FiveThirtyEight’s top stories this week

A [FiveThirtyEight]( email [Popular This Week] Sunday, April 2, 2023 [1. How Trump’s Indictment Could Affect The 2024 Election]( [Former U.S. President Donald Trump looks on during a rally at the Waco Regional Airport on March 25, 2023]( On Thursday, a Manhattan grand jury voted to indict former President Donald Trump, making him the first president in U.S. history to be indicted. As of now, though, we still have many questions — including how this bombshell will affect his campaign to regain the presidency in 2024. [Read more]( [2. What To Watch For In The Women’s Final Four]( [MM-WomensFinalFour-Preview-2023-4×3]( There will be no shortage of star power in Dallas for the women’s Final Four this weekend, from South Carolina center Aliyah Boston and Iowa guard Caitlin Clark on the court to South Carolina head coach Dawn Staley and LSU head coach Kim Mulkey on the sidelines. Yet there is a sense of parity as well, with first-time semifinalist Virginia Tech, No. 2 seed Iowa and No. 3 seed LSU all looking to topple the undefeated Gamecocks. [Read more]( [3. What To Watch For In The Men’s Final Four]( [MM-MensFinalFour-Preview-2023-4×3]( One year after arguably the most blue-blooded Final Four of all time, the 2023 men’s NCAA Tournament national semifinal slate looks uniquely green. The four-team field includes three first-time participants (Florida Atlantic Owls, San Diego State Aztecs and Miami Hurricanes) and a blue blood-lite program (Connecticut Huskies) that is making its first trip to the semifinals in nine years. The quartet of “new bloods” left standing in 2023 account for 55 fewer Final Fours and 14 fewer national championships than last year’s semifinalists. [Read more]( [4. Congress Is Trying To Ban TikTok. Younger Americans Don’t Like That.]( [0331_POLLA-4×3]( Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. [Read more]( [5. Why Can’t Lamar Jackson Find The Contract He Wants?]( [Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens walks across the field]( It wasn’t too long ago that we wrote about the Baltimore Ravens building an unconventional offense around a dual-threat quarterback. With Lamar Jackson under center, the Ravens deviated from the pass-happy spread offenses that most NFL teams use, instead using an offense that largely relied on the run game from heavy formations. And that decision paid off. [Read more]( [6. The Fed’s Fight Against Inflation Could Cost Black Workers The Most]( [Two workers are seen in a food market in Washington, D.C.]( When the world grinded to a halt back in March 2020, one of the most tried and true rules of the U.S. economy once again reared its ugly head: When the economy goes into crisis, Black workers are disproportionately harmed — and are often the first to be affected. Unemployment spiked for everyone in April 2020, but to a considerably higher level for Black workers than the country as a whole. The share of all Americans who had a job fell, but it dropped even more for Black Americans. And existing wage and wealth gaps reinforced and even exacerbated those racial inequities, as Black workers had less saved up for the rainiest of days — or years — in our economy. [Read more]( [7. Politicians Want Universal School Vouchers. But What About The Public?]( [EDUCATION-FUNDING-UPDATE-4×3]( Earlier this week, Florida became the fourth state this year to enact a bill that would allow parents to receive taxpayer-funded vouchers to send their children to private schools, joining Iowa, Utah and Arkansas. At least 18 other states have introduced similar bills this term, meaning that almost half of the country’s state legislatures have passed or are considering passing legislature that could reshape the funding of public education by creating voucher programs open to almost any family, rather than reserving funding for students in failing schools or from low-income families. [Read more]( [8. The Dodgers Lead Our 2023 MLB Forecast — But They’re The Weakest Favorite In Years]( [DODGERS-2023-4×3]( As we look ahead to Opening Day on Thursday, plenty of usual suspects lead the World Series odds in our 2023 MLB forecast interactive. But what you can’t see is how much variance there was around each team’s prediction, between the different component forecasts that go into our preseason model. And surprisingly, no contender comes freighted with more uncertainty this year than the team with the best odds in our forecast: the Los Angeles Dodgers. [Read more]( [9. This Women’s NCAA Tournament Has Given Us A Perfect Mix Of Chalk And Madness]( [MM-WomensFinalFour-2023-4×3]( The 2023 Women’s Final Four is finally set, and it offers a little bit of everything — whether you like powerhouses or are rooting for the upsets in this year’s NCAA Tournament to continue. [Read more]( [10. Should Anti-Trump Republicans Clear The Field For DeSantis?]( [SlackChat-0328-4×3]( Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. [Read more]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Listen [Play]( [Emergency Politics Podcast: Trump Is Indicted]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe]( Our mailing address: FiveThirtyEight, 47 West 66th Street, New York, NY 10023.