The Morning Alarm: Do You Fade Captaining Herbert Tonight?

NFL week 16 DFS contests wrap up the holiday weekend with an intriguing Showdown Slate on Monday Night Football. ~/AAAHagA~/RgRljGAlP0QuaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZmFudGFzeWFsYXJtLmNvbS8_bGlkPTVsNmhka3FvbHhod1cFc3BjZXVCCmOjJtupY0ISx29SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkyQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAABRA~~ December 26, 2022 ~/AAAHagA~/RgRljGAlP0QuaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZmFudGFzeWFsYXJtLmNvbS8_bGlkPWlkaWdneTY3N3Y5dFcFc3BjZXVCCmOjJtupY0ISx29SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkyQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAABRA~~ December 26, 2022 ~/AAAHagA~/RgRljGAlP0QuaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZmFudGFzeWFsYXJtLmNvbS8_bGlkPTd2djhua3MwcWNya1cFc3BjZXVCCmOjJtupY0ISx29SG3RyaXN0cmFtYmFsZHdpbjkyQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAABRA~~ MNF Showdown Playbook Preview Dan Malin [Follow on Twitter](~/AAAHagA~/RgRljGAlP0QgaHR0cHM6Ly90d2l0dGVyLmNvbS9yZWFsZGFubGFudGFXBXNwY2V1QgpjoybbqWNCEsdvUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MkBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAUQ~) ~/AAAHagA~/RgRljGAlP0SraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZmFudGFzeWFsYXJtLmNvbS9hcnRpY2xlcy9uZmwvc2hvd2Rvd24tcGxheWJvb2svbmZsLXdlZWstMTYtbW9uZGF5LW5pZ2h0LWZvb3RiYWxsLXNob3dkb3duLXBsYXlib29rLWxvcy1hbmdlbGVzLWNoYXJnZXJzLXZzLWluZGlhbmFwb2xpcy1jb2x0cy1kZnMtcGlja3MvMTM5ODA3VwVzcGNldUIKY6Mm26ljQhLHb1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTJAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAFE NFL week 16 DFS contests wrap up the holiday weekend with an intriguing Showdown Slate on Monday Night Football. We get a game featuring Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers visiting the Indianapolis Colts led by Nick Foles. Interestingly enough, with some of the results from Christmas Eve and Christmas, the Chargers are now in position to lock up a playoff spot with a win, and while we’re at it, we have a chance at some DFS glory as well. The over/under for tonight’s game is at 45.5 points and the Bolts are favored by a field goal roughly. So scoring could be moderate and hopefully we get a competitive game. After having plenty of games impacted by wind, cold temperatures, and even a little bit of snow in Miami, we can look at this game straight on with the safe conditions and just dissect the matchups to formulate our winning DFS lineups. Austin Ekeler, RB, Los Angeles ChargersEveryone has different beliefs in how to construct Showdown lineups. I typically don’t utilize too many D/ST’s or Kickers at Captain. I also max out my QB exposure at this spot to about 10% of my lineups if building multiple lines. What I prefer targeting are players heavily involved in the passing game that can break the slate with multiple touchdowns. Ekeler fits the bill even as a running back. Out of the backfield, Ekeler averages 6.8 receptions and 8.2 targets per game. Even after a bit of a slow and sluggish start to the season where he didn’t score in the team’s first three games, he’s still collected 14 touchdowns on the year. My one knock on Ekeler? The rushing volume fluctuates too much to have a ton of confidence in him locking in the 100-yard rushing bonus on DraftKings. But he’s involved enough in the passing game that the full PPR format over there puts him firmly in play to offset even a performance where he only rushes for 50-60 yards. And we know he can score one or two times as well. Deon Jackson, Zack Moss, RB, Indianapolis ColtsThis one will be tricky. I had a ton of questions in our Discord channels about these two over the weekend. Truthfully, we could get the blanket pulled over our eyes and see Moss’s role reduced to nothing tonight. Or the Colts could go run heavy, which we’ve seen teams do against the Bolts (with success), and if that’s the case then Moss is viable. In 14 games, we’ve seen opposing teams rack up over 150 rushing yards on eight different occasions against Los Angeles. That’s the argument for Moss at least and he’s coming off a performance last week where he had 24 carries. For Jackson, his production is heavily dependent on game script. He’ll get some carries (had 13 last week), and he’s more likely to be used in the passing game if the Colts fall behind multiple possessions. Way back in Week 6 he caught all ten of his targets against the Jaguars. It certainly can be done, but will we see Nick Foles check down to him if that’s what the game plan calls for as things progress? Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles ChargersI am going to take the bold position of not utilizing Herbert at Captain tonight. And you can easily disagree with me, but I prefer quarterbacks that have rushing upside and Herbert doesn’t offer enough of that to tickle my fancy for my MVP/Captain. But he does have the ability to throw for over 300+ yards as we’ve seen the last three weeks. However, over his last ten games we’ve seen him put up less than 15 fantasy points on DraftKings in half those performances. Not to mention, in that span, he only has one performance truly worthy of breaking the slate. He offers a good floor and one that’s certainly worth having in our Flex spot. But with no rushing upside then we really need the 300-yard bonus and at least three touchdowns if plugging him at captain. Most teams don’t have to throw on the Colts to beat them. Hence why they only allow 205 passing yards per game with about 32 pass attempts per game as well. For some lineup construction advice, if you go with either Ekeler, Allen, or Williams at captain you should correlate the play with Herbert in the Flex to capitalize on the touchdowns.   Latest Features ~/AAAHagA~/RgRljGAlP0SZaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZmFudGFzeWFsYXJtLmNvbS9hcnRpY2xlcy9uZmwvZmFudGFzeS1mb290YmFsbC1hZHZpY2UvZmFudGFzeS1mb290YmFsbC13ZWVrLTE2LWhvdC10YWtlcy1jYW0tYWtlcnMtdGFrZXMteW91LXRvLWEtZmFudGFzeS1jaGFtcGlvbnNoaXAvMTM5ODAxVwVzcGNldUIKY6Mm26ljQhLHb1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTJAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAFE Hot Takes: Cam Akers Takes You to a Fantasy Championship [Read more >](~/AAAHagA~/RgRljGAlP0SZaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZmFudGFzeWFsYXJtLmNvbS9hcnRpY2xlcy9uZmwvZmFudGFzeS1mb290YmFsbC1hZHZpY2UvZmFudGFzeS1mb290YmFsbC13ZWVrLTE2LWhvdC10YWtlcy1jYW0tYWtlcnMtdGFrZXMteW91LXRvLWEtZmFudGFzeS1jaGFtcGlvbnNoaXAvMTM5ODAxVwVzcGNldUIKY6Mm26ljQhLHb1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTJAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAFE) ~/AAAHagA~/RgRljGAlP0R3aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZmFudGFzeWFsYXJtLmNvbS9hcnRpY2xlcy9wcm9tb3Rpb25zL2RyYWZ0a2luZ3Mtc3BvcnRzYm9vay1wcm9tby1iZXQtNS13aW4tMTUwLW9uLWFueS1uZmwtbW9uZXktbGluZS8xMzk3NjdXBXNwY2V1QgpjoybbqWNCEsdvUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MkBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAUQ~ DraftKings Sportsbook Promo: Bet $5, Win $150 On Any NFL Money Line [Read more >](~/AAAHagA~/RgRljGAlP0R3aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZmFudGFzeWFsYXJtLmNvbS9hcnRpY2xlcy9wcm9tb3Rpb25zL2RyYWZ0a2luZ3Mtc3BvcnRzYm9vay1wcm9tby1iZXQtNS13aW4tMTUwLW9uLWFueS1uZmwtbW9uZXktbGluZS8xMzk3NjdXBXNwY2V1QgpjoybbqWNCEsdvUht0cmlzdHJhbWJhbGR3aW45MkBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAUQ~)   ~/AAAHagA~/RgRljGAlP0QtaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZmFudGFzeWFsYXJtLmNvbS9jaGVja291dC9tb250aGx5VwVzcGNldUIKY6Mm26ljQhLHb1IbdHJpc3RyYW1iYWxkd2luOTJAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAFE   Follow us on Twitter Questions? 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