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Morning Distribution for Tuesday, April 4, 2023

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fivethirtyeight.com

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newsletter@fivethirtyeight.com

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Tue, Apr 4, 2023 12:03 PM

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A email Tuesday, April 4, 2023 Your daily briefing from FiveThirtyEight ----------------------------

A [FiveThirtyEight]( email [Morning Distribution]( Tuesday, April 4, 2023 Your daily briefing from FiveThirtyEight --------------------------------------------------------------- The Morning Story [CHICAGO-NIEGHBORHOODS-4×3]( [The 4 Political Neighborhoods Of Chicago]( By [Nathaniel Rakich]( America’s cities are some of its most solidly Democratic areas — but that doesn’t mean they are solidly liberal. Over the past two years, the mayoral elections in our two biggest cities have boiled down to [surprisingly tight contests]( between a [moderate Democrat and a more liberal alternative](. Tuesday’s runoff election for mayor of Chicago, the nation’s third-most populous city, is no different. Former Chicago Public Schools CEO Paul Vallas rode his [pro-police, tough-on-crime messaging]( to first place in the first round of voting on Feb. 28 but has faced accusations of being a [Republican]( based on comments he made in 2009. And Cook County Commissioner Brandon Johnson finished second on a platform of [taxing the rich]( to pay for more public services but has had to walk back his past support for [decreasing police funding](. (Dogged by [COVID-19, rising crime rates, personality conflicts and broken promises]( incumbent Mayor Lori Lightfoot didn’t even make it out of the first round, finishing third with 17 percent of the vote.) But with Vallas (33 percent) and Johnson (22 percent) combining for barely half of the vote in February, a lot of voters are up for grabs in the runoff — and most Chicagoans don’t fit into neat “moderate” or “progressive” buckets. Chicago politics has more layers than a deep-dish pizza, and you need a more nuanced taxonomy to understand them — so we made one. [Read more]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Listen [Play]( [Politics Podcast: Why Tuesday Is The Highest Stakes Election Day Of 2023]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe]( Our mailing address: FiveThirtyEight, 47 West 66th Street, New York, NY 10023.

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