[Image] March 12, 2024 ð Tuesday Market Outlook: March 12, 2024 ðï¸ What's up, traders⦠Jeff here. This week, weâll find out whether Fridayâs sell-off was a momentary blip or the beginning of a major trend reversal. Yesterday we got another bearish day as the market is trying to get its head around what the Fed is going to do with inflation. Of course, everyone wants to know when theyâre gonna start cutting rates. The market seems to have already priced in the death of inflation â so a lot is riding on todayâs consumer price index (CPI) report. On Friday, we saw some profit-taking in Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) and other market leaders. Yesterday, more tech stocks, notably Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: META), got slammed. Meanwhile, some big recent winners across the semiconductor space â like Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ: AMD) and Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MU) â are also starting to take a beating. Sponsored ðUnlock the Future of AI Stocks! The AI revolution is just beginning. With developments spreading rapidly, small-cap companies could benefit the most from the next AI boom. So Tim Bohenâs team is going live to share the newest cutting-edge AI technology and show you the small-cap stocks theyâre watching right now! Don't let this opportunity slip away. Reserve your seat now and be at the forefront of the next AI boom! [Click here to secure your spot]( Big picture-wise, weâre starting to see a reversal in the tech sector followed by rotation into more defensive stocks. For example, I noticed gold miners catching a bid yesterday â a clear defensive play. Beaten-down tech stocks are also trying to catch a bid, but you can't count on those. All of this is feeling rather bearish. So, please, whatever you do â play it tight this week. Again, itâs all about the CPI report⦠The CPI Report If you arenât reading the CPI report today, youâre missing a huge part of whatâs driving the overall marketâs direction⦠Hereâs what you should be watching for in todayâs report: Inflation Rate As you know, rising inflation has been one of the biggest headwinds for stocks over the past few years. CPI reports are where we find out how inflation is doing. A rising or âhotâ CPI suggests inflation is increasing, potentially leading to higher interest rates, which usually cause stocks to fall. Conversely, a lower or âcoolingâ CPI indicates lower inflation, which often causes stocks to rally (as traders speculate about rates getting cut sooner). Core CPI vs. Overall CPI The core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices due to their volatility, gives a clearer picture of the underlying inflation trends. The Core CPI is the one you should be highlighting⦠Pay more attention to the core CPI to assess long-term inflationary pressures without the noise from short-term price swings in energy and food. Sector-Specific Data The CPI report also includes detailed breakdowns by sector, such as housing, transportation, and healthcare. You can analyze these sections to understand how inflation is affecting specific pockets of the stock market. Then, you can potentially use that data to influence your sector-specific trading. Make no mistake â this CPI report is crucial to determine how the market will react following its recent bearishness. With tech stocks this fragile, a hot CPI could send the market deeper into the red⦠And like an earnings report, itâs all about how the CPI lines up with analyst expectations: Economists expect the overall CPI reading in February to show 0.4% month-over-month growth, up from 0.3% in January, with the year-over-year growth rate holding steady at 3.1%, [according to FactSetâs consensus estimates](. In the stock market, bulls want to see the leaders (like NVDA) continue upward with a little bit of sector rotation. But considering the out-and-out selling in tech with heavy volume, I just don't believe that the Apples and the Googles of the world are gonna carry the market. Donât bet on stocks that are currently getting killed. Play it safe. Or, better idea, do what I do â focus on Burn Notice trades. 133% in 3 Days: 5 Recent âBurn Noticeâ Wins Take a look at five monster winners from the Burn Notice Alliance over the past month*: So, What Are You Waiting For?! Every week, I share trade ideas (just like these) inside my flagship research trading service â Burn Notice Alliance! Hereâs what youâll get by signing up: - ð 4 new trade alerts every week (like the five home runs I just mentioned)
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