How Good Are Those Probabilities on the Apple TV+ Broadcasts?

The FanGraphs Newsletter, May 26, 2022 [READ IN BROWSER]( May 26, 2022 Hi there! As you’re probably aware, Apple TV+ has stepped onto the baseball broadcasting scene this year, airing two games every Friday. They’re stylistically different from your average baseball broadcast, even at a glance. The colors look different, more muted to my eyes than the average broadcast. The score bugs are sleek, the fonts understated. The announcers are mostly new faces. And most interestingly, to me at least, the broadcast displays probabilities on nearly every pitch. As a big old math nerd, I love probabilities. They appeal to something that feels almost elemental. Every time I watch a baseball game, I wonder how likely the next hitter up is to get a hit – or to reach base, or strike out, or drive in a run. It’s not so much that I want to know the future – probabilities can’t tell you that – but I would like to know whether the outcome I’m hoping for is an uphill battle or a near-certainty, and how the ongoing struggle of pitcher against hitter changes that. READ MORE: [How Good Are Those Probabilities on the Apple TV+ Broadcasts, by Ben Clemens]( [More Fun With Batted Ball Spin Data]( Now with batted ball spin axis, more graphs, and Kyle Manzardo. | by Dan Szymborski [More Young Players Who Should Be Next to Sign Long-Term Deals]( By popular demand (!), we look at some more players teams should try to ink long term. | by Dan Szymborski [The Mets and Giants Just Played the Game of the Year (So Far)]( 13–12 isn't just a football score - it was also the tally after nine furious innings of twists and turns in San Francisco last night. | by Ben Clemens [Brewers Suffer a Blow with Loss of Freddy Peralta]( A shoulder strain knocks out Peralta, which in turn will strain the Brewers' impressive rotation and depth. | by Jay Jaffe [Giancarlo Stanton Gets Pitched Weirdly]( Pitching to Stanton is a tough puzzle to solve, but the solution that teams have landed on is baffling. | by Ben Clemens 🎧 [Effectively Wild Episode 1853: What Are the Odds?]( The Mug in white! [ORDER HERE]( [MLB's Best Baserunners]( by Mark Simon, Bill James Online [Another Look at the Variation of Drag Coefficients of Baseballs]( by Alan Nathan, Baseball Prospectus ($) [Revisiting the Worthwhile Bryce Harper and Manny Machado Contracts]( by Randy Holt, Pitcher List [Beard vs. no beard: How the Boston Red Sox started winning after their skipper's lucky shave]( by Joon Lee [@fangraphs]( [FanGraphs]( [FanGraphs]( [RSS]( [FORWARD]( [SUBSCRIBE]( Copyright © 2022 FanGraphs Inc, All rights reserved. You are receiving this email because you subscribed to the FanGraphs Newsletter. Our mailing address is: FanGraphs Inc 1200 N Hartford St. Apt 312Arlington, Va 22201 [Add us to your address book]( Want to change how you receive these emails? You can [update your preferences]( or [unsubscribe from this list](