FiveThirtyEight’s top politics stories this week

A [FiveThirtyEight]( email [Popular In Politics] Thursday, August 25, 2022 [1. What Went Down In Alaska And Wyoming’s Elections]( [2022-AUGUST-16-LB-4×3-Nolive]( [Read more]( [2. Can Tim Ryan Really Win Ohio’s Senate Race?]( [2022-ELECTIONUPDATE-0819-4×3]( Ohio is the type of Senate race that Democrats shouldn’t have much business competing in. The state is increasingly red, having voted for former President Donald Trump by 8 percentage points in 2020. True, Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown was reelected in Ohio in 2018 — but that was in a strongly Democratic environment that is unlikely to be replicated this November, in what’s expected to be a Republican-leaning year. [Read more]( [3. Will Cheney And Murkowski Survive Their Trump-Backed Primary Challenges?]( [Liz Cheney of Wyoming on Capitol Hill]( For months, Aug. 16 was the most anticipated date on the primary calendar. Not one but two of the highest-profile Republican critics of former President Donald Trump are facing the voters this week, and everyone wanted to know if there was any place left for them in the Republican Party. [Read more]( [4. Can We Expect Anything Other Than Biden vs. Trump In 2024?]( [SlackChat_0818-4×3]( Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. [Read more]( [5. Why Ilhan Omar Almost Lost Her Primary]( [OMAR-DISLIKED-4×3]( Conventional wisdom suggests that members of opposing political parties don’t like each other — and I mean really don’t like each other. But what does it mean when members of your own party are seemingly aching to get you out of office too? [Read more]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Forecasts Latest Senate Forecast [2022 Senate Forecast]( Latest House Forecast [2022 House Forecast]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Listen [Play]( [Politics Podcast: If The Midterms Were Tomorrow, Republicans Might Be In Trouble]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe]( Our mailing address: FiveThirtyEight, 47 West 66th Street, New York, NY 10023.