Morning Distribution for Monday, May 16, 2022

A [FiveThirtyEight]( email [Morning Distribution]( Monday, May 16, 2022 Your daily briefing from FiveThirtyEight --------------------------------------------------------------- The Morning Story [Pennsylvania Senate candidate Mehmet Oz accompanied by former President Donald Trump]( [16 GOP Primaries To Watch In North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Idaho And Oregon]( By [Nathaniel Rakich]( Tuesday is the busiest election day of the year so far, as five states — Idaho, Kentucky, North Carolina, Oregon and Pennsylvania — hold their 2022 primaries. And for the GOP, it will be another test of whether to move on from former President Donald Trump. Coming off Nebraska last week — [his first loss of the year]( — Trump has endorsed candidates in seven major primaries on Tuesday, which should give us a clearer answer as to his power in the party. And even in races where Trump has no skin in the game, Republicans are considering nominating someone in his incendiary, illiberal mold — which could make it harder for the GOP to pick up seats in November. All told, it’s the highest-stakes primary day yet. Here are the 16 (!) Republican primaries to keep an eye on: North Carolina Races to watch: U.S. Senate; 1st, 11th and 13th congressional districts [Read more]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Listen [Play]( [Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Anti-Critical Race Theory Laws]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe]( Our mailing address: FiveThirtyEight, 47 West 66th Street, New York, NY 10023.