Thatâs what we would expect from a group that is leading an overly... [Energy and Capital Header] Practical Investment Analysis for the New Energy Economy The Eternal Battle of Oil Bulls And Bears Keith Kohl | Feb 20, 2024 Strike up the music the band has begun⦠it's the Pennsylvania Polka. Every February, a mass of people crowd into a tiny Pennsylvania town to freeze their butts off waiting to worship a rat. Having grown up a few hours away from that central PA town, Iâve made the sojourn before and can tell you firsthand it's worth the adventure⦠even if youâre not a Bill Murray fan. This year was no different as more than 30,000 people made the trip to watch Punxsutawney Phil make his annual prediction at Gobblerâs knob. With a packed audience in attendance and millions watching it live through television and streaming, Phil emerged from his burrow and failed to see his own shadow â telling us all loud and clear that an early spring was coming in 2024. Of course, with that early spring comes an end to the seasonally weak cycle for oil demand. The sooner the better, I say. [URGENT: This Parcel of Land Could Gift You Half a Million Dollars]( [JMT Buried Under the Land Image](In a remote corner of North America, a team of geologists and explorers just found something truly amazing. Mining experts call it the last GREAT gold discovery on Earth. And if you invest in the tiny firm that owns this land â before Big Tech and Wall Street investors catch wind of it... You could turn $10,000 into over $500,000! [Get the lowdown on this urgent gold opportunity right now.]( The Eternal Battle of Oil Bulls And Bears For most of us, Groundhog Day brings another overwhelming feeling â a foreboding sense of déjà vu; whether or not you subscribe to groundhog-based weather forecasts, weâre getting a healthy dose of it this month. My long-time readers know full well that there have been two forces battling each other in the media for years over a different forecast. Theyâve become the eternal bulls and bears inside the global oil markets, and each one has their agenda to sell you. Look, weâve talked about these two prevailing forces a lot over the last year. In one corner, we have the ever-bearish International Energy Agency. Consistent in its pessimism over global demand and far too hopeful on the supply-side of the equation, the IEA has cemented itself over the last few years as the Debbie Downer for oil stocks. But thatâs what we would expect from a group that is leading an overly aggressive push away from oil and gas and towards renewable energy, right? After all, Fatih Birol, the head of the IEA, is the head cheerleader for the net zero transition by 2050. And the IEAâs February Oil Market Report starts off touting the same bearish sentiment that itâs been saying (and later revising) for a long time: âGlobal oil demand growth is losing momentum, with annual gains easing from 2.8 mb/d in 3Q23 to 1.8 mb/d in 4Q23. A sharp drop in China underpinned an 830 kb/d decline in global oil demand to 102.1 mb/d in the last quarter of 2023. The pace of expansion is set to decelerate further to 1.2 mb/d in 2024, compared with 2.3 mb/d last year.â The problem is that the IEA has a bad habit of revising their bearish forecasts to the upside. Four months ago, they were calling for 2024âs global oil demand to only rise by 930,000 b/d, which was another upward revision to the 880,000 b/d it was predicting last October. At some point, you have to wonder how many times you can backtrack and still be taken seriously. Oh, thatâs right, because calling for higher oil demand means their green transition would slow⦠my mistake. The Single Most Important Geological Discovery of Our Generation A tiny mining firm is at the forefront of mining the world's largest lithium deposit... And itâs NOT overseas in some politically unstable nation... Every single ounce of this record-breaking deposit is right here in America. With an estimated value of $1.5 trillion, it's about to launch this $5 stock into the stratosphere... [See the full details here.]( Then there's the other corner of the ring: OPEC. As expected, OPEC is the yin to the IEAâs yang â the perma-bull in the global oil markets. Now, you know just as well as I do that we should be taking OPECâs word with a grain of salt. Their agenda is just as transparent as the IEA since higher crude prices dump an immense amount of wealth into OPEC membersâ coffers. But letâs give a little credit where credit is due⦠Throughout the last year, OPEC has at least stuck to its forecasts. In fact, the oil cartel still maintains that global oil demand will grow at a pace of 2.2 mb/d in 2024. We havenât seen them back down from those projections yet, and the consequences of OPEC being right cannot be overstated. If true, that means the world will average an all-time record of 104.4 mb/d this year, exiting 2024 at a consumption rate of 105.47 mb/d and then growing to 106.2 million barrels per day in 2025: [opec oil projection] Despite being diametrically opposed on nearly everything relating to oil, these two bitter enemies ACTUALLY have something in common. Both agree that global oil supply growth this year is going to come primarily from three non-OPEC regions: North America, Guyana, and Canada. And the only question that should be in your head right now, as winter is fastly approaching an end, is âWho am I buying?â [Well, I know where Iâm looking right now](. Until next time, [Keith Kohl Signature] Keith Kohl [[follow basic]Check us out on YouTube!]( A true insider in the technology and energy markets, Keithâs research has helped everyday investors capitalize from the rapid adoption of new technology trends and energy transitions. 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