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Profiting From the Shale Band

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Wed, Feb 12, 2020 07:12 PM

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Energy and Capital editor Keith Kohl explains why low oil prices are creating a big opportunity for

Energy and Capital editor Keith Kohl explains why low oil prices are creating a big opportunity for investors. Energy and Capital editor Keith Kohl explains why low oil prices are creating a big opportunity for investors. [Energy and Capital logo] Profiting From the Shale Band [Keith Kohl Photo] By [Keith Kohl]( Written Feb. 12, 2020 So you can’t make any money in oil and gas anymore? When Jim Cramer said that, I imagine that quite a few investors nodded their heads in agreement. Those people were also the same ones who waited until oil topped $100 before they got their feet wet. They were also the first to buy shares of Tesla at $968.99 apiece. Let’s see how that trade works out for them. But we can see why he took the most bearish sentiment possible, right? He said it wasn’t personal opinion or political, but rather economical. And after watching crude prices plummet more than 23% over the last four weeks, nobody can blame him. Blood is spilling freely into the streets right now, and you know just as well as I do that this isn’t the time to panic… because the opportunities are just starting to show themselves. Let the investment herd keep waiting to buy Tesla at $1,000. We’ll be too busy making money in oil and gas. Here’s why… This is the most severe market warning I have ever issued What you do in the next few days could determine your financial destiny. The same forces that have triggered every financial boom and bust during our lifetimes are combining in a way that is far deadlier than anything we’ve ever seen. This convergence is forming a powerful supercycle lethal enough to rip through the world economy in the months ahead... changing our lives forever. Everything about how you earn, spend, save, and invest your money will be permanently altered. There’s not a moment to lose.[See for yourself why I’m sounding the alarm bell now.]( Shale Band Profit Potential Fortunes have been built on the two most profitable words in oil: shale band. I [hinted]( at this a little bit last week when we talked about the low-price environment we’re in right now. Coined by Olivier Jakob back in the spring of 2015, the shale band is the price range that can support U.S. tight oil. When we are at the top end of the range, drillers will open the taps and extract crude at a frenzied pace. Conversely, companies hit the brakes at the low end of the price range. It’s a simple concept. When the shale band was first brought about five years ago, the range was set between $45 and $65 per barrel. That range is a bit lower now thanks to companies becoming more and more efficient every time a well is drilled. With crude struggling to stay above $50 per barrel, drillers are getting conservative… which makes sense. Right now, U.S. oil output stands at 13 million barrels per day according to the Energy Information Administration. That’s over 4 million barrels per day more than we were producing at the beginning of 2017! In late 2018, crude prices quickly rose above the top end of the shale band to around $76 per barrel, and it wasn’t long before they fell back into the range last year. Given the geopolitical storm that raged during the second half of 2019, we were well on our way to the top of the band. And that, dear reader, directly leads us to the catalyst that not only sparked oil’s latest price decline but is opening the door wide for investors. Iranian Oil Dominance Just Hit an Abrupt End First they lost their general, and now they’ve lost their oil. You’re actually in the midst of a historic moment... the U.S. and China have actually agreed to work together to end Iranian oil. The U.S. Treasury of State recently stated, “We’re working closely with [China] to make sure that [Iran] ceases all additional oil activities.” And as this political maneuvering hits critical mass, our in-house oil guru, Keith Kohl, is pounding the table on a “can’t miss” investment opportunity that could make you filthy rich. It costs just $2 to get started [(click here for the full details)](... Although production growth from U.S. tight oil has been the main concern regarding oversupply, what we’re seeing now is nothing short of a true black swan event. The demand destruction is taking place due to the coronavirus. The worst part about this outbreak is that most — if not all — of it is pure speculation. Whenever the Chinese government releases news regarding the severity of this event, we can’t help but take it with a grain of salt. If you’ve seen the footage coming directly from the streets of Wuhan, it tells an entirely different story. Naturally, this has everyone confused and scrambling to make the right call. Some reports have China’s demand drop pegged at 3 million barrels per day; others suggest the decline isn’t nearly as bad, only 450,000 bbls/d. Now, the real question is how long this situation will last. Things can get worse over the short term. The latest support this morning is stemming from news that Russia is studying the recommendation from OPEC+ that the demand destruction caused by the coronavirus warrants a fresh 600,000 bbls/d cut on top of the 1.7 million bbls/d of production curtailments that were already agreed upon. Don’t hold your breath. Any cut wouldn’t come until the next OPEC+ meeting, and even the Chinese government can’t keep a lid on this real situation for that long. That brings us back to the blood that is flowing in the oil markets. My readers and I love these opportunities, and it’s the time when we find our biggest winners. Finding those tight oil stocks that can turn a profit when crude is this low is one thing, but the real secret to a winning oil investment is finding the few companies that can grow production without taking on more debt. Although we may not have seen the bottom just yet, crude prices will make their way higher once the market is convinced we’ve moved past this epidemic. Now is the time to search out those cheap hidden gems in oil. Until next time, [Keith Kohl Signature] Keith Kohl [[follow basic]@KeithKohl1 on Twitter]( A true insider in the energy markets, Keith is one of few financial reporters to have visited the Alberta oil sands. His research has helped thousands of investors capitalize from the rapidly changing face of energy. Keith connects with hundreds of thousands of readers as the Managing Editor of [Energy & Capital]( as well as Investment Director of Angel Publishing's [Energy Investor.]( For years, Keith has been providing in-depth coverage of the Bakken, the Haynesville Shale, and the Marcellus natural gas formations — all ahead of the mainstream media. For more on Keith, go to his editor's [page](. Enjoy reading this article? [Click here]( to like it and receive similar articles to read! Browse Our Archives [Greed, Theft, and Banks]( [Warning to Electric Vehicle Investors: Big Oil Can’t Be Stopped]( [How Leaky Is Your Bucket?]( [The Contactless Payment System Revolution]( [Playing the Long Game With Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA)]( --------------------------------------------------------------- This email was sent to {EMAIL}. It is not our intention to send email to anyone who doesn't want it. If you're not sure why you've received this e-letter, or no longer wish to receive it, you may [unsubscribe here](, and view our privacy policy and information on how to manage your subscription. To ensure that you receive future issues of Energy and Capital, please add newsletter@energyandcapital.com to your address book or whitelist within your spam settings. For customer service questions or issues, please contact us for assistance. [Energy and Capital](, Copyright © 2020, [Angel Publishing LLC](. All rights reserved. 111 Market Place #720 Baltimore, MD 21202. The content of this site may not be redistributed without the express written consent of Angel Publishing. Individual editorials, articles and essays appearing on this site may be republished, but only with full attribution of both the author and Energy and Capital as well as a link to www.energyandcapital.com. Your privacy is important to us -- we will never rent or sell your e-mail or personal information. Please read our [Privacy Policy](. No statement or expression of opinion, or any other matter herein, directly or indirectly, is an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities or financial instruments mentioned. While we believe the sources of information to be reliable, we in no way represent or guarantee the accuracy of the statements made herein. [Energy and Capital]( does not provide individual investment counseling, act as an investment advisor, or individually advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment. The publisher, editors and consultants of Angel Publishing may actively trade in the investments discussed in this publication. They may have substantial positions in the securities recommended and may increase or decrease such positions without notice. Neither the publisher nor the editors are registered investment advisors. Subscribers should not view this publication as offering personalized legal or investment counseling. Investments recommended in this publication should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company in question.

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