Morning Distribution for Friday, September 4, 2020

A [FiveThirtyEight]( email [Morning Distribution]( Friday, September 4, 2020 Your daily briefing from FiveThirtyEight --------------------------------------------------------------- The Morning Story [0904_POLLA-4×3]( [Trump’s Law And Order Message Isn’t Resonating With Most Americans]( By [Geoffrey Skelley]( Welcome to [Pollapalooza]( our weekly polling roundup. Poll(s) of the week As President Trump continues to push a “law and order” campaign message, we’ve been keeping an eye on the polls to see whether there’s any truth to [the narrative]( that [the recent unrest]( in Kenosha, Wisconsin, will [help Trump politically](. So far, the answer is no. Polls conducted this week and late last week suggest that public attitudes aren’t really breaking in Trump’s direction, even though the Republican National Convention focused a great deal on [characterizing the Democrats]( as the party of chaos and anarchy. It’s true that Americans are less inclined to view as peaceful those protesting the police shooting of Jacob Blake in Kenosha compared with those who were protesting the police killing of George Floyd in Minneapolis in late May. This week’s survey from [The Economist/YouGov]( found that 41 percent of Americans considered the protesters themselves “mostly peaceful,” while 40 percent said they were “mostly violent.” This marked a sizable departure from early July, [when the pollster last asked this question]( — back then, 54 percent viewed the protesters as more peaceful, while only 31 percent viewed them as more violent. And late last week, a [Yahoo News/YouGov survey]( found that a majority of Americans — 54 percent — thought the protests had gone too far, compared with 31 percent who said that they hadn’t. The most recent protests in Kenosha and elsewhere also don’t have quite the same level of support as the protests that followed Floyd’s death. According to a new survey from [Politico/Morning Consult]( 49 percent of registered voters supported the latest protests, while 32 percent opposed them. Back in early June, 57 percent of registered voters [backed the Floyd protests](, while just 23 percent opposed them. However, the new Politico/Morning Consult survey still found a plurality backing the ongoing protests connected to Kenosha, and other polling echoes this finding: A new [USA Today/Suffolk University poll]( found that 57 percent felt peaceful demonstrations should continue despite the violence that has cropped up in some cities, whereas 36 percent felt the protests should cease because of the violence that has sometimes followed. [Read more]( --------------------------------------------------------------- The Latest Data Latest Forecast [Latest Forecast]( How popular is Donald Trump? [How popular is Donald Trump?]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Listen [Play]( [Why The Strike Matters]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe]( Our mailing address: FiveThirtyEight, 47 West 66th Street, New York, NY 10023.