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Morning Distribution for Monday, October 10, 2022

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fivethirtyeight.com

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newsletter@fivethirtyeight.com

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Mon, Oct 10, 2022 12:03 PM

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A email Monday, October 10, 2022 Your daily briefing from FiveThirtyEight --------------------------

A [FiveThirtyEight]( email [Morning Distribution]( Monday, October 10, 2022 Your daily briefing from FiveThirtyEight --------------------------------------------------------------- The Morning Story [Colorado Holds Primary Elections]( [2022 Is Not Another ‘Year Of The Woman’]( By [Meredith Conroy]( and [Nathaniel Rakich]( In the last midterm elections, Democratic women won a historic number of congressional races. Two years later, the GOP had its own “[Year of the Woman]( But now that the 2022 primaries are long over, we can say that any signs that Republican women would continue to gain on their Democratic counterparts were likely a flash in the pan, not a watershed. FiveThirtyEight, with an assist from political scientists Bernard Fraga and Hunter Rendleman, collected a trove of demographic and political information (such as [endorsements]( [race and ethnicity]( and gender) for every major-party candidate running in a Senate, House and governor’s race this cycle. Based on our analysis of this data, the share of women running for office this November is lower than it was in 2020 (with one type of office serving as a notable exception). Both parties have passed on opportunities to add more women to their ranks. But Democrats have provided more opportunities for female politicians than Republicans — thanks in part to divisions in the GOP’s infrastructure for electing women. How many women are running and winning? Overall, women remain underrepresented in politics. Women are 51 percent of the voting-age population in the U.S., but only 27 percent of candidates who ran in primaries for Senate, House or governor this cycle were women. This is not because 3-in-10 candidates in each party are women: As [has been the norm]( for a few decades, women made up a larger share of Democratic candidates than Republican candidates. There are many explanations for this persistent disparity. For instance, the potential candidate pool for Democrats is larger, as [pipelines to political office]( are occupied by more Democratic than Republican women, and [more women identify as Democrats than Republicans](. [Read more]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Listen [Play]( [Politics Podcast: Do Scandals Like Herschel Walker’s Still Matter To Voters?]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe]( Our mailing address: FiveThirtyEight, 47 West 66th Street, New York, NY 10023.

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