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MONDAY, JULY 17 OFFICE APOCALYPSE
[New Glut City](
The cityâs mega-office landlords are panicking, pivoting, and shedding whatâs worthless. One opens his books.
Photo: Jeff Chien-Hsing Liao Every time the real-estate market crashes, people say, âThis time is different.â When thereâs distress all around, itâs hard to grasp how there could ever be an upside. But with the benefit of hindsight, you can see that if youâd had enough money when things got bad, you could have made a killing by taking the other side of the bet. Letâs go back to 2009. There was calamity as far as the eye could see: bank bailouts, paralyzed credit markets, a toxic heap of mortgage debt crushing the world economy. Scott Rechler, having fortuitously sold his familyâs real-estate company at the top of the market to a competitor for $6 billion, decided it was a good time to go shopping for office buildings. After raising more money from sovereign wealth funds, other institutional investors, and wealthy private individuals overseas, he went on an opportunistic buying spree. Over three years, he spent $4.5 billion on Manhattan office acquisitions. By 2020, his company, RXR, was a major office landlord with more than 22 million square feet of space in the city. Today, three years after the pandemic emptied office buildings nationwide, Rechler has been forced to reckon with the possibility that the buildings that were worth so much not so long ago may now not even be worth keeping. Corporate tenants are typically locked into multiyear leases, which guarantee stability in the commercial real-estate market for a time. But every month, more leases expire, giving tenants an opportunity to rethink their space, and every day, employers are staring at empty desks. Many companies, which had been trying to squeeze more workers into less space for years, are not renewing. That leaves an office landlord facing hard choices. What should Rechler do, for instance, with [5 Times Square](, a million-square-foot building that 20 years ago was a gleaming centerpiece of 42nd Streetâs revival? After the departure of its longtime anchor tenant and major renovations, itâs currently close to empty. [Continue reading »](
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