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Inflation Strategy: Don't Step in the Bucket

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energyandcapital.com

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Tue, Nov 30, 2021 08:12 PM

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The producer price index jumped 12.86% last month and CPI rose 6.24%, while import prices rose more

The producer price index (PPI) jumped 12.86% last month and CPI rose 6.24%, while import prices rose more than 10%. Inflation hasn’t been this high in decades… The producer price index (PPI) jumped 12.86% last month and CPI rose 6.24%, while import prices rose more than 10%. Inflation hasn’t been this high in decades... [Energy and Capital logo] Inflation Strategy: Don't Step in the Bucket [Christian DeHaemer Photo] By [Christian DeHaemer]( Written Nov 30, 2021 I painted the basement ceiling, walls, and trim over the weekend. My beautiful wife had ordered a couch in some prior epoch, but time has progressed as it is wont to do, and an email informed me that the couch would be showing up on Tuesday. Furthermore, my wife managed to find a new Xbox for the kids (who are now adults), and there has also been talk of a pool table, but the soon-to-be billiard room was looking tired. It had, after all, served as a hangout for teens for about a decade. I could have called Carlos and Juan, who are much better painters than I am, but I painted houses one summer in college and still pretend I'm a professional. But that was many, many years ago. But still, perhaps we are a bit ornery here at the DeHaemer homestead and still have the desire to do stuff ourselves. Besides, there is something zen about painting. You don’t have to think much. Just follow the pattern and check back for drips. In many ways, it is much like life or investing. The way to make it is to avoid big mistakes. Don’t step in the roller pan or accidentally kick over the bucket. Use a drop cloth. Make sure the dogs stay upstairs. Stay away from the hard drugs. Marry well. Use a stop-loss. Yes, Mr. Miyagi had it right. Up, down, up, down. You have time to think when you are putting on a clean coat of bright ceiling white. Your mind drifts. And you think of inflation. Back in 1989, I think I got about $5.50 an hour painting the college slums of Baltimore. Today, Carlos would ask for $20, and that would be cheap. His boss would ask for at least $1,000, if not $2,000. They say inflation is always and everywhere a monetary problem. That seems right. If you have more dollars, they are worth less individually. In the case of painting labor, a dollar will get you about a quarter of what it would have 22 years ago. The price of housing is also going up again. It boomed last year as people fled the city and bought up farmland. It died down a bit in the spring, but the numbers for October were outstanding, with a big jump from April, although they weren't up much from last year. Retail sales are doing well. Ex-autos jumped 17%, and consumer sentiment is high. Mastercard is reporting that sales jumped 29% on Black Friday over last year. Facebook Has Already Bet $50 Billion on ThisForget 5G — 2021’s Biggest Gains Will Be Here Mark Zuckerberg is no fool. So when he invests $50 billion in a brand-new technology, you'd better pay attention — especially when venture capitalists have also plowed $45 billion in it. Apple and Google have quietly added it to more than 1 billion smartphones. And this exclusive video reveals why this new tech breakthrough is about to revolutionize the computing world... and make a lot of people very rich. Early investors stand to make extraordinary gains of as much as 9,910%. But you have to hurry — this technology is about to go mainstream. [Click here now to get the inside story.]( But it's inflation that's really in an uptrend. The producer price index (PPI) jumped 12.86% last month and CPI rose 6.24%, while import prices rose more than 10%. Inflation hasn’t been this high in decades. It's been so long people have forgotten what it's like. JP Morgan came out with a note yesterday that predicted oil would hit $150 a barrel. Housing does well in inflationary times, and commodities are a nice bet. High-margin tech stocks tend to match pace. You'll want to stay away from high-paying dividend plays — they tend to get hammered when the real value of the dividend declines. You also might want to check out the iShares TIPS bond ETF (TIP). TIP tracks the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) Index, which is composed of inflation-protected U.S. Treasury bonds. It's up about 4.51% this year. And of course, there is that ancient relic that has held value for 5,000 years — gold. All the best, [Christian DeHaemer Signature] Christian DeHaemer [[follow basic]@TheDailyHammer on Twitter]( Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of [Bull and Bust Report]( and an editor at [Energy and Capital](. For more on Christian, see his editor's [page](. Browse Our Archives [NASA Will Put a Nuclear Reactor on the Moon by 2030]( [Jerome Powell's Fed Nomination Traps President Biden in an Invisible Box]( [We're Going Down to Bitcoin City, Where the Boys Are Rich and the Girls Are Pretty]( [Investing on Thanksgiving Day: An Analysis of Socially Responsible Investing]( [These Harvard Grads Just Publicly Embarrassed IBM]( --------------------------------------------------------------- This email was sent to {EMAIL}. It is not our intention to send email to anyone who doesn't want it. If you're not sure why you've received this e-letter, or no longer wish to receive it, you may [unsubscribe here](, and view our privacy policy and information on how to manage your subscription. To ensure that you receive future issues of Energy and Capital, please add newsletter@energyandcapital.com to your address book or whitelist within your spam settings. For customer service questions or issues, please contact us for assistance. Energy and Capital, Copyright © 2021, Angel Publishing LLC. All rights reserved. 3 E Read Street, Baltimore, MD 21202. Your privacy is important to us – we will never rent or sell your e-mail or personal information. Please read our [Privacy Policy](. Neither the publisher nor the editors are registered investment advisors. Subscribers should not view this publication as offering personalized legal or investment advice. Read our [Details and Disclosures.]( ---------------------------------------------------------------

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