After their loss to LSU, Alabama might actually miss the CFB Playoff for the first time ever.
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[FOX SPORTS INSIDER WITH MARTIN ROGERS]
In todayās FOX Sports Insider: A possible glimpse at a strange new CFB Playoff landscape ... LeBron James talks about the real stigma against load management ... and Dak Prescott will truly dance to anything.
Somehow, it is always about Alabama. When Alabama wins, itās about Alabama. Even when Alabama loses, putting itself on the cusp of missing out on the College Football Playoff for the first time, itās even more about Alabama.
The most polarizing team in college football is also the sportās most discussed, and donāt think for a second thatās going to change in the wake of events at Bryant-Denny Stadium last Saturday.
This second playoff rankings of the year will be released on Tuesday evening and itās going to be about Alabama again, with the Crimson Tide seemingly destined for a No. 4 spot that it has a mightily slim chance of holding onto.
That 46-41 defeat against LSU put the programās hopes of continuing its unbroken playoff run on life support, while simultaneously making it the team no one can stop talking about.
Sometimes, when something is about to happen that is so completely unusual, we have a hard time accepting that it could be real. Thereās still a strong line of thinking that believes āBama has a realistic shot at landing in the top four when the final selections come in on Dec. 8. But if the field remains consistent the rest of the way, then the unthinkable could become reality.
āPure playoff privilege still exists and Alabama is the poster child for that,ā FOX college football analyst Tim Brando said. āDonāt think for one minute Alabama is out of the hunt; theyāre not. What are you going to do, committee? What are you going to do? If LSU fans think theyāre through with Alabama, think again.ā
Unless the playoff committeeās model goes into a crimson-colored meltdown, it will, at the very least, take a significant series of events to give Alabama any chance at all. First in order is that Nick Sabanās team must win out, with its only real remaining test coming at Iron Bowl rival Auburn on Nov. 30.
[STORY IMAGE 1]
If we safely assume LSU is not going to lose twice to unranked opposition, Alabama is out of the hunt for the SEC West ā and the overall SEC title. Therefore, while those with Tuscaloosa loyalty may not be too fond of LSU head coach Ed Orgeron right now, especially following his explosive celebratory locker room rant, they still want him to run the table ā effectively taking Georgia out of the mix.
They also want Ohio State to keep on rolling, which would ensure one (and only one) playoff candidate from the Big Ten.
Alabama has a great ālossā on its resume, but precious few quality wins and a generally weak strength of schedule. So next, the Tide would need two of three things to happen.
A defeat for Clemson, unlikely as it is, would seriously help. Then, either the Big 12 champion or the Pac-12 champion would need to take another loss. As things stand, an undefeated Baylor winning the Big 12 would be guaranteed a spot, while a 12-1 Oklahoma in the same situation would be virtually assured a place in the final four-team showdown to crown a champion.
Likewise, if Oregon was to remain with just a single loss and win the Pac-12, it would also be strongly tipped to be ranked ahead of Alabama, given the weighting conference championships receive ... or are supposed to.
Thereās a lot that needs to happen. If it wasnāt Alabama, no one would even be talking about it. Theyād be out of the race, without question. When Brando mentioned playoff privilege, he was talking about what every CFB fan knows to be true: if thereās any team that will get the benefit of the doubt, it will be Alabama.
Still, that may not be enough. [FOX Bet]( rates Alabama at +1800 to win the SEC and +1100 to win the national title. [FiveThirtyEight]( gives the Tide only an 11% chance of making the field of four.
āAlabama has the brand. It has the tradition, the coach and the clout ā it even has the respect of the College Football Playoff selection committee despite a weak schedule,ā wrote ESPNās Heather Dinich. āBut for the first time in six seasons, the Crimson Tide might not have what it takes to finish in the top four.ā
[STORY IMAGE 2]
The funny thing is, there are some truly fascinating plot lines out there. LSU and Ohio State are slugging it out for the No. 1 overall spot, while Baylor and Minnesota have pieced together undefeated seasons that no one saw coming and still have their fate within their own hands.
But weāre still talking about Alabama.
Saturdayās result has led some to speculate that Saban may not be long for college football coaching. Heās 68 now and has been in the job since 2007.
āI think Nick Saban does think about retirement now and I think he is closer to it than anyone in the media would acknowledge,ā [FS1ās Colin Cowherd said on]( [The Herd.]( not saying he is going to retire. [But] after [the season] if Nick said, āItās been a great run. Iām done and Iām going to make $5 million in televisionā, I would be like, āI get it.āā
Cowherd cited several reasons as to why Saban might go, including his age, the impending departure for the NFL of star quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, the availability of lucrative television jobs, the minefield of the transfer portal and difficulty in keeping his best assistants.
For now, Saban is going nowhere; certainly not when an opportunity to play for another national championship remains, however slight. Of all the teams in the country, Alabama is still the one being discussed, debated, and yes ā feared.
LSU might have rolled over the Tide last weekend, and deservedly so, but neither the Tigers, nor the rest of college football, can shake them from the narrative just yet.
[STORY IMAGE 3]
Hereās what others have said ...
Pat Forde, Sports Illustrated: āNot enough stops Saturday. Not enough quality wins thus far. Not enough opportunities to significantly change that down the stretch. The playoff situation is dire at present for the team that has been the biggest part of it since its inception. Alabama isnāt out yet. But it sure isnāt in.ā
Heather Dinich, ESPN: āIn each of the past three seasons, the committee has chosen a top-four team that didn't win a conference title: Ohio State (2016), Alabama (2017) and Notre Dame (2018). While those three storylines are often referred to and still debated, they're also not the norm, as 17 of the past 20 semifinalists have been conference champions.ā
Stewart Mandel, The Athletic: āThe nationās three best teams this year are LSU, Ohio State and Clemson. The fourth is an open question. All we know is that Alabama hasnāt looked this mortal since near the start of Sabanās dynasty. As Orgeron said of his own team a year ago, it has a long way to go.ā
[IN OTHER WORDS]
- Stop what youāre doing and watch Lamar Jackson change football, [exhorts Jason Gay at]( [The Wall Street Journal.](
- LeBron James says the need for load management starts ā and is neglected ā at the amateur levels of youth basketball, [in an interview with Chris Haynes at]( [Yahoo Sports.](
- The Ramsā big investments ā Jared Goff, Todd Gurley and Jalen Ramsey ā may be what brings them down, [writes Jerry Brewer at]( [The Washington Post.](
[THE INTERNET IS UNDEFEATED]
[THE INTERNET IS UNDEFEATED](
When NBC chose to show a clip of Dak Prescott half-warming up and half-boogieing to music on his headphones prior to the Cowboysā Sunday Night Football game against the Vikings, they may not have known that theyād spark a meme thatās still going strong nearly 48 hours later. But weāre grateful that it happened nonetheless. The instant the footage graced our television screens, every football fan knew it was a winner. The hashtag #DakDancesToAnything was born, with fans dropping whatever music they could think of on top of the footage. [You can see an entire Twitter collection of those videos here]( but our favorite is the above tweet, because Dakās hips truly do not ā and have never ā lied.
[VIEWER'S GUIDE]
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[BET OF THE DAY]
[BET OF THE DAY]
Odds provided by [FOX Bet](
LeBron James to record a triple-double against the Suns: +275
King James has been a triple-double machine in the early goings of the 2019-20 season. Eager to prove heās got plenty left in the tank, LeBron had become the first Lakers player in history to notch four triple-doubles through the first 10 games of the season. Obviously it isnāt going to happen every night, but itās an intriguing bet that could potentially earn you a nice return on Tuesday.
[WHAT THEY SAID]
"You don't know how good the good times were until you hit the bad times. But sometimes success is just around the corner."
ā Trevor Linden
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