FiveThirtyEight’s top politics stories this week

[FiveThirtyEight]( Popular in Politics Thursday, November, 23, 2023 [1. Why Biden should be thankful it's not 2024 yet]( [Why Biden should be thankful it's not 2024 yet]( Welcome to 538’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. [Read more]( [2. The Utah 2nd District special election could be closer than you think]( [The Utah 2nd District special election could be closer than you think]( As the rest of America is preparing for Thanksgiving this week, candidates in Utah's 2nd Congressional District are talking turkey. [Read more]( [3. The latest updates on the 2024 Republican presidential primary]( [The latest updates on the 2024 Republican presidential primary]( Today, 538 unveiled its [2024 Republican primary dashboard]( featuring all of 538's coverage and trackers of the presidential primary in one place. The dashboard shows, at a glance, which candidate is leading in national polls, endorsements and favorability among Republican voters. These numbers will be updated in real time as new polls and endorsements are announced. The dashboard also contains a news feed of all of 538's analysis of the primary as well as updates from the campaign trail via ABC News reporters. [Visit the dashboard here]( [Read more]( [4. Where does the 2024 election stand one year out?]( [Where does the 2024 election stand one year out?]( American voters cast 158 million ballots in the 2020 presidential election. Yet the winner was ultimately decided by about 43,000 voters across Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin — the states that carried President Joe Biden over the 270 Electoral College votes he needed to win the presidency. The 2016 election, also closely contested, was similarly settled by about 78,000 votes in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. And if the 2024 election were held tomorrow, it would likely be very close too. [Read more]( [5. Why Tim Scott's presidential campaign failed]( [Why Tim Scott's presidential campaign failed]( And then there were seven ([major Republican candidates for president](. [Read more]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe](