Iran's massive oil discovery last weekend turned out to be a dud.
Energy and Capital editor Keith Kohl shows readers why Iran's massive oil discovery last weekend turned out to be a dud.
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The Lie
[Keith Kohl Photo] By [Keith Kohl](
Written Nov. 13, 2019
Forget light speed; Iran went straight to ludicrous speed.
When Iranian President Hassan Rouhani took to the podium over the weekend and announced the discovery of one massive new oil field, the press ate it up.
The media was loving it.
I called bullshit.
Don’t get me wrong, dear reader. When it comes to oil, OPEC has been an absolute powerhouse for 60 years.
Five countries came together and founded the oil cartel back in September of 1960, with the sole purpose of dominating the global oil market.
Last year, the organization boasted that it held 79.4% of the world’s proven reserves.
That comes out to roughly 1.19 trillion barrels of crude!
And they’re willing to achieve that goal no matter what they have to do.
The problem is that at this point it’s hard for us to take anything OPEC says with a grain of salt, especially when the mainstream media is quick to lap it up.
You see, OPEC has a nasty little habit of not telling the truth.
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Years ago, before the shale boom sent U.S. oil output soaring to new records, it was a very different environment.
OPEC members were held to a strict quota in order to — on the surface — provide stability to the oil markets.
Yet, because OPEC field data was so closely guarded, cheating on one’s quotas was not only routine — it was a running joke among analysts.
And that wasn’t the worst of their lying.
Between 1980 and 1990, seven OPEC members announced huge increases to their stated oil reserves.
Take a look for yourself:
[opec-reserves]
In Iraq’s case, they doubled their oil reserves TWICE within a five-year period!
With such a wonderful track record of these kinds of shenanigans, why could today be any different?
Still, the media headlines were flooded with the news that Iran had just discovered a 53 billion-barrel oil field and that the country just boosted its 150 billion barrels of proven reserves by one-third.
Incredible!
And just to rub it in President Trump’s face a little, this was how Iranian President Rouhani announced it:
I am telling the White House that in the days when you sanctioned the sale of Iranian oil and pressured our nation, the country’s dear workers and engineers were able to discover 53 billion barrels of oil in a big field.
This announcement was incredible [huge oil discovery revealed]
I just got off the most exciting conference call in recent memory.
A tiny Texas oil company just discovered $185 billion worth of oil under their land. That’s more than 1,200 times as much as this little company’s market cap, or $2,500 worth of oil for every $2 share of this company’s stock.
That’s right — you can still grab shares for $2 each — but that won’t last long.
[Go here for the full story.](
Even with OPEC’s shady dealings in the past, the media should shoulder some of the blame on this one.
For one, their frenzy to stir up clicks over the Trump vs. Iran narrative might’ve blinded them to this incredulous claim.
In fact, this discovery was so outrageous that it was impossible to keep the lie going for very long.
Within a day of the announcement, Iran’s oil minister backtracked President Rouhani’s announcement, saying that it only added 22.2 billion barrels of oil to Iran’s crude reserves.
Unfortunately, the situation is even worse for them.
If one thing holds true, it’s that the oil you have in the ground is useless unless you can get it out.
Just ask Venezuela how much those 302 billion barrels of poor-quality reserves are right now, considering PDVSA appears to have no chance of ever extracting them.
According to Iran’s oil minister, only 2.2 billion barrels of that oil can be extracted with current technology.
Whomp, whomp.
Next week, I’m going to show you what a real oil discovery looks like.
This one isn’t just some work of fiction, and it’s sparked one of the quietest oil booms here in the United States.
And it’s taking place somewhere you’d least expect.
Stay tuned.
Until next time,
[Keith Kohl Signature]
Keith Kohl
[[follow basic]@KeithKohl1 on Twitter](
A true insider in the energy markets, Keith is one of few financial reporters to have visited the Alberta oil sands. His research has helped thousands of investors capitalize from the rapidly changing face of energy. Keith connects with hundreds of thousands of readers as the Managing Editor of [Energy & Capital]( as well as Investment Director of Angel Publishing's [Energy Investor.]( For years, Keith has been providing in-depth coverage of the Bakken, the Haynesville Shale, and the Marcellus natural gas formations — all ahead of the mainstream media. For more on Keith, go to his editor's [page](.
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