Morning Distribution for Tuesday, November 10, 2020

A [FiveThirtyEight]( email [Morning Distribution]( Tuesday, November 10, 2020 Your daily briefing from FiveThirtyEight --------------------------------------------------------------- The Morning Story [An ambulance parks outside the U.S. Supreme Court in Washington]( [What Happens If the Supreme Court Overturns Obamacare?]( By [Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux]( The Supreme Court mostly stayed out of the spotlight during the frenzied week after Election Day. But on Tuesday, [the justices are hearing a case]( that could upend the country’s health care system in the midst of a pandemic and leave tens of millions of people without health insurance. In California v. Texas, a [group of 18 Republican-led states]( and two individuals who live in Texas are challenging the constitutionality of a key component of the Affordable Care Act: the “individual mandate,” which required all Americans to obtain health insurance or be subject to a financial penalty — that is, [before the penalty was reduced to $0]( by congressional Republicans in the 2017 tax bill. The law’s challengers are backed by the Trump administration. Of course, this isn’t the first time the 10-year-old law has been challenged. It’s outlasted years of [Republican-led efforts]( in Congress to [repeal it](. And it’s twice survived scrutiny at the Supreme Court, in [2012]( and [2015]( (although both times the law was upheld by relatively slim margins). That might seem like a point in the law’s favor, but it’s going up against [a more conservative slate of justices]( now, including Amy Coney Barrett, who has [criticized Chief Justice John Roberts’s decisive vote]( to save the law in 2012. As a result, the fate of the ACA is more uncertain than it seemed just a few months ago. [Read more]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Listen [Play]( [Politics Podcast: Where The Rest Of The 2020 Races Stand]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe]( Our mailing address: FiveThirtyEight, 47 West 66th Street, New York, NY 10023.