FiveThirtyEight’s top stories this week

A [FiveThirtyEight]( email [Popular This Week] Sunday, June 14, 2020 [1. Trump’s Approval Rating Has Dropped. How Much Does That Matter?]( [President Trump Departs White House For Trip To Maine]( For the last three weeks, President Trump’s approval rating has steadily ticked downward. It now sits at 41.1 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight’s presidential approval tracker. [Read more]( [2. The Latest Swing State Polls Look Good For Biden]( [0612_POLLA-4×3]( Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. [Read more]( [3. Is Public Opinion Turning Against President Trump?]( [SlackChat_0610-4×3]( Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. [Read more]( [4. The Two Autopsies Of George Floyd Aren’t As Different As They Seem]( [Protest against the death of George Floyd, in Manchester]( Do the autopsies of George Floyd agree, or not? News reports from last week suggest the report produced by the Hennepin County medical examiner and the one produced by an examiner hired by Floyd’s family disagreed on his cause of death. The county ruled the cause to be “cardiopulmonary arrest complicating law enforcement subdual, restraint, and neck compression.” It also cited heart disease and drug use as factors that could have contributed to the death. The secondary autopsy, by contrast, specifically said Floyd died from asphyxia. [Read more]( [5. What You Need To Know About Today’s Elections In Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina and West Virginia]( [EU-0609-4×3]( Election season once again forges ahead on Tuesday, as five states — Georgia, Nevada, North Dakota, South Carolina and West Virginia — hold their down-ballot primaries. So here’s a look at today’s key races — including whom Democrats will nominate in a crucial Senate race and whether a party-switching governor will go down in defeat in West Virginia: [Read more]( [6. What The June 2 Primaries Can Tell Us About November]( [Primary Election – Washington, DC]( Under normal circumstances, we would have published this article days ago. But the increased use of vote-by-mail during the coronavirus pandemic means it has taken a few days to count the votes from last Tuesday’s primary elections; some jurisdictions are still counting. Unfortunately for impatient election junkies, this may be something we have to get used to: The results of the November election may also not be known for several days if Americans continue to vote by mail in large numbers. [Read more]( [7. Georgia Was A Mess. Here’s What Else We Know About The June 9 Elections.]( [Five States Hold Primaries As Pandemic Continues In America]( Tuesday’s primary elections were once again marred by serious problems at the polls, especially in Georgia. However, in this case, the issues probably had less to do with the COVID-19 pandemic and more to do with the state’s own ineptitude. [Read more]( [8. If Republicans Are Ever Going To Turn On Trump, This Might Be The Moment]( [President Trump Holds A Press Briefing At The White House]( While the past few days have felt unprecedented in almost all respects, they’ve been familiar in at least one way: President Trump has once again done something widely viewed as outrageous. In this case, his administration had law enforcement officials clear a path for Trump to visit a nearby church, leading to protesters being tear gassed outside the White House. [Read more]( [9. A Tale Of Two Suburbs]( [SUBURBS-4×3]( Graphics by Rachael Dottle [Read more]( [10. What Happened With That Bogus Hydroxycholoroquine Study?]( [Podcast7_art-4×3-v2]( This week on PODCAST-19, we examine a scientific scandal: When a paper in a major medical journal reported that hydroxychloroquine harmed COVID patients, the World Health Organization and other institutions suspended their clinical trials of the drug. But a group of Twitter sleuths uncovered evidence that not only was the paper inaccurate, but the data may even have been fabricated. How could this paper have been released in the first place? And what could it mean for the future of scientific publishing? [Read more]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Listen [Play]( [Politics Podcast: Americans Disapprove Of How Trump Is Handling The Pandemic And The Protests]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe]( Our mailing address: FiveThirtyEight, 47 West 66th Street, New York, NY 10023.