FiveThirtyEight’s top politics stories this week

A [FiveThirtyEight]( email [Popular In Politics] Thursday, March 19, 2020 [1. What Went Down In The Arizona, Florida And Illinois Primaries]( [AZ-IL-FL-LIVE-BLOG-4×3-NO-LIVE]( [Read more]( [2. Election Update: Biden’s Delegate Lead Is Now Nearly Insurmountable]( [EU-0318-BIDEN-4×3]( With Tuesday’s elections now in the rearview mirror, we’ve turned the FiveThirtyEight forecast back on. It now accounts for the results in Florida and Illinois, plus partial results in Arizona. But overall, very little has changed. Biden entered the March 17 primaries as an overwhelming favorite to win the nomination, and he remains in the same position today. [Read more]( [3. Our Final Forecast For Arizona, Florida And Illinois Shows A Big Biden Lead]( [EU-AZ-IL-FL-FROZENFORECAST-4×3]( In an extraordinary move, Ohio postponed its primary election at the last minute due to concerns about COVID-19, meaning just three states will vote today — Arizona, Florida and Illinois, the latter two of which are among the 10 most delegate-rich contests in the Democratic presidential primary. [Read more]( [4. How Coronavirus Could Alter The 2020 Election]( [Joe Biden Cancels Cleveland Primary Night Event Due To Coronavirus Fears]( The COVID-19 pandemic has turned American society upside down inside of a week. That includes the presidential campaign, which has already taken a backseat to news of quarantines, lockdowns and hospitals preparing to be overrun with sick people. Social distancing means an end to conventional retail politics; kissing a baby or giving a hug to an older supporter could mean spreading an invisible killer. Holding a rally — one shudders to think of the amount of infected spittle that could be sprayed — when public officials are urging the closure of schools, churches, bars and restaurants is nearly unthinkable. [Read more]( [5. 5 States Have Postponed Their Primaries Because Of The Coronavirus]( [US-POLITICS-VOTE-DEMOCRATS-OHIO-HEALTH-VIRUS]( To slow the spread of the new coronavirus, virtually all aspects of public life are being scaled back, including the democratic process itself. [Read more]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Forecasts How popular is Donald Trump? [How popular is Donald Trump?]( [See all polls]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Listen [Play]( [Politics Podcast: How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday’s Vote]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe]( Our mailing address: FiveThirtyEight, 147 Columbus Avenue, New York, NY 10023.