FiveThirtyEight’s top stories this week

A [FiveThirtyEight]( email [Popular This Week] Sunday, June 25, 2023 [1. Will Hurd Is Running To Win A Tiny Slice Of The Small Pie Of Anti-Trump Voters]( [2024-TOC-REP-WillHurd-v01-ks-4×3]( Have you ever tried to push your way into an already crowded, narrow elevator in an old apartment building? In announcing his candidacy for the presidency on Thursday, former Rep. Will Hurd of Texas sought to do just that. [Read more]( [2. Dobbs Turned Abortion Into A Huge Liability For Republicans]( [A demonstrator holds a sign that reads "Goodbye Roe" outside the US Supreme Court]( When Theresa M. started attending a support group for breast cancer survivors, she didn’t expect political issues like abortion to be a part of the conversation. But since last summer, when her home state of Florida — freed from the requirements of Roe v. Wade by the Supreme Court — began imposing new abortion restrictions, younger women who were newly diagnosed with breast cancer started to voice concerns. “They worry if you find out you’re pregnant, you might have to stop your cancer treatment,” said Theresa, who is 58 and asked that her full name be withheld for personal reasons. “For some kinds of cancer, that’s a death sentence. But not an immediate death sentence, so you don’t get an abortion.” [Read more]( [3. How Seriously Should We Take Marianne Williamson And Robert F. Kennedy Jr.?]( [SlackChat-NathanielRakich-2024DemPrimary-4×3-v01-ks]( Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. [Read more]( [4. What The Polls Say After Trump’s Second Indictment]( [PollaPalooza_6_20_23_4x3_v01_DG]( Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly-ish polling roundup. [Read more]( [5. Three Challenges Francis Suarez Will Face Running For President]( [2024-TOC-REP-FrancisSuarez-v02-ks-4×3]( Francis Suarez, the 45-year-old Republican mayor of Miami and poli-nepo-baby, announced Thursday he’s running for president. Jumping into the already-crowded and growing GOP primary pool, Suarez will need to find a way to stand out and break through with voters. Suarez is kicking off his campaign with a six-figure digital ad buy in Iowa, New Hampshire and, notably, Nevada, an early state with a significant Latino population. This is a signal that the first-generation Cuban-American hopes being the only Latino major candidate in the race will be part of what makes him stand out from the crowd. [Read more]( [6. The Dobbs Divide]( Abortion [Read more]( [7. Why 2024 Is Shaping Up To Be The Most Online Election Ever]( [OnlineCampaign_v01_DG4x3_v01_DG]( When President Biden’s campaign began flogging “Dark Brandon” merch on its website, my spidey sense started tingling. The sensation rose when a PAC backing former President Donald Trump released an ad mocking Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’s “pudding fingers.” By the time DeSantis announced he would be kicking off his campaign on Twitter Spaces with the help of Twitter owner Elon Musk, it was undeniable: 2024 is shaping up to be the most online election we’ve ever seen. [Read more]( [8. Will Voters Blame Biden For Trump’s Indictment?]( [Former President Trump Holds Rally In Pennsylvania Ahead Of Midterms]( On Tuesday afternoon, former President Donald Trump is scheduled to be arraigned at a federal courthouse in Miami. Federal prosecutors indicted him last week for keeping classified documents at his Florida resort after he left office, mishandling them and obstructing government efforts to get them back. It’s a hugely significant moment for Trump, who just became the first former president to be indicted on federal charges. But it’s also consequential for President Biden, Trump’s Democratic rival, who is in a potentially tricky position as prosecutors in his administration’s Department of Justice move forward with the case against Trump. [Read more]( [9. The Supreme Court Is Getting Less Unpopular]( [FILE PHOTO: LGBTQ activists and supporters hold rally on the steps of the Supreme Court as it hears major LGBT rights case]( Ethics scandals. A new justice. Overturning the nearly 50-year-old constitutional right to abortion. The Supreme Court has had quite a year — and the public has noticed. [Read more]( [10. Why The Latest Trump Indictment Looks So Bad For Him]( Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. [Read more]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Listen [Play]( [Politics Podcast: Are Millennials Getting More Conservative?]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe]( Our mailing address: FiveThirtyEight, 47 West 66th Street, New York, NY 10023.