FiveThirtyEight’s top stories this week

1 A [FiveThirtyEight]( email [Popular This Week] Sunday, May 26, 2019 [1. Here’s Why The Anti-Abortion Movement Is Escalating]( [atd-ABORTIONREGULATIONS-4×3]( Graphics by Gus Wezerek [Read more]( [2. Are More Moderate Democrats More Electable?]( [SILVERBULLETPOINTS-nate-4×3]( I have a dilemma for you, dear reader. I have a righteous little bulletpoint-sized rant to make about ill-informed media coverage of polling in the recent Australian election. But this column, Silver Bulletpoints, promises to give you three items about the 2020 Democratic primary in 300 words or less. And while I’m sure Pete Buttigieg speaks fluent Guugu Yimithirr or something, the Democratic primary doesn’t really have much to do with Australia. So instead of using up one of this week’s bulletpoints on Australia, we’re including a bonus Australia-related bulletpoint at the end of this week’s column. For now, though, let’s stick with the Democrats … [Read more]( [3. James Holzhauer Could Be Two Weeks Away From ‘Jeopardy!’ Immortality]( [roeder-jeopary-0520-chart-crop]( After a two-week pause, regular season “Jeopardy!” returns to television Monday. And, therefore, so does current champ James Holzhauer, long may he reign. [Read more]( [4. Are The Democratic Debates Already A Mess?]( [SlackChat-0521_4x3]( Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. [Read more]( [5. Where The Algorithms Can’t Find You]( [DATA-ART-4×3]( A man wearing a red flannel shirt and brown suspenders walks into a clearing. His beard is well kempt, the same off-white as the snowmelt behind him. “Good afternoon,” he says to the camera. “It’s Friday, Oct. 12.” Slowly, he extends his arms. Two birds swoop down from the trees, alighting on his hands. “You can see how much I love my whiskey jacks. I’m feeding them my home-baked bread,” he says. The whiskey jacks peck, then take off with their spoils. “Gotta love it,” the man says. “They’ve been my friends for years.” A small wave at the camera: “I hope you have a great day where you live.” [Read more]( [6. The Strange Dynasty Of The San Francisco Giants Is Over. (Yes, It Was A Dynasty.)]( [World Series – San Francisco Giants v Kansas City Royals – Game Seven]( Over the course of the past decade, the San Francisco Giants put together one of the strangest dynasties in baseball history. And now it is officially coming to an end. [Read more]( [7. Can A Republican Governor Lose In Kentucky?]( [MCa7OG2sRImKs5mbv+Cjfw_thumb_685]( Down the stretch they come! No, it’s not the Kentucky Derby — today, Kentuckians will vote for governor in their party primaries. Incumbent Gov. Matt Bevin will likely win renomination in the Republican contest despite being incredibly unpopular. But Democrats have a competitive three-way race between state House Minority Leader Rocky Adkins, state Attorney General Andy Beshear and former state auditor Adam Edelen. Beshear appears to be in the lead, but it’s unclear how big that lead really is and whether a Democrat can even still win a general election in a state that is now so deeply red. [Read more]( [8. Who White Democrats Vote For In 2020 Could Be Shaped By Why They Think Clinton Lost]( [XMPd%JZJTOqgq6gPMR1+Hg_thumb_688]( Every election is followed by an attempt to explain its outcome. One of the more common explanations of the 2016 presidential election was that Hillary Clinton lost because she relied on “identity politics.” So we were curious: Would white Democrats be inclined to choose a different type of 2020 candidate if they were told that Clinton’s 2016 loss was caused by identity politics? We conducted a survey to find out, and the short answer is yes, but with one big caveat: While women’s preferences shifted substantially, men’s views remained largely unaltered. [Read more]( [9. Our Model Loves The Raptors. (Maybe A Little Too Much?)]( [SportsChat-0524-4×3]( sara.ziegler (Sara Ziegler, assistant sports editor): The Toronto Raptors stole a road win Thursday night with a huge game from Kawhi Leonard and are now just one win away from taking the Eastern Conference finals against the Milwaukee Bucks. [Read more]( [10. How Winning The White House Could Cost Democrats The Senate (At Least Temporarily)]( [Elizabeth Warren Holds Press Conference Opposing Supreme Court Nominee Kavanaugh]( Democrats have a challenging path to capturing the Senate in 2020. Republicans currently have a 53-47 majority, which means that to take control, Democrats will need, at a minimum, a net gain of three seats and the vice presidency (the VP breaks ties in the Senate). But even if Democrats pick up exactly three seats and win the White House, they could still miss out on controlling the Senate. How? If the new president leaves behind a vacant Senate seat in a state with a Republican governor. [Read more]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Weekly Listen [Play]( [Politics Podcast: Can Democrats Win The Senate In 2020?]( [FiveThirtyEight] [View in browser]( [ABC News]( [Unsubscribe]( Our mailing address: FiveThirtyEight, 147 Columbus Avenue, New York, NY 10023.