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Dividend Investing Weekly: Red Flags Raise Market Volatility

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Mon, Apr 8, 2024 05:18 PM

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You are receiving this email because you signed up to receive our free e-letter Dividend Investing Weekly, or you purchased a product or service from its publisher, Eagle Financial Publications. [Dividend Investing Weekly] [Cash Machine]( [Quick Income Trader]( [Breakout Profits Alert]( [Hi-Tech Trader]( Red Flags Raise Market Volatility by Bryan Perry Editor, [Cash Machine]( 04/08/2024 Sponsored Content [Only own the best: 7 stocks poised for greatness in 2024]( The uncertainty rattling the markets is off the charts. But according to one of America's leading tech investors, if you're looking to protect your portfolio from the chaos and even significantly grow it in 2024... You need to own these 7 stocks. [Click for FREE report.]( An interesting development occurred late last week when the employment data was released showing the economy added 303,000 non-farm jobs to payrolls, a full 50% more than had been forecast. Nonfarm Private Payrolls increased 232,000, also considerably higher than the 160,000 estimate, which followed the ADP Employment report for March that showed an increase of 184,000 jobs that, too, was well above the 150,000 forecast. Without question, it was a good week for the U.S. labor market. On most other occasions, such a strong report that takes the market by total surprise and sends bond yields higher would be met with widespread selling of stocks under the belief that any future rate cuts would be delayed indefinitely. But instead, stocks rallied, the takeaway being that a strong labor market seemingly bodes well for corporate earnings and the outlook for sustained economic growth. The 10-year T-Note settled the week out at a five-month high of 4.38% and the 2-year T-Note at 4.73%. This data comes on the heels of some hotter-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data in mid-March followed by the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data reported on Good Friday with the markets closed. Come the following Monday, stocks rallied on this report along with some soothing comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, only to see the market get sold off sharply from hawkish words out of Minneapolis Fed President Neil Kashkari and news of Israel canceling home leave for all combat troops in the event of an retaliatory attack by Iran after the Israeli strike in Syria that killed a top Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) commander and five other IRGC officers. For the market to have regained its footing during Friday’s session was rather impressive, implying the "buy the dip" mentality is still very much intact heading into the first quarter reporting season that kicks off this week with big money center banks posting their results on Friday. Adding to the bullish sentiment, the Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate for Q1 global domestic product (GDP) growth was raised to 2.5% from 2.1% at the end of March. [Shark Tank’s Kevin O’Leary is Putting His Money Here]( If you have ever watched Shark Tank, you know Kevin O’Leary ("Mr. Wonderful") is very protective of his money. In fact, he expects to multiply his investments by at least 10x when he gets in... and the company Bryan Perry discusses in this video is exactly what "Mr. Wonderful" looks for. In fact, not only did Kevin invest his money in it, he also put his own personal team to work in the company. And Bryan calls this opportunity part of “the greatest wealth transfer in history.” To learn more, [click here now to watch this video.]( In another development, the managed care sector was sold off aggressively after the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) set a lower-than-expected reimbursement rate for the privately run healthcare plans for 2025. The Biden administration's decision to hold payment rates unchanged has surprised analysts, with JPMorgan noting that only once over the past 10 years have regulators failed to improve final rates from preliminary rates. "We now see the deteriorating rate environment becoming a risk to forward estimates," Bank of America analyst Kevin Fischbeck wrote. This once-reliable growth and dividend sector is in full retreat. In yet another development fueling market volatility is the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude topping $87/bbl last week amid Middle Eastern tensions and OPEC+ stating they will extend the production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day for the second quarter of 2024. It reported that Mexico is also slashing exports, compounding American sanctions of Russian oil set to put more pressure on U.S. supplies as the summer driving season approaches. A further rise in oil prices and other commodities complicates future rate cut deliberations. It's no surprise the confluence of these situations has the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) popping higher, along with the price of gold finishing the week out at a new all-time closing high of $2,3219/troy oz., even as the dollar ticked higher. In most circumstances, bullish domestic economic data and strong quarterly sales and earnings win out over geopolitical concerns and spikes in commodities, which are generally deemed to be temporary. [3 Steps for Surviving the "Perfect Storm" Market Crash]( Recent moves by the Fed could wipe out billions of dollars in the market…worse than the .com bubble, housing meltdown, or covid-crash combined. Navigating this requires more than gut instinct; it calls for the sophisticated edge that artificial intelligence trading software provides. [Learn to Protect Your Money Ahead of Any disastrous Event for FREE >]( And this time around may prove to be no different than other periods of collective stress. The ballooning Federal debt, a high-profile boarder crisis and further destabilizing of the United States/China relationship are also clouding the investment landscape. The reshoring of industries away from China has resulted in a sharp decline investment into the world’s second largest economy. Analysts are concerned China will flood foreign markets with ultra-cheap pricing to spur its economy, threatening U.S. businesses. Against this increasingly uncertain backdrop comes the potential for a promising earnings season that can provide impetus to cast aside these negative headline stories as noise and bring about a further rise for the market averages that has seen some broadening out of the rally. For Q1 2024, the estimated (year-over-year) earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 is 3.2%. If 3.2% is the actual growth rate for the quarter, it will mark the third-straight quarter of year-over-year earnings growth for the index. (FactSet Earnings Insight) Without question, the market is seeking another great quarter from the leading artificial intelligence (AI) and technology companies, but there is also strong relative strength being exhibited in numerous leading industrial, transportation, communications, energy, materials and consumer discretion. The rally is better represented now by sector participation than at any time in the past year. But with the tech sector accounting for a 30.58% weighting of the S&P 500 and a 50.08% weighting for the Nasdaq, there is no doubt about which sector needs to deliver solid earnings, and more importantly, bullish forward guidance. Sincerely, [bryan-perry-sig] Bryan Perry Editor, Cash Machine Editor, Premium Income PRO Editor, Quick Income Trader Editor, Breakout Options Alert Editor, Micro-Cap Stock Trader About Bryan Perry: [Bryan Perry]Bryan Perry specializes in high dividend paying investments. This weekly e-letter combines his decades-long experience in income investing with a simple, easy-to-read format that investors of all stripes can work into their portfolios. Bryan also serves as Editor of these services: [Cash Machine]( [Premium Income PRO]( [Quick Income Trader]( [Breakout Profits Alert]( [Hi-Tech Trader]( and [Micro-Cap Stock Trader](. About Us: Eagle Financial Publications is located in Washington, D.C. – only a few blocks from the Capitol. Our products have been helping investors build their wealth for several decades. Whether you’re a long-term investor or short-term trader, you’ll find the right strategy for you, including how to earn more steady income to spend now, preserve and grow your capital to enjoy later, and whatever other investment goals you have. Visit Our Websites: - [StockInvestor.com]( - [DividendInvestor.com]( - [DayTradeSPY.com]( - [CoveredCall]( - [MarkSkousen.com]( - [GilderReport.com]( - [BryanPerryInvesting.com]( - [JimWoodsInvesting.com]( - [InvestmentHouse.com]( - [RetirementWatch.com]( - [SeniorResource.com]( - [GenerationalWealthStrategies.com]( - [InvestInFiveStarGems.com]( - [[YouTube] Visit our YouTube Channel - Eagle Investing Network]( To ensure future delivery of Eagle Financial Publications emails please add financial@info2.eaglefinancialpublications.com to your address book or contact list. This email was sent to {EMAIL} because you are subscribed to Bryan Perry's Dividend Investing Weekly. To unsubscribe from this list please click [here](. To stop receiving emails simply click [here](. If you have questions, please send them to [Customer Service](mailto:customerservice@eaglefinancialpublications.com). View this email in your [web browser](. Legal Disclaimer: Any and all communications from Eagle Products, LLC. employees should not be considered advice on finances. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed as personalized advice on finances. Eagle Financial Publications - Eagle Products, LLC. - a Salem Communications Holding Company 122 C Street NW, Suite 515 | Washington, D.C. 20001 [Link](

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