Morning Distribution for Thursday, June 1, 2023

A [FiveThirtyEight]( email [Morning Distribution]( Thursday, June 1, 2023 Your daily briefing from FiveThirtyEight --------------------------------------------------------------- The Morning Story [TrumpPollingNumbers4x3_v01_DG]( [Why Trump Is Polling Much Better Among Very Conservative Primary Voters Than In 2016]( By [Michael Tesler]( Shortly before the 2016 presidential primaries began, the influential conservative outlet the National Review devoted an entire edition of its biweekly magazine to making the ideological case “[against Trump]( The issue featured essays from over 20 prominent conservatives explaining why Donald Trump’s campaign was “[a menace to conservatism]( It also included a [scathing editorial]( from the National Review’s editors, which disparaged the Republican Party’s then-presidential frontrunner as “a philosophically unmoored political opportunist who would trash the broad conservative ideological consensus within the GOP in favor of a free-floating populism with strong-man overtones.” With Trump’s campaign rhetoric rejecting the party’s “broad conservative ideological consensus” in favor of heterodox positions on issues from [government spending]( to [restricting free markets]( to [isolationist foreign policies]( it’s not surprising that he [performed relatively poorly]( with [“very conservative” voters]( in the 2016 Republican primaries. [Read more]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Listen [Play]( [Politics Podcast: There’s A Debt Ceiling Agreement … For Now]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe]( Our mailing address: FiveThirtyEight, 47 West 66th Street, New York, NY 10023.