The energy sector has been out of favor while the technology sector has been all the rage. However, the thing about investing in general and contrarian investing in particular is that stocks, sectors, and indexes have a way of reverting to their mean... [Energy and Capital Header] Practical Investment Analysis for the New Energy Economy The Ramp-Up Has Begun Christian DeHaemer | Sep 19, 2023 This morning I was Slacking my good friend Jason Williams, the dynamic editor of The Wealth Advisory, when he sent me this chart, which paints the story of todayâs oil market. It's a capex chart that shows how much money companies spend on maintaining their seed corn. As you can tell, the energy sector has been out of favor while the technology sector has been all the rage: [OIL Capex]
The thing about investing in general and contrarian investing in particular is that stocks, sectors, and indexes have a way of reverting to their mean. What once was first will later be last. You may remember my article on sector investing from last week. This is very true of energy stocks. They have had a terrific rally since oil went negative on April 20, 2020. Blue chip oil stock ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) has climbed from $33 a share to $117. Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ: FANG) went from $26 a share to $156 a share. Range Resources (NYSE: RRC) went from $2.68 to $31.45. Tiny Stock Has 264 Patents on Groundbreaking AI Tech A little-known AI tech is becoming critical to the operations of 94% of corporations... Itâs projected to be in nine out of every 10 cars by 2028... And is already essential to the workflow of 80% of hospitals. Which is the real reason why Bill Gates bet an enormous $20 billion on this AI niche... double what he invested in ChatGPT. Yet one tiny company already holds 264 ironclad patents on this tech. And it's lined up to hand savvy investors like you 5,300% profits. [Click here for the full story.]( Those are impressive gains, but that capex chart tells us it's just getting started as we are just off a decade low. But first let's look at what happened in 2014, the year spending on oil died. Oversupply The oil crash of 2014 was caused by oversupply. First, banks were all-in on the fracking revolution, giving loans to anyone who could jam sand down a well. The problem was oil companies had to keep pumping oil no matter the price in order to service these loans. On top of this, OPEC decided it was a good time to fight for market share. It increased its output from 30 million barrels a day to 31.5 million. The idea was to drive all the U.S. frackers or their banks into bankruptcy. You may remember that the U.S. ran out of oil storage so Wall Street leased out oil tankers just to fill with oil and sit at anchor. Oil eventually hit bottom in the spring of 2016 at $25 a barrel before climbing back. [QUIZ] 46 BILLION Barrels of Oil?! A massive $5.9 trillion oil boom is about to take place. Three tiny companies just acquired the rights to mine an untapped patch holding 46 billion barrels of oil in a mystery location... And it even has the potential to reach $9 trillion in value if prices reach $200 per barrel! So which country do you think will lead this upcoming oil surge? - Venezuela
- Saudi Arabia
- Canada
- Russia Think you know the answer? [See if youâre right!]( Underproduction They say the cure for high oil prices is high oil prices. When everyone is making money, they will overproduce. Thatâs what happened. The opposite is also true, and that is where we are now. OPEC is cutting more than 1 million barrels of production a day. The U.S. banks have been reluctant to give loans to wildcatters, and oil companies everywhere are been saving money instead of spending it. That brings us to the here and now. WTI crude climbed again over the weekend to $92.33, and Brent crude is even higher at $94.57. This is the third week energy prices have been higher. Part of the surge in pricing has to do with Chinaâs recent industrial output report, which showed faster-than-expected growth in August. China has moved to jump-start its economy by lowering the reserve ratio for banks, which aims to increase liquidity in the system. I maintain that the Saudis are the best oil traders in the world. Their gambit to increase market share and hinder U.S. production worked. They have now gone the other way and stalled their own production in order to jack up prices. All the best, [Christian DeHaemer Signature] Christian DeHaemer [[follow basic]Check us out on YouTube!]( Christian is the founder of [Bull and Bust Report]( and an editor at [Energy and Capital](. For more on Christian, see his editor's [page](. [Fb]( [Li]( [Tw]( This email was sent to {EMAIL}. You can manage your subscription and get our privacy policy [here](. Energy and Capital, Copyright © 3 East Read Street, Baltimore, MD 21202. Please note: It is not our intention to send email to anyone who doesn't want it. If you're not sure why you're getting this e-letter, or no longer wish to receive it, get more info [here]( including our privacy policy and information on how to manage your subscription. If you are interested in our other publications, please call our customer service team at [1-877-303-4529](tel:/18773034529).