The Power of Accurate Timing

Editor's note: Today, we're sharing another essay from Mason Sexton, the founder and chief investment analyst of our corporate affiliate New Paradigm Research. In it, he shares how he has been able to make big market calls – including his latest one... The old adage is that 'it's not about timing the market, it's about […] Not rendering correctly? View this e-mail as a web page [here](. [Empire Financial Daily Weekend] Editor's note: Today, we're sharing another essay from Mason Sexton, the founder and chief investment analyst of our corporate affiliate New Paradigm Research. In it, he shares how he has been able to make big market calls – including [his latest one](... --------------------------------------------------------------- The Power of Accurate Timing By Mason Sexton --------------------------------------------------------------- ['The Prophet' issues a MAJOR warning...]( He called the exact day that Bitcoin peaked... He predicted the exact hour marijuana stocks would begin their collapse... He even predicted the exact day the market would bottom after the COVID collapse... He's nailed so many major market moves with such accuracy that CNBC called him "The Prophet"... Now, he's issuing the boldest warning of his career... right down to the hour. He's predicting an EXTREMELY rare event is set to occur... one that hasn't happened for 15 years. Millions of Americans will be taken by surprise when this happens. But you have an opportunity to prepare yourself NOW. [Click here to reveal his message in full](. --------------------------------------------------------------- The old adage is that 'it's not about timing the market, it's about time in the market'... We would, respectfully, disagree. The reason investors believe this is because very few people can time the market consistently. As it happens, one of the four analysts credited with predicting the 1987 crash – one that was a client of mine – went on to raise a $700 million fund. That was a lot of money back then. Unfortunately, her market timing skills apparently disappeared shortly after she stopped being a client. The $700 million fund would experience tremendous losses and close within a year. Much later, she would raise another, more modest, fund. This time, the explicit strategy was that it would "have nothing to do with market timing." That fund collapsed too... But what if we told you that it was possible to predict the tops and bottoms of markets with startling accuracy? That is what we have done for the past 40 years. The story of the 1987 collapse was one example. But there are more. For instance, on August 9, 1982, we were quoted in the Dow Jones News Service saying, "[a] massive rally [was] about to begin in stocks, bonds, and gold." That was almost the exact day of the low and the kick-off to a 15-month rally that took the Dow Jones Industrial Average up nearly 100%. A simultaneous rally in all three of these assets had never occurred before, making this prediction truly unique. And over the past few decades, our skills at market prediction have only improved. We have been fortunate to call virtually every important top and bottom over the intervening years. That includes the top in 2000, the bottom in 2002, as well as the Mini Crash on 9/11 in 2001 and subsequent trading suspension. In fact, we had warned of a possible terrorist attack at that time and had all our clients short or in cash. On March 9, 2009, we advised clients of a major low ending the Great Financial Crisis. More recently, we predicted the COVID Crash within a few days as well as the subsequent low on March 23, 2020. That day, we put out a buy list of 13 "blue chip" companies such as Bank of America (BAC), Boeing (BA), Caterpillar (CAT), Deere (DE), Disney (DIS), and FedEx (FDX) which caught the exact lows for the cycle within a few percentage points. On March 24, one day later, we said, "Based on Friday's recommendation, we are long the SPY from 220.5." We played that rally from the long side right into the January 4, 2022 top. On January 5, we sent a note to clients stating, "We expect a top in the current 'death zone' between now and next Monday." --------------------------------------------------------------- Recommended Link: [Whitney Tilson lunches with controversial friend]( "I just had lunch with the man who accurately predicted the crash of '87," Whitney Tilson says. "And I asked him if I could send you his latest research... including what he's predicting next, where he believes the market's going, and the controversial technique he uses to make such accurate calls." [Click here to see what he had to say in his recent presentation](. --------------------------------------------------------------- One market prediction we were was particularly happy with came in August of 2022... On Thursday, August 25, we sent a letter with the headline, "Potential sharp decline lies ahead on breaking support!" That very day, the S&P 500 began a steep decline. It would fall 6.5% over the next week. In fact, during 2022's volatile bear market, which saw the S&P decline almost 20%, our recommendations for buying and selling the SPY Index produced net gains of 38%. In other words, the "time in the market" investors lost approximately 20% last year. Meanwhile, our market timing produced net gains of 38%. Even as recently as this year, we predicted – during an interview with our colleague Chris Lowe – a "crushing decline in stocks starting as soon as tomorrow, March 7." That very day, the S&P declined 3% over the next three days. We're happy to say that not only can we predict these market movements, but we can do it consistently... In fact, during a July 1985 broadcast of Nightly Business Report, host Paul Kangas gave us an 83% accuracy rating for "calling the daily swings in the market over the previous year." These are just a few examples as to why our hedge fund clients have continued to buy our research throughout all these years. In fact, over the past few years, two of the top performing hedge funds in the world in 2022 were our clients. So, what's the secret behind how we do it? As mentioned, successful investing depends on timing... For that reason, we concentrate on understanding the market cycles and forces that influence them. Once understood, you discover these market forces (or "rhythms") are predictable. They are not a matter of chance. The important thing to know is that these market forces... these "rhythms"... are shaped by natural forces. They have their roots in natural law. That means there is nothing mystical about them. Because of that, you can apply mathematical analysis, so you can take what has happened in the past and apply it to the future. Just as you can apply mathematical analysis to the division of cells and the structure of DNA in the human body or the movements of the heavenly bodies, so too can you apply it to the natural laws that determine the economy and investment markets. Just to be clear: Our knowledge of investing and trading the markets is informed through 45 years of experience. We've worked at and advised some of Wall Street's leading firms (We were employee number 188 at Morgan Stanley & Co.), including the top-performing hedge funds. This experience has been greatly enriched by studying and applying the most predictive technical methods available. This includes the natural (or holistic) techniques, such as the price/time work of W.D. Gann... the number progression of Italian mathematician Fibonacci (born Leonardo Bonacci)... and the cycle work of J.M. Hurst, among others. At key points over many years, by using what we've learned from these masters, we have made extremely accurate and timely predictions of future market events. That includes the latest big prediction... In a special presentation, we share the details on an ominous threat now facing America. There are people out there who have worked hard. They have tried to do the right thing. And they maybe have a vision of the future and how they're going to live. But for millions of them, that dream could be absolutely shred to pieces... And they have no idea what's coming. You can watch it – and learn what to do to prepare – [right here](. Regards, Mason Sexton --------------------------------------------------------------- If someone forwarded you this e-mail and you would like to be added to the Empire Financial Daily e-mail list to receive e-mails like this every weekday, simply [sign up here](. © 2023 Empire Financial Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Empire Financial Research, 1125 N. Charles Street, Baltimore, Maryland 21201 [www.empirefinancialresearch.com.]( You received this e-mail because you are subscribed to Empire Financial Daily. [Unsubscribe from all future e-mails](