Morning Distribution for Friday, October 2, 2020

A [FiveThirtyEight]( email [Morning Distribution]( Friday, October 2, 2020 Your daily briefing from FiveThirtyEight --------------------------------------------------------------- The Morning Story [1001_POLLA-4×3]( [Republicans Are Less Confident Than Democrats That The Election Will Be Conducted Fairly]( By [Geoffrey Skelley]( Welcome to [Pollapalooza]( our weekly polling roundup. Poll(s) of the week During Tuesday’s presidential debate, President Trump [once again refused]( to commit to accepting the results of the 2020 election. He also repeatedly made [misleading or false claims]( about the integrity of the election. It’s no surprise, then, that many Americans are pessimistic about whether the election will be free and fair. At the moment, these doubts are most pronounced among Republicans, who are far more [likely to trust]( or believe the president than Democrats or independents. In a [NBC News/SurveyMonkey’s weekly tracking poll]( released ahead of Tuesday’s debate, 56 percent of Americans said they were “not too confident” or “not at all confident” that the election would be conducted in a free and equal way, including 65 percent of Republicans. And as the chart below shows, Republicans in that tracking poll have consistently been more likely to say they lack confidence in the electoral process than Democrats or independents. [Read more]( --------------------------------------------------------------- The Latest Data Latest Forecast [Latest Forecast]( How popular is Donald Trump? [How popular is Donald Trump?]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Listen [Play]( [Politics Podcast: Is The Supreme Court Losing Legitimacy?]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe]( Our mailing address: FiveThirtyEight, 47 West 66th Street, New York, NY 10023.