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Xi in Europe and the TikTok ban

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Tue, May 7, 2024 11:01 AM

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Taking stock of decoupling. MAY 7, 2024 | | ? ? French President Emmanuel M

Taking stock of decoupling. MAY 7, 2024  |  [VIEW IN BROWSER](  |  [SUBSCRIBE](     French President Emmanuel Macron walks with Chinese President Xi Jinping after inspecting an honor guard during a welcome ceremony outside the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on April 6, 2023. Ng Han Guan/Getty Images Chinese President Xi Jinping visits Europe this week, and the reception he receives there will likely be much different from when he last visited five years ago. “European attitudes toward China have soured significantly,” [writes]( FP’s Christina Lu, “fueled by deepening trade divisions and frustrations over Beijing’s expanded economic and military cooperation with Moscow in the wake of its invasion of Ukraine.” Given this, what does Xi hope to achieve on his European tour? He wants to mend ties, Lu reports, blunt Europe’s push to “de-risk” from his country—and push to take advantage of diverging interests with Washington, especially ahead of the U.S. presidential election later this year. That election, and the possibility of foreign interference in it, was one of the main arguments behind the bill signed into law by U.S. President Joe Biden in April [forcing]( the Chinese company ByteDance to divest from TikTok or face a ban of the popular social media platform. In his argument “[Washington Keeps Choosing the Wrong Moment to Challenge China](,” Andrei Lungu argues that the threatened ban will wind up incentivizing Chinese interference, not minimizing it—and that this poor timing and lack of follow-through characterizes Washington’s recent handling of China. In fact, Lungu writes, “it is difficult to look at this entire seven-year process”—since decoupling first appeared as a buzzword—“and find something that worked well.” In “[Nobody Is Competing With the U.S. to Begin With](,” Anatol Lieven of the Quincy Institute goes one step further, declaring that U.S. officials’ obsession with the threat posed by China and Russia to American global primacy is not just leading to a series of blunders but is rather a “serious strategic miscalculation.” Lieven argues that the issues bedeviling relations between the U.S. and its two main foes are actually local ones, and that Washington should consider making a “tactical withdrawal” from them. One other dynamic to note in all of this is that Xi’s visit to Europe comes on the heels of two U.S. diplomatic missions to China. How should we read the recent surge in high-level engagement? Subscribers can catch FP’s editor in chief, Ravi Agrawal, [in conversation with Evan Medeiros](, the former China director in the U.S. National Security Council, on whether this flurry of diplomacy is a sign that Beijing is trying to stabilize ties with the West. Follow along this week as we bring you the analysis you need on Xi’s Europe trip and more.—Amelia Lester, executive editor   Know more of the world for less. [Save up to 50% on Annual plans today.](   New and Noteworthy - When AI decides: A recent investigation uncovered how the Israel Defense Forces has been using AI-driven systems to fulfill its goal of a total destruction of Hamas. Yet its “willingness to strike targets when the risk of bystanders dying is very high” raises questions on how to responsibly oversee—and take accountability for—[reliance on machines]( under wartime conditions. - Public “opinion”: “Figuring out public sentiment is equally important for [Russian President Vladimir] Putin himself, who has a small army of his own [pollsters]( to assess the national mood. But can he really rely on them to tell him what he doesn’t want to hear?” Christian Caryl [writes]( about the harsh reality of public opinion and polling in closed societies like Russia. - Indonesia’s nickel: In an argument for Foreign Policy, Luhut Binsar Pandjaitan, Indonesia’s coordinating minister of maritime and investment affairs, [highlights]( how Indonesia’s natural resources could play a critical role in the global green transition—and how resistance from U.S. policymakers on a free trade deal with Jakarta is more self-sabotaging than beneficial.   [FP Live]( [Fareed Zakaria on an Age of Revolutions]( May 22 | 11 a.m. ETAre we living in an age of revolutions? In his previous books, CNN host and author Fareed Zakaria foresaw the growth of illiberal democracy and “the rise of the rest”—two trends that define geopolitics today. Zakaria will join FP’s Ravi Agrawal for a wide-ranging discussion about his latest book, Age of Revolutions: Progress and Backlash from 1600 to the Present. [Register now](. [Inside China’s New Diplomatic Push]( On DemandIs Beijing trying to stabilize ties with the West? What impact might that have on China’s role in the war in Ukraine and its relations with Russia? Evan Medeiros, a former China director in the U.S. National Security Council, joined FP Live to contextualize the recent surge in engagement. [Watch]( the conversation now. [How to Stave Off a Famine in Gaza]( On DemandThe World Food Program [warns]( that a famine in Gaza is “getting closer by the day.” A United Nations-backed [report]( says it’s “imminent.” With food, fuel, and medicine all in short supply, who is responsible for providing aid to the millions of displaced Gazans? Sari Bashi, the program director of Human Rights Watch, and Shira Efron, Israel Policy Forum’s research director, joined FP Live to answer these questions. [Watch]( the conversation now, or [read]( the edited transcript.   Exercise Your Mind Security forces in Georgia used water cannons, tear gas, and stun grenades last Tuesday against protesters who were demonstrating against what? - Parliament’s consideration of ceding South Ossetia to Russia - Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze’s recent pro-Israel statements - Growing ties between Tbilisi and Moscow - Parliament’s consideration of a “foreign agents” bill You can find the answer to this question and learn more at the end of this email.   FP GUIDE TO GRADUATE EDUCATION [Defining Features That Shape Graduate Programs]( Selecting which graduate school to attend is an important step to help professionals build a meaningful career in international relations. Access the latest version of FP’s sponsored grad guide, through which you can learn directly from top-tier graduate programs about course offerings, interdisciplinary approaches, experiential learning, and external partnerships to find a program that aligns with your career goals. [LEARN MORE](   Most Popular [Cars pass a billboard depicting Iranian ballistic missiles on Valiasr Square in central Tehran on April 15.]( [How Iran’s Attack Could Change Israeli Strategy]( The April 14 missile barrage showed Israel that it cannot prevail against Iran on its own. By Azriel Bermant [U.S. Rep. Adam Smith is seen in the Capitol Visitor Center after an all-members briefing on the Oct. 7 attack on Israel on Oct. 11, 2023. ]( [‘Russia Feels Like They’re Winning’]( A top House Democrat gets real on Ukraine, Israel, and China. By Robbie Gramer, Jack Detsch [People walk past an advertisement featuring the TikTok logo at a train station in Zhengzhou, China, on Jan. 21. ]( [Washington Keeps Choosing the Wrong Moment to Challenge China]( The TikTok ban shows how decisions end up rushed—after being ignored. By Andrei Lungu [A New Age of Empires]( What makes a modern empire, from Russia to cyberspace. By Chloe Hadavas [How Iran’s Attack Could Change Israeli Strategy]( The April 14 missile barrage showed Israel that it cannot prevail against Iran on its own. By Azriel Bermant [‘Russia Feels Like They’re Winning’](A top House Democrat gets real on Ukraine, Israel, and China. By Robbie Gramer, Jack Detsch [Washington Keeps Choosing the Wrong Moment to Challenge China](The TikTok ban shows how decisions end up rushed—after being ignored. By Andrei Lungu [A New Age of Empires](What makes a modern empire, from Russia to cyberspace. By Chloe Hadavas   From Around FP - From Resistance to Resilience: The rapid acceleration of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) has made it one of the World Health Organization’s top 10 public health threats. Join Foreign Policy and the International Federation of Pharmaceutical Manufacturers and Associations in New York for a discussion on the near-term collaboration needed to address AMR. [Register now](. - The Atlantic & Pacific Forum: Join Foreign Policy, in partnership with The Palantir Foundation for Defense Policy & International Affairs, on May 16th for a candid discussion on how AI is transforming alliances and defense strategy from the Atlantic to the Pacific, now and in the future. [Register now](. - New from FPA: Explore a [new issue brief](, with support from Daughters for Earth, Vital Voices, and Project Dandelion, that spotlights the women-led interventions to transform water security, stewardship, and management underway around the world. Also interested in how to strengthen global pandemic preparedness? Check out the [new synthesis report]( on FPA’s crisis simulation, “Fighting ‘Smart’ Pandemics,” produced with support from CEPI and held at the 2024 Munich Security Conference, on how to harness the potential and mitigate the risks of artificial intelligence for biosecurity.   Are you interested in learning more about FP Analytics’ cutting-edge research services, hosting an FP Virtual Dialogue event, or building a podcast with FP Studios? [Explore partnership opportunities](. Answer: D. Parliament’s consideration of a “foreign agents” bill. The bill, likened to a similar law in Russia used to stifle dissent, has stirred mass protests across the country, Luke Coffey [writes](. [Subscribe to Foreign Policy]( [Save up to 50%]( [Choosing an annual plan allows you to save up to 50%. For nuanced perspectives and insightful geopolitical analysis, subscribe today.]( [SUBSCRIBE NOW](   [Facebook]( [Twitter]( [Instagram]( [LinkedIn]( You’re receiving this email at {EMAIL} because you signed up for FP's This Week newsletter. [MANAGE YOUR EMAIL PREFERENCES]( | [VIEW OUR PRIVACY POLICY]( | [UNSUBSCRIBE]( Interested in partnering with FP on events, podcasts, or research? [Explore FP Solutions](. [Foreign Policy]( is a division of Graham Holdings Company. All contents © 2023 Graham Digital Holding Company LLC. All rights reserved. Foreign Policy, 655 15th St NW, Suite 300, Washington, DC, 20005.

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