The Human Race Is Dying Out

Here’s Why Were you forwarded this email? [Sign-up to The Daily Reckoning here.]( [Unsubscribe]( [Daily Reckoning] The Human Race Is Dying Out - “The human race is dying out”… - The enemy is us… - Then Jim Rickards shows you the time bomb that could spell the end of humanity itself… Recommended Link [Urgent Crash Warning for August 23rd, 2021]( [Read more here...]( Everyone already knows that the stock market is in a bubble… But now some experts are starting to predict that the bubble will burst sooner than anyone expected and hit harder than anyone could have imagined. With some experts saying that we could see a stock market sell-off of 80% or more as soon as next week… This could completely decimate the retirement saving of millions of Americans all at once. So if you care about you and your family’s wealth the time to act is NOW. That’s why we flew in one of the top traders in America to tell you exactly what you need to do to get ready for this impending crash… But hurry, because if you wait until tomorrow, it could already be too late. [Click Here See His FREE Presentation]( Portsmouth, New Hampshire August 23, 2021 [Jim Rickards]Dear Reader, It’s so easy to get caught up in current events that we lose sight of the big picture. Today, I want to focus on the big picture because of the serious economic consequences at stake. Let me start with a statement that’s going to startle you: The human race is dying out. Did you get that? That’s not an apocalyptic prediction or a scare headline. It’s also not a guess. It’s a simple fact that I explain in detail below with math. The decline in the human population is not because of climate change. There is some climate change, but it’s not that unusual and is easily manageable. Hysterical claims about climate change being an “existential crisis” are simply false. It’s a political agenda pushed by globalist elites who have no idea about the actual science. The decline won’t be because of starvation or an inability to produce enough food. That threat has been discussed at least since Thomas Malthus articulated it in his 1798 book An Essay on the Principle of Population. The Malthusian view was that population grows exponentially and agricultural output grows in a linear fashion (if at all), so it was just a matter of time before the population’s needs exceeded the available food supply and humans would begin a period of mass starvation. It turns out that Malthus (an otherwise solid economist) was wrong on both counts. Agricultural productivity has soared while population growth has leveled off. The battle to feed the planet was won long ago. There is more than enough food for everyone on earth. Any remaining pockets of starvation or low nutrition are due to political corruption or war. They are not due to overall food shortages. There’s plenty of food. The population decline won’t be because of a pandemic, either. Of course, pandemics are serious and the current pandemic has resulted in an estimated 4 million deaths. That’s a large number and obviously tragic for the individuals and families involved. Still, it’s only 0.00053% of the global population (about 7.9 billion today). The Black Death of the 14th century killed approximately 33% of the population of Europe; some estimates are as high as 50%. The human race survived. The population decline won’t be because of war. Wars are tragic and can involve massive loss of life. Yet the most large-scale war in history, World War II, resulted in an estimated 75 million deaths, counting both military and civilian casualties. That was about 0.033% of the global population at the time. That’s a horrific death toll, but not existential in terms of the survival of the human race. Likewise natural disasters, tsunamis, earthquakes, hurricanes, and other highly impactful events result in lost lives, but nothing close to threatening the continuation of human life. An asteroid strike on the earth could be existential, but the last known impact took place 66 million years ago. Scientists have recently raised the chances, slightly, of an asteroid impacting Earth within the next 200 years. I think you can sleep well at night without fear of an asteroid impact. We can’t rule out another such event in the near future, but the odds are sufficiently low that we can safely ignore it. Besides, the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory is far along in developing asteroid diversion technology so maybe we don’t have to be too concerned about asteroids either. So far, I’ve listed the potentially scary events that don’t really pose an existential threat to the human race. But what is the true threat that could decimate the human race? Read on for the answer. Regards, Jim Rickards for The Daily Reckoning P.S. Have you seen my [new blockbuster video on the Sixth Domain of War?]( It’s generating a lot of chatter on the internet. I think you’ll see why when you [click here]( to see it. It involves instead a massive, $6.6 trillion daily flow of capital that you can tap for potentially large gains. [And I recently revealed my proprietary secret]( for profiting from this massive, $6.6 trillion daily flow of capital that’s overlooked by most investors. Quite simply, few know nothing about it. And that’s a shame. But I’m out to change all that. [My system is called C.O.B.R.A.]( My team and I have built a new computerized Tactical Operations Center to track this massive cross-border capital flow. It’s something you really need to see. I think you’ll be amazed. [Click here now for details.]( Recommended Link [Federal Order #2222 Just Unlocked A $1.2 Trillion Opportunity]( [Read more here...]( Most Americans have probably never heard of Federal Order #2222 before, but experts are calling it… “A Game-Changer”… “A Landmark Ruling”… and “The Most Significant Order Ever Issued”. Why such the high praise? Because Federal Order #2222 just kicked off a new tech boom poised to surge 12,100%… Unlocking $1.2 trillion in new wealth over the coming years. With a little-known 3-letter ticker symbol at the center of it all. Get the details on Federal Order #2222… and the #1 Ticker Symbol For This Government-Backed Tech Boom – For FREE [Click Here To Learn More]( The Daily Reckoning Presents: Demographics is destiny… ****************************** The Demographic Time Bomb By Jim Rickards [Jim Rickards]The reason humans are dying out is simple and straightforward. It’s best summarized in the famous line from Walt Kelly’s 1970 Pogo cartoon: “We have met the enemy and he is us.” Humans are the reason humans are dying out. We’re not having enough babies. It’s that simple. When I use the word “enough” it’s important to put a mathematical value on that. This is not guesswork. The key number is 2.1. That refers to 2.1 children per couple, known as the replacement rate. The replacement rate is the number of children each couple must have on average to maintain global population at a constant level. A birth rate of 1.8 is below the replacement rate of 2.1. This means your population is declining. It may be aging also as the existing population lives longer and new births neither replace the dying nor lower the median age. A birth rate of 4.1 is well above the replacement rate. This means your population is expanding and your median age is falling even as individuals live longer. Behavior is complex, but the math is really that simple. The replacement rate of 2.1 is the dividing line between population growth and decline. Why isn’t the replacement rate 2.0? If two people have two children doesn’t that maintain the population at a constant level? The answer is no because of infant mortality and other premature deaths. If a couple has two children and one dies before reaching adulthood, then only one child can contribute to future population growth as an adult. A birth rate of 2.1 makes up for this factor and contributes two adult children per two adult parents. Obviously, no one has 2.1 children. The replacement rate is an average. If five couples have three children each and two other couples have one child each, the average of the seven couples is 2.43 per couple, comfortably above the replacement rate of 2.1. Likewise, there’s no need for each couple to have an equal number of boys and girls. Again, it’s all about the averages. If one couple has three boys and another couple has three girls the overall boy/girl distribution is 50/50 and the birth rate is 3.0. That works just fine to grow the population. By the way, in large population samples there are slightly more boys than girls born. That’s perfectly normal and is caused by genetic factors. It’s not a problem. As long as there are more boys than girls then there’s no practical limit on the ability of each female to reproduce. That’s what counts in demographics. This is the reality: Demographics are not just one of many factors affecting markets. Demographics are the dominant factor by a wide margin. I can all list the factors that affect market prices. These include interest rates, exchange rates, inflation, deflation, central bank policy rates, supply chains, geopolitics, consumer expectations and many more. Recommended Link [Controversial Tweet ignites a battle]( [Read more here...]( In a recent tweet... a top CEO took a dig at the world’s second-richest man and called him a copy cat. Question is, is this man a “copy cat,” or just copying his own formula of success? Amazon... AWS... Whole Foods. It’s been one success story after another. And now he’s all set for his next win. All early signs point to it being his biggest success story. And while his competition laughs and makes fun, regular Americans can take advantage of the developing situation and make a small fortune. [Click Here To See How]( Still, none of these are as important as demographics because demographics are about people and economies are nothing more than the sum total of the actions of individuals in those economies. Demographically, Japan is the canary in the coal mine. Japan has had multiple recessions and no sustained growth for over thirty years. This modern depression coincides with the fact that Japan has the oldest society of any major economy. The median age in Japan today is 48.6 years. (Today’s median age in the U.S. is 38.5 and in China it is 38.4). Those numbers will get worse rapidly. In 2050, the Japanese median will be 53 years. China will be 50 years and the U.S. will be 42 years. Old age is highly correlated with Alzheimer’s Disease, Parkinson’s Disease, and dementia. Japan is already an aging, slow-growth society. The rest of the world will soon be Japan. The demographic time bomb has already detonated. Those expecting sub-Sahara Africa to make up for low birth rates in the developed world may be disappointed to find that African birth rates are dropping sharply and may soon be as low as those in North America and Western Europe. What about China and India, with their massive populations? Together, these two countries have a population of about 2.8 billion people out of a total world population of about 7.9 billion people. In other words, China and India have 35% of all the people on the planet. As they go, so goes the world population. Contrary to popular perception, China’s population is collapsing, and India will not grow as fast as many expect and may soon begin its own steep decline. This phenomenon is global. Almost all developed economies have birth rates below the replacement level. Those countries with higher birth rates are seeing those rates decline sharply. There is a global convergence on birth rates less than 2.1 even among countries with higher rates today. What’s driving this mega-trend? The three biggest drivers are urbanization, education and women’s emancipation. All three have an amplifying effect. Demographic collapse is inevitable; it’s already baked into existing birth rates and likely trends. Still, it’s not the end of the world. It won’t even be the end of humanity. But it will be the end of an economic paradigm of higher growth, higher consumption and higher output that has prevailed for the past two hundred years. The new paradigm will consist of fewer people in larger cities – an unprecedented form of urbanization beyond what we know already. Legacy industries such as automobiles will fall by the wayside. Healthcare generally and elder care in particular will boom. There will be no shortage of investment opportunities. Yet, investors will need to avoid many traditional investments that have performed well in the past but will have little or no role in an aging and highly urbanized future. Regards, Jim Rickards for The Daily Reckoning P.S. Have you seen my [new blockbuster video on the Sixth Domain of War?]( It’s generating a lot of chatter on the internet. I think you’ll see why when you [click here]( to see it. It involves instead a massive, $6.6 trillion daily flow of capital that you can tap for potentially large gains. [And I recently revealed my proprietary secret]( for profiting from this massive, $6.6 trillion daily flow of capital that’s overlooked by most investors. Quite simply, few know nothing about it. And that’s a shame. But I’m out to change all that. [My system is called C.O.B.R.A.]( My team and I have built a new computerized Tactical Operations Center to track this massive cross-border capital flow. It’s something you really need to see. I think you’ll be amazed. [Click here now for details.]( --------------------------------------------------------------- Thank you for reading The Daily Reckoning! We greatly value your questions and comments. Please send all feedback to [feedback@dailyreckoning.com.](mailto:dr@dailyreckoning.com) [James Rickards][James G. Rickards]( is the editor of Strategic Intelligence. He is an American lawyer, economist, and investment banker with 35 years of experience working in capital markets on Wall Street. He is the author of The New York Times bestsellers Currency Wars and The Death of Money. Add feedback@dailyreckoning.com to your address book: [Whitelist us]( Additional Articles & Commentary: [Daily Reckoning Website]( Join the conversation! Follow us on social media: [Facebook]( [LinkedIn]( [Twitter]( [RSS Feed]( [YouTube]( The Daily Reckoning is committed to protecting and respecting your privacy. We do not rent or share your email address. By submitting your email address, you consent to Paradigm Press delivering daily email issues and advertisements. To end your Daily Reckoning e-mail subscription and associated external offers sent from The Daily Reckoning, feel free to [unsubscribe here.]( Please read our [Privacy Statement](. For any further comments or concerns please email us at feedback@dailyreckoning.com. 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