tell you about bluffing. For example, the coronavirus and its promoters are bluffing. They donât really mean it. Rather than fold our economy in response, we should call.Â
Just an idea prompted by a canât-put-it-down mystery thriller about sex and poker by Jane Stanton Hitchcock, a highly sensuous septuagenarian professional poker player. The bookâs called Bluff and itâs just been chosen as one of five finalists for this yearâs Dashiell Hammett mystery writing award.
Telling a tantalizing story of âbillionaires, bimbos, and bigamyâ ⦠âthe Vagina Vigilantes versus the Viagra Villainsâ ⦠she proclaims: âThe tournament is over⦠We won.â
I donât want to tip you off to the plot turns but Iâll tell you this: She knows her game in intimate high society mores and you wonât want to miss the climactic courtroom revelation and revenge.
The poker game is called âNo Limits Texas Holdâem,â in which, roughly, the players all receive five cards and then are supplied three additional cards in series â the flop, the turn, and finally The River, when the outcome is sealed.Â
âWhen you bluff in poker,â writes Jane, âyouâre essentially telling a story that your opponent will believe so that he or she will fold their hand. You have to make your story convincing or else your opponent will call you and youâll be out.â
Iâm not going to call Jane on that poker tournament between the sexes. In professional poker, as she confesses, 99% of your opponents are going to be male. As an old lady codger, she could count on being mis-underestimated like George-W.Â
Jane says: âIf Iâve learned one thing in poker and in life, it is: Never underestimate your opponent.â That is a useful lesson these days.
More important than your Social Security number?
The type of 32-digit code youâll see [here]( holds the keys to a market poised to grow 8,473% or more by 2024.
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Applying Poker to Life
Listen to forensic futurist geopolitician Peter Zeihan: âChinaâs 2010s boom, fueled by a bulge in mid-twenties [demographic], peak productivity and consumption, will give way to bust, famine, and failureâ¦â Thatâs mostly a result of the one child policy, which gave China âthe worst of all possible worlds.â
Also oxidating historically is the great Andy Kessler: âQuestion everything⦠cable, energy, mobile, social networksâ¦. Iâd bet that so-called âclean and renewableâ energy will be set back ten years by low energy prices.
âAnd the end of Chinaâs dominance is surely coming.â
Itâs a new era, and to play it right, they all say, you should know how to bluff. No better way to learn than to read this book, though you may want to wait for Bluff, the film version. Itâs coming from Paramount, which bought the rights in an auction.Â
But that would deprive you of the revel of early exposure to Hitchcockâs dancing dialog and racy style and sleazy sultry characters (with real-world celebrity echoes from the authorâs amazing portfolio of famous friends, who run from the late Jackie Onassis to the larcenous Kenneth Starr, the accountant, not the lawyer).
Zeihan again: âWe are now â right now â suspended in a deep breath moment between eras of history, and the worldâs leading superpower [thatâs us!] is terrified.â
Thatâs like Pearl Harbor or Manhattan Project or Sputnik terrified. Our momentary terror tends to prompt our most glorious successes. The rest of the world better watch out, is the idea.
Zeihan writes: âI lack the vocabulary to communicate how fantastically foolish it is for Chinese state media to spread conspiracy theories that the US army originated the COVID-19 and dropped it into Wuhan.â
I didnât know about that contemptible blunder by the Chinese media. But more important than the maneuvers of the Chinese state are the creations of their private-sector companies that we follow here. Alibaba, Tencent, and Ping An are not going away and they are being joined regularly by more public players in the worldâs most vibrant initial public offering market. China is arguably in the lead in most of the leading new technologies and business strategies in AI, big data, manufacturing, and mobility.
In my boat, technology may even trump demographics. Demographics after all are mostly an effect of technology.
(Zeihanâs also pushing a book, so he may be bluffing. Itâs called Disunited Nations: The Scramble for Power in an Ungoverned World.)
I believe a more important theme than the scramble for power will be the quest for wealth, which is knowledge. Knowledge may well be more readily available in a world escaping from the shackles of imperious governments. We can exploit new opportunities opening around the globe.
Todayâs Prophecy
Well letâs get back to sex. At least in the sense that Matt Ridley explains about having sex with ideas: âIdeas are having sex with each other as never before.â
Thatâs because of all these new industries that some people believe are over, but which become more valuable as the world turns in the midst of chaos and confusion about coronavirus.
You have to distinguish, between tired mobile (5G) and spectrum wars, and new mobile of cognitive radios, and agile bandwidth working in unlicensed spectrum bands.Â
You have to distinguish between cable TV and cable as the chief vessel of internet fiber optics to American homes, like mine.
You have to differentiate between the huffing and puffing between the US government and Chinaâs and the actual advances being made around the world in artificial intelligence and blockchain security, new internet architectures, and new forms of real money.
You have to understand that all the ululations about social networks and their alleged invasions of our privacy should not distract us from the increasingly valuable role they play in our lives. In an era of bluffs and plagues, these companies will move from value subtracted advertising strategies to micropayments and new services.Â
And are you going to bet on the coronavirus to bring us down, or on the fantastically creative new biotech companies that are aiming at it with CRISPR, AI-protein folding, new targeted drugs, and other innovations?
And when you invest these days, you do not want to move in and out, trading and folding like a teenager. You want to choose innovative companies and stay in them.
Weâve been coming to grasp that all the unicorns and other luxury private investment valuations are illusory until there is a liquidity event or a profitability breakout.
As Jane Stanton Hitchcock writes: âAs Iâve learned from poker, nothing counts until The River.âÂ
Regards,
[George Gilder]
George Gilder
Editor, Gilder's Daily Prophecy
P.S. We canât keep a poker face. Itâs official, the longest bull market in history has crumbled but what fellow Laissez Faire editor James Altucher has to show you tomorrow morning could have an even bigger impact on retirees, investors, or anyone else who is interested in the markets.Â
I am talking about a possible âmake or breakâ situation that can mean the difference between watching your next investments swing up and down or having the potential to be raking in thousands as early as next week.Â
[Click here to see this opportunity I am talking about.](
Coronavirus: The story nobodyâs talking about
[please enable images](The mediaâs coverage of the coronavirus has many people panicking.
Left and right people are canceling trips⦠rescheduling appointments⦠and clearing out store shelves on the news.
But thereâs a story the media isnât telling you.
One company is racing to develop the first vaccine for the Coronavirus.
Theyâre accelerating their timeline for development, and the CEO just met with President Trump last week about securing additional funding.
This information is so vital.
[Click here now to get the rest of the details.](
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