[Image] March 05, 2024 ð Tuesday Market Outlook: March 5, 2024 ðï¸ Happy Tuesday, traders. Jeff here. This is a big week in the stock market â the first full trading week of March. We've got lots of craziness and palpable mania in different pockets of the market. There's FOMO, there's greed, and there's chasing⦠Semiconductor stocks, AI stocks, and crypto have been going to the moon. Of course, Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) keeps crushing⦠NVDA YTD daily chart â courtesy of [StocksToTrade.com]( And with Bitcoin (BTC) edging closer to all-time highs, we're seeing crypto stocks like MicroStrategy Inc. (NASDAQ: MSTR) make 25% moves⦠MSTR 10-day 5-minute chart â courtesy of [StocksToTrade.com]( Sponsored Strike While the Iron is HOT Success in trading comes down to how simple you can make your process. You donât need to be a trading genius. You donât need a big account. You just need to study hard and word hard like Tim Sykesâs 30+ Millionaire students did. The iron is scolding right now⦠[Join the live training room here]( But whatâs interesting is that these moves arenât boosting the entire tape. Yesterday, we had some selling in certain pockets of the NASDAQ, which is intriguing, to say the least⦠This contained bearishness is creating opportunities in the short run called âdislocationsâ â immediate moves where a stock breaks the trend from its sector. One example would be Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) shedding 3% yesterday. The former âcould-do-no-wrongâ tech darling is now being sold off while NVDA makes new highs daily. A lot of less-experienced traders will look at this and think they should buy AAPL because itâs a laggard. WARNING: No, that's not what you should do. To me, these dislocations are a clear sign that the market is not as healthy as people think. When you start to see former darlings starting to lag, youâre very likely to see more selling in the near term⦠Growth vs. Defense Moving on from tech, there was one big move that surprised me yesterday. Iâm talking about the counterintuitive 3.5%+ surge in the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: GDX). GDX 10-day 5-minute chart â courtesy of [StocksToTrade.com]( The recent rally in tech stocks has been driven by FOMO, greed, speculative technology, and crypto. These are growth sectors â the exact opposite of defensive stocks. Considering this, you may be wondering why GDX â one of the most classic âdefensive playsâ in the market â gained so much yesterday⦠Well, it makes perfect sense if you're thinking about it from the viewpoint that crypto is seen as a store of wealth. If crypto is a store of wealth and people are scared of FIAT currency, then gold looks more attractive as a hedge to FIAT currency. So, I think this GDX run might have legs for the entire week. Keep a close eye on this one from the long side. The February Jobs Report Turning to the macro side of things, we have Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaking to Congress on Wednesday and Thursday. Then, on Friday, weâll get a look at the February jobs report, which is gonna be extremely important for the near-term direction of the market. When these big reports come out, Wall Street traders have a hidden weakness⦠If you know what to look for, you can identify this fear cycle and devise a strategy to weaponize your trading for this exact situation. Hereâs what you need to know: 1. The actual jobs number doesnât matter I donât care about the actual jobs number. As shocking as this may sound, itâs the truth. Anyone who tells you they know what the number will be is lying. Iâm not in the business of predicting events out of my control. Rather, I care about the fear cycle surrounding it⦠2. Pay attention to âThe Fear Gaugeâ As anticipation for the release of the jobs report starts to grow, traders are on the edge of their seats. The marketâs anxiousness is measured by volatility, a.k.a. âThe Fear Gaugeâ... And that uncertainty is where your focus should be if you want to potentially profit off of this situation⦠Watch for spikes and dips in the volatility index (VIX) for signals about where the market is headed this week. But most importantly, donât let FOMO get the best of you. Donât chase this rally. Chasing stocks like NVDA or MSTR makes no sense right now, especially in the options market. A lot of these moves are already priced in with implied volatility (IV). So, you have to let the overall exuberance settle down a little bit before picking your spots. You might even consider playing some puts because theyâre so cheap right now. But to chase the calls on the upside here is an exercise in futility. Stay disciplined out there. Happy trading, Jeff Zananiri P.S. 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