Whatâs happeninâ everybody? The odds that itâs coming are pretty darn good⦠and thatâs why Iâve been spending a little extra time showing members how to prepare, so they can be ready! No, Iâm not talking about Labor Day weekend. [Iâm talking about a recession.]( Friends, I am comforted by the fact that Iâve told you, time and time again, about how the Fed[ALWAYS]( misses on the timing of their monetary actions surrounding their own economic forecasts. Their âtransitoryâ inflation stance from last year is a perfect example of that. Now, as they lob historically large interest rate hikes at the market in an attempt to destroy the bubble they single-handedly created, they are dismissing the growing odds that they are driving the U.S. closer to recession. [Heck, there are even several experts who claim we are already there!]( As a trader, I am not waiting around to see how this plays out. Instead, I am doing what I always do, which is to educate my members on how to read what the market is telling us because, well⦠THE MARKET NEVER LIES. Iâve tried to explain to you that the market is a snapshot of the collective knowledge of millions of investors around the world. And that combination of retail and institutional knowledge is translated into patterns of major indices like the S&P 500 for ALL traders to read. At the same time, though, there are very large and, oftentimes, very crooked institutional traders that donât want you to see where they are placing their bets ahead of the marketâs next big move. [But I can see them.]( And you know who else can see them? Members of my âsmart moneyâ trading services! Friends, did you know that there are 3 types of economic indicators? They are: - Leading Indicators - Lagging Indicators - Coincident Indicators As their names suggest⦠- Leading indicators provide clues about the future. - Lagging indicators help to confirm economic patterns that are already happening. - Coincident indicators help to clarify what is currently happening. Now, next weekâs trading is going to be dominated by 2 very important leading economic indicators: ISM Manufacturing (also known as PMI) and the Jobs (also known as the unemployment rate). You can see from this chart that the ISM Index, which measures economic health through supplier deliveries, imports, exports, production, inventories, new orders, order backlogs, prices, and employment, has continued to fall in recent months, with no signs of stopping. In addition, this next chart shows that, after a long trend of declining unemployment numbers in the U.S., unemployment is no longer declining. [Look, these two items are just a small part of the puzzle that lead economists to determine if the U.S. economy is in a recession or not.]( This puzzle is complex, and it takes years of practice to learn how to navigate it. Iâve been trading these numbers and educating folks how to do the same FOR YEARS, and I can tell you this: you are NOT going to find the answers using RSI and VWAP. No. As a trader, you need to be able to gauge the flow of money between certain sectors. Sorry to say, that means youâll need special tools that most retail traders either donât know about or are not willing to invest in. Unfortunately, Iâve seen it over and over again, these are the traders that are left saying âwhy didnât I see that move coming?â Friends, I spend my days looking for these flows and interpreting how they fit with other actionable market signals, and itâs my [Smart Money Suite]( of premium, custom tools that help me do it. Look, weâre all grownups here. If you want to keep learning about the big trades after the fact, be my guest. But I will tell you this: [NEXT WEEKâS DATA]( could help determine if the [U.S. has entered a recession]( again. Trust me when I tell you that BIG Wall Street institutions have teams of people working to position ahead of these economic reports, and [my Smart Money Suite is what you need]( to follow their moves ahead of the next BIG market move. Letâs all have a great weekend and until next time⦠Ben Sturgill [Image] [Facebook]( [Twitter]( [LinkedIn]( RagingBull, LLC 62 Calef Hwy. #233, Lee, NH 03861 [Manage your email subscriptions.](   © Copyright 2022, RagingBull  DISCLAIMER: To more fully understand any Ragingbull.com, LLC ("RagingBull") subscription, website, application or other service ("Services"), please review our full disclaimer located at [(. FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY; NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. Any RagingBull Service offered is for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be construed as a securities-related offer or solicitation, or be relied upon as personalized investment advice. RagingBull strongly recommends you consult a licensed or registered professional before making any investment decision. RESULTS PRESENTED NOT TYPICAL OR VERIFIED. 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