You are receiving this email because you signed up to receive our free e-letter the Wealth Whisperer 3 Clever Strategies To Capitalize on the Commercial Property Crisis 02/19/2024 There is a ticking time-bomb that just ignited in the banking sector. Over $1 trillion in commercial real estate loans are set to mature by the end of this year. No one truly knows what these empty office buildings are worth. Brokers have begun discounting Blackstone Manhattan commercial property debt by almost 50%. Source: MidJourney.com
Since most commercial loans are interest-only, banks and real estate investment trusts (REITs) carry the entire principal on their books. That means they have to cover any losses when they sell the property. Recently, New York Community Bank, one of the supposed "winners" from last year's regional banking crisis, saw its stock chopped in half. The bank shocked investors regarding how much money they set aside to cover potential losses. Most folks donât want to go anywhere near these problems, especially with their retirement portfolios. However, weâre going to reveal three clever strategies to capitalize on this crisis while managing risk. SPONSORED CONTENT [Chinaâs Global Conspiracy to Destroy the American Dollar]( China is nearing the end of its 40-year plan to dominate the worldâs economy. Only one obstacle remains: The U.S. dollar. But not for long... because China has enlisted many co-conspirators to sink the dollar: Russia, India, Brazil, Argentina, Germany and even Canada. And -- no surprise -- the International Monetary Fund (IMF) wants to jump in to help China win. This means China now has the power to crush the dollar almost overnight... and bankrupt America, along with most of your investments. But thereâs still time to protect your money and retirement. [Click here now to find out how... before itâs too late.]( [Click Here to Read More...]( Strategy #1 - Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) Instead of Stocks Regional banks hold 70% of all commercial real estate loans. New York Community Bank (NYCB) was a particularly interesting case. Over half of its multi-family loan portfolio is in New York, which is subject to rent control. While rent-stabilized housing defaults are typically low, like 0.32%, they skyrocketed last year to 4.93%. But this stock doubled off its lows, while Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL) quintupled. Now, chances are you donât own NYCB in your retirement portfolio. And you probably donât hold stocks like Vornado Realty Trust (VNO)... ⦠a REIT that owns over 19 million square feet of office space in Manhattan, San Francisco and Chicago -- three places where crime is up, jobs are down and people are fleeing ... ⦠but also more than doubled off its 2023 high. However, it would be nice to catch a piece of the action, wouldnât it? Although there are plenty of juicy stocks prime for the picking, the average investor isnât going to take the time to peer through a bankâs books. And unless youâre skilled in that area, we wouldnât suggest you try. However, ETFs can limit your exposure to individual bank problems while riding. Consider thisâ¦. Silicon Valley Bankâs failure was the second largest in history, only behind Washington Mutual in 2008. SVBâs stock went to zero. Western Allianceâs stock plunged 90% at its worst. The KRE Regional Bank ETF plunged over 40% once the crisis hit in March 2023. Within four months, it had cut those losses in half. The overall S&P largely shrugged off the problem. The broader financial sector dropped almost 16%, while the VNQ REIT ETF dropped about 13%. Both recovered all they lost within four months. Industry and sector-based ETFs help reduce drawdown risk while providing exposure to rebounds. And if youâre smart with how you approach the position, keeping your size small and dollar cost averaging into it, you can earn some nice gains on others' pains. Sponsored Content [If everyone knew this, Wall Street would go out of business]( There's a "hush-hush" trading strategy institutional investors like to keep to themselves... Because if everyone knew about it, they'd be out of business! In fact, some traders are using it to win 9 out every 10 trades they place. [Click here and I'll show you how it works.]( [Click Here to Read More...]( Strategy #2 - Try Some Options One of our favorite option strategies is whatâs known as a put credit spread. And with a clever adjustment, you can create a straightforward bet that can return 50-100% on your investment. Hereâs the mechanics of how it works:
- Pick an ETF like the KRE
- Wait for the ETF to drop a large amount, like 20-40%, as the KRE did.
- Select an expiration cycle about nine-12 months out.
- Sell an at-the-money put credit spread
This bet makes money so long as the KRE is higher within the next year, with the maximum gain at expiration. A year might seem like a long time to wait. But youâre betting the broader industry will recover within a year. Short of a total systemic collapse in the banking system like 2008, that shouldnât happen, especially with the Fed willing and able to step in and save the market. Plus, if the KRE rebounds quickly, you can always take the trade-off for a partial profit. Now, thereâs one strategy we saved for last that blows these other two away. [Learn to Trade Like Interest Rates Don't Matter]( As February overflows with interest rate headlines, hereâs a fresh perspective for you: Learn to trade like interest rates donât matter. Whether you're a stock trader, options trader, swing trader, or day trader, this A.I. âBrainâ is predicting market movements days in advance. [Donât Miss This FREE Live Class to Learn How >]( [Click Here to Read More...]( Strategy #3 - Get the Money You Are Owed Most Americans donât realize how much money is out there just waiting for them to claim. For example, have you ever looked at unclaimed assets held by the states youâve lived in? Any leftover paychecks, refunds or similar items that never find their way to you are held in state accounts, waiting for you to claim them. Weâre talking billions of dollars. And itâs not just your assets. You may have claims for your parents as well. This is one of the most obvious places to collect the money youâre owed. But did you know there are 11 guaranteed streams of lifetime income 96% of Americans are missing entirely? It sounds crazy, we know. Bob Carlson explains how you can recapture this lost wealth in his latest Retirement Watch update [RIGHT HERE.]( To Your Wealth,
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