FiveThirtyEight’s top stories this week

A [FiveThirtyEight]( email [Popular This Week] Sunday, June 18, 2023 [1. Three Challenges Francis Suarez Will Face Running For President]( [2024-TOC-REP-FrancisSuarez-v02-ks-4×3]( Francis Suarez, the 45-year-old Republican mayor of Miami and poli-nepo-baby, announced Thursday he’s running for president. Jumping into the already-crowded and growing GOP primary pool, Suarez will need to find a way to stand out and break through with voters. Suarez is kicking off his campaign with a six-figure digital ad buy in Iowa, New Hampshire and, notably, Nevada, an early state with a significant Latino population. This is a signal that the first-generation Cuban-American hopes being the only Latino major candidate in the race will be part of what makes him stand out from the crowd. [Read more]( [2. The Dobbs Divide]( Abortion [Read more]( [3. Why 2024 Is Shaping Up To Be The Most Online Election Ever]( [OnlineCampaign_v01_DG4x3_v01_DG]( When President Biden’s campaign began flogging “Dark Brandon” merch on its website, my spidey sense started tingling. The sensation rose when a PAC backing former President Donald Trump released an ad mocking Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’s “pudding fingers.” By the time DeSantis announced he would be kicking off his campaign on Twitter Spaces with the help of Twitter owner Elon Musk, it was undeniable: 2024 is shaping up to be the most online election we’ve ever seen. [Read more]( [4. Will Voters Blame Biden For Trump’s Indictment?]( [Former President Trump Holds Rally In Pennsylvania Ahead Of Midterms]( On Tuesday afternoon, former President Donald Trump is scheduled to be arraigned at a federal courthouse in Miami. Federal prosecutors indicted him last week for keeping classified documents at his Florida resort after he left office, mishandling them and obstructing government efforts to get them back. It’s a hugely significant moment for Trump, who just became the first former president to be indicted on federal charges. But it’s also consequential for President Biden, Trump’s Democratic rival, who is in a potentially tricky position as prosecutors in his administration’s Department of Justice move forward with the case against Trump. [Read more]( [5. The Supreme Court Is Getting Less Unpopular]( [FILE PHOTO: LGBTQ activists and supporters hold rally on the steps of the Supreme Court as it hears major LGBT rights case]( Ethics scandals. A new justice. Overturning the nearly 50-year-old constitutional right to abortion. The Supreme Court has had quite a year — and the public has noticed. [Read more]( [6. Why The Latest Trump Indictment Looks So Bad For Him]( Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. [Read more]( [7. How Other Candidates Are Reacting To Trump’s Federal Indictment]( [Chris Christie Attends Town Hall Event In New Hampshire]( Former President Donald Trump is reportedly facing multiple felony charges as part of a federal indictment against him surrounding his handling of classified documents. This is only the second time in history a former president has been indicted (the first being Trump’s charges related to allegations of hush money he indirectly paid to Stormy Daniels) and the first time a former president has been federally indicted. This would be remarkable on its own, but Trump is more than just a former president — he is also an active candidate for president. These charges and the case surrounding them will undoubtedly have an impact on the campaign, and it won’t necessarily be bad for Trump. [Read more]( [8. Trump’s First Indictment Didn’t Hurt Him Politically. The Second Could Be Different.]( [Celebrity Sightings In New York City – May 31, 2023]( For the second time in less than three months, former President Donald Trump has been indicted. This time, it’s a federal probe in connection with his handling of classified documents. (His first indictment was by the Manhattan district attorney’s office on 34 counts of falsifying business records with the goal of disrupting the 2016 election.) Trump is scheduled to appear in federal district court in Miami on Tuesday. Sources have told ABC News that Trump will face at least seven charges, including corruptly concealing a document or record and conspiracy to obstruct justice. [Read more]( [9. The Supreme Court’s New Ruling Could Help Democrats Flip The House In 2024]( [Sen. Rodger Smitherman compares U.S. Representative district maps]( The Supreme Court just handed Democrats a massive victory in their quest to retake the House of Representatives in 2024. In a 5-4 decision that was as surprising as it was consequential, the high court agreed with a lower court’s ruling that the Voting Rights Act requires Alabama to draw a second predominantly Black congressional district. [Read more]( [10. Why Two Supreme Court Conservatives Just Saved The Voting Rights Act]( [0320_RobertsSpeech 4×3]( This term, the most conservative Supreme Court in modern history had the opportunity to gut the last major section of the Voting Rights Act. They didn’t take it. [Read more]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Listen [Play]( [Politics Podcast: How Trump’s Classified Documents Case Could End]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe]( Our mailing address: FiveThirtyEight, 47 West 66th Street, New York, NY 10023.