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Continuing from my last email...
A new decade is upon us... and it promises to be one of the biggest and most important decades for the market... and for you as an investor.
So whatâs in store for Main Street and for Wall Street?
Well, prepare yourself for a long read... because Iâve got a lot to share with you here today. âº
With that said, hereâs how I look at the markets...
At my core, Iâm a trend follower.
Like the famous commodities trader Ed Seykota once said, âthe trend is your friend⦠until it bends in the end.â
During my career as a student and a trader of the markets...
The most profitable moves Iâve ever made have been to find and follow trends for as long as I possibly can.
The times that my net worth has suffered the most has been when Iâve tried to make short-term windfalls using unproven strategies.
Yup... Iâve had moments in the past where I zigged when I should have zagged.
The important thing is to keep learning and growing as a trader and as a person... and thatâs always been my approach.
In the end... the longer Iâve been in this game, the more Iâve come to realize that the long-term trend of the market is always up.
For example, look at this chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average that goes all the way back to 1915.
As you can see...
The further you step back from a market... and the more seasoned that market becomes... the clearer the big picture gets.
In this example, the picture is very clear.
From 1926 to 2018 the S&P 500 index has returned approximately 10.12% on average per year.
If your grandparents or parents had invested just $1,000 and never added to it or touched it again... youâd be sitting on a $7.7 million fortune today.
Now, Iâll be the first to admit that this is a very long-term picture.
Itâs probably fair to say that none of us have 92 years to let our
investments grow...
Unless you are thinking about your kids and grandkids... and unless some new Star Trek longevity invention comes along. âº
In addition, if you had invested in things at the wrong time and for the short-term itâs likely been very hazardous to your financial health.
Case in point... if you had invested in a NASDAQ index fund around the time of the markets peak in March 2000... you would have lost three-fourths of your money over the next three years.
Based on a unique investing tool Iâll be revealing on December 27th, I would not have been in the markets during that time.
You see, dangers lurk on Wall Street and every decade the markets go through long-term cycles. This was proven out by an investor named Edgar Lawrence Smith back in the 1920âs.
His book, Common Stocks as Long-Term Investments is in part what Warren Buffet has based his investment philosophy on.
Yet Smith went a step further... and by 1939 he had created a timeline for investing in the market.
He called it the âDecennial Patternâ and other than a few exceptions...
Itâs been deadly accurate at predicting the BIG moves in the market over the past 139 years.
Iâve incorporated a version of the Decennial Pattern into the powerful Investing Index tool that I just mentioned...
And this tool has been responsible for helping me predict some pretty big market moves over the past 15 years.
How big?
Well, check this out...
I first called the 2008-2009 Stock Market Crash and housing bubble implosion in my book, How To Profit From The Falling Dollar.
This same Index Tool was responsible for calling the market bottoms in 2009, 2011, and 2018.
Itâs also helped me predict things like the rise in Gold, massive fiat currency moves and of course the 2017 Crypto Boom.
Iâm not saying all of this to toot my own horn... because Iâve been blessed to stand on the shoulders of some giants throughout my career.
In particular, Iâve had some incredibly gifted and very profitable mentors along the way...
And theyâve let me in behind the curtain to their decades of research on the subject of market cycles.
Iâve learned from guys like John W. Henry the owner of the Boston Red Sox and arguably the greatest Trend Follower of all time.
Heâs worth a cool $2.6 billion.
Probably my biggest mentor was Bill Williams... who had only two losing years in over 40 years of trading the commodities market.
Heâs been one of the greatest influences on my trend following systems and techniques Iâve developed since I started trading back in 2004.
The knowledge and strategies Iâve learned from these mentors...
Has led to the development of what I believe is one the greatest market timing systems and tools in the world.
Whatâs more... I believe this system can help you make a fortune over the next 10 years. More on this in the coming days.
So what is this Index telling us right now? For starters... 2020 will be a pivotal year in the next 10-year market cycle. One of the reasons why is because this is a presidential election cycle.
However, itâs not just any election cycle. It is already proving to be one of the most bitter and volatile election cycles weâve had in 40 years.
This makes it that much more imperative to have a plan to handle your investments in 2020 and over the next 10 years.
As I said, Iâll be sharing more about this plan in the next few days... along with the public reveal of the ground-breaking tool behind it.
In the meantime... here are some of my investment predictions for 2020 and beyond, based on what this Index tool is predicting:
#1 Stocks Will Continue To Rise
Based on the historical data that the long-term trend of the stock market is always up... any position against the trend will punish you as an investor.
Truth is, I see no reason for this trend to change.
Quite the opposite.
Now, what I do see is more volatility and some big moves to the downside on the horizon.
But those down moves wonât last over the long run... and the stock market will continue to make newer highs in the coming decade.
Understand thisâ¦
The longest bear market in stocks since 1929 has been 37 months.
The shortest has been just three months.
The average is twenty months.
Compare that to the average bull market at 4.5 years.
Based on these stats alone and the fact weâve been in a decade long bull market⦠itâs practically a given that we will have a correction.
Looking at my market cycle research...
I see the larger part of this correction taking place in 2021 and into 2022 where weâll see a market bottom.
Even so, you still need to be invested in stocks right up until the time of this correction.
At the same time, you need to know when to get out... and my Index tool provides the signal well in advance.
Iâll share more about how my family and I are doing this very passively and getting more than double the returns of the market in my next email.
For now, just know that if stocks arenât in your portfolio you are going to be missing out.
Now I realize I havenât really talked much about stocks... as the Crypto markets have been on center stage for a couple of years now.
That said, weâve been in pivot mode since the Crypto Winter...
And going forward Iâll be sharing the system I use for all markets... including stocks... and how you can too.
#2 Cryptos Will Be Solidified As A Real Investment And Have Another Major Boom
If you bought Bitcoin or some of the other Cryptos Iâve recommended without taking profits along the way⦠donât worry.
Bitcoin is young as far as a market is concerned.
By the time Bitcoin hits 15 years old, it will have an 90% chance of becoming a truly seasoned 20 year market.
Whether Bitcoin or another crypto emerges as king remains to be seen.
However, I feel confident in saying we will exceed the previous highs of $20,000 within the next few years at most.
The trend in Bitcoin is up.
Just look at this chart.
The trend is way up.
In fact it was the #1 investment of this past decade.
As crazy as it may sound, $1 invested in 2009 turned into $90,000.
Itâs practically a lock that more opportunities like this will emerge as the Crypto market continues to develop... and weâll be there to find them.
#3 Cannabis Stocks Could Have A Rebound
Overall, Cannabis stocks took a pretty big hit this past year.
While some positive things have happened on the legal front throughout the year in both the U.S. and Canada, the growth has been lackluster.
In mid-2018 Pot stocks were flying high because of the promise of growth in the soon to be legal Canadian market.
Legalization in Canada came and went... and a short supply of Cannabis put an immediate damper on growth in Canada.
Couple that with very little to no profitability as yet in the major Cannabis companies that are publicly traded... and you have a depressed market.
Cannabis, like Cryptos are the wild west of the investing trend.
I personally like to be in front of trends... and while there will likely be more negative news than positive for the Cannabis market in the short-termâ¦
The long-term outlook is promising, and hereâs why...
Much of the long-term outlook depends on opening up legal pathways and eliminating bureaucratic hurdles that have stagnated industry growth.
The U.S. has already started to clear a pathway for this to take place.
In 2018 the Farm Bill was passed opening up the way for Hemp to be legalized for industrial and personal growth in the U.S.
This is huge... as industrial hemp is currently used in over 25,000 products globally. This includes things like furniture, textiles, food, beverages, beauty products, construction supplies, and automotive parts.
In addition, the impact of using hemp for products such as paper that are currently made from trees is enormous.
At present the U.S. uses one-third of the worldâs paper supply. This figure is set to double by 2050.
Meanwhile hemp has been used as a source of paper for centuries dating back to at least the 11th century and likely much further.
Hemp is faster and easier to grow, taking only 100 days to harvest. Plus, it produces as much cellulose fiber in 1 acre as it would take with 4 acres of trees.
Itâs a win-win-win for people, profits and the planet.
The fact that we havenât been using hemp for paper is truly an outrage. It points to these idiotic bureaucratic hurdles instilled by ignorant and power hungry politicians and greedy corporations.
Hereâs another amazing thing about hemp... it can also be used as the source material for anything made from petroleum.
For example, it can be used to make biodegradable plastics, make a lighter and stronger material than steel, and can replace cotton and plastics in our clothes.
Using hemp solves real environmental issues... and finally, a path is being cleared for this wonderful plant to be used to its full capacity.
On the legal front Mexico is finalizing rules for the legalized cannabis industry and will take a vote on April 30th 2020. Legalization is not a matter of if in Mexico it is a matter of when.
Canada is also working to eliminate bureaucratic hurdles that have stagnated industry growth. Estimates are for a 200% increase in the number of retail stores throughout Canada in the near future.
In the U.S., a House committee recently approved a sweeping cannabis legalization bill called the Marijuana Opportunity Reinvestment and Expungement Act (MORE for short).
President Trump has already shown a desire to legalize marijuana on the federal level. If MORE is passed and signed by President Trump cannabis would go from being illegal to legal on the Federal level overnight.
Cannabis as an investment is not a short-term play. Itâs a long-term play and one that takes precision to navigate. That said, the growth in this industry could be in the trillions when you factor in industrial hemp.
Iâve devised a plan on capitalizing on this growth over 2020 and beyond that Iâll be sharing with you soon.
#4 Oil, Energy Services and Natural Gas
Peter Lynch is the master stock picker of the Fidelity Magellan Fund and his track record is legendary.
From 1977 until 1990 he averaged an annualized return of 29% nearly doubling what the S&P Index did in the same period. To say the guy knows his stuff when it comes to picking stocks is an understatement.
In addition, he managed his late wifeâs IRA from 1974 until her death in 2014. She put just $750 a year into it from 1974 to 1978... and they took out roughly $3 million to pay for weddings, graduations, honeymoons, etc.
In 2014 it was worth $8 million⦠after withdraws. Thatâs an astounding 350,000% return on a $3,000 total investment.
Today, he still knows how to pick stocks. In fact, He believes that oil, energy services, and natural gas can provide triple and even quadruple digit returns over the coming year and decade.
When someone like this talks, I take it seriously.
On the one hand, energy stocks have been largely abandoned by investors
this year.
At the same time, oil prices have bounced back by more than 30% from their 2018 lows and more than double from their 2016 lows.
Right now energy stocks are at ultra-low valuations. Many oil stocks likewise are down significantly over a five-year period.
In addition, energy companies are increasing dividend buybacks... which means earnings are getting stronger.
Then there is the ever-increasing tension in the Middle East, which could restrict oil supply.
Energy companies will ultimately benefit from higher oil prices and higher oil prices are on the horizon.
Environmental issues and political narratives aside...
As a society and economy we arenât moving away from oil and our current energy systems anytime soon. Not in the next one, five or even 20 years.
Combustible engines are getting better and pressure is on the automobile industry to get emissions outputs even lower.
The truth is... while electric cars are beginning to catch on in both the U.S. and Europe... the infrastructure needed to eliminate gas engines and use all electric vehicles only is a looong way off.
So⦠Iâm with Mr. Lynch in his belief that oil, energy services and natural gas will produce some big winners in the months ahead.
#5 Private Equity and Funding Startups
Iâve already invested heavily in this are over the past several years. So much so that weâve spent hundreds of thousands of dollars to build our own platforms to support this trend.
These platforms include our Crypto/secondary market exchange GenesysX, and our Genesys Launch Platform.
Both of these will be up and running in 2020 and we plan on launching some big projects and potentially big winners through these platforms.
This is a market that used to be reserved for only the rich and famous.
Politicians, pro athletes, wealthy businessmen and other elites have been profiting off of this market for decades.
By the time the general public knows about these secret investments, itâs typically after they IPO. At that point, the biggest profits are already off of the table and you and I have paid for it all.
If you want the chance to get astronomical returns of 25,000%, 50,000% and even as much as 300,000% gains in just a few short years⦠this is the place to be.
Now granted, we donât invest a lot into these plays. But even investing $500 into each one, we can experience life-changing gains if just a few hit.
Going forward, Main Street investors will have more access to these types of deals. I have a three-fold strategy to take advantage of this market into 2020 and beyond and Iâll be sharing more about it in the days ahead.
Closing Thoughts
So there you have it.
Those are some of my broad investment predictions for 2020 and beyond.
Iâve devised what I believe to be a very strong 10-year plan to beat the pants off the market... and have enough to have a very sizeable retirement account before Iâm 50.
Itâs called my 80/20 investment plan.
Using this plan you can conservatively use a small amount of money and grow it into a not so small fortune over the next 10 years.
Whatâs more... without risking the farm... and ensuring that your retirement account grows over the coming decade in a healthy and safe way.
Now, depending on where you are at in life you could be a little more aggressive and make this a 70/30 or even an ultra aggressive plan of making it a 60/40.
Iâll be talking more about money management throughout the new year.
For example, with just a $10,000 investment ($8,000 on the 80 side and $2,000 on the 20 side) could grow into $1,783,365 over the next 10 years.
Or if you want to be more aggressive you could see it grow as high as $4,618,243.
At the end of the day... Iâm not interested in get rich quick plans... and neither should you. They donât exist.
Instead, preparation and consistency, mixed with strategy and a little bit of luck win every time.
On December 27th Iâll be sharing more about my strategy... along with the special investing Tool Iâve developed to help me find some incredible opportunities over the coming year.
Stay tuned for more.
To your investing success,
Cecil Robles
P.S. Mark down the date - December 27th. Iâll be sharing more about how you can make as much as $10,500 and more per trade using this tool. This is a big part of our Genesys vision for 2020 and beyond.
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