Itâs the time of year where I take a hard look at my portfolio. Which stocks do I keep? Which do I sell? Based on my analysis, one thing is clear: One set of stocks has got to go. For a transcript of this video, see below. This transcript has been lightly edited for length [â¦] Youâre receiving this email as part of your subscription to Andrew Zatlinâs Moneyball Daily [Unsubscribe]( [Moneyball Daily] Sell Your Stocks in This Sector NOW December 12, 2023 Itâs the time of year where I take a hard look at my portfolio. Which stocks do I keep? Which do I sell? Based on my analysis, one thing is clear: One set of stocks has got to go. [CLICK HERE TO LAUNCH VIDEO OR READ THE FULL TRANSCRIPT BELOW »»]( For a transcript of this video, see below. This transcript has been lightly edited for length and clarity. Sell Your Stocks in This Sector NOW As the banking sector was melting down earlier this year, I told you to go long and strong. If you followed my advice, youâre a happy camper today â and youâre sitting on some impressive gains. For example: - I recommended M&T Bank (MTB) to Moneyball Pro readers on March 28 â itâs up 10% since then. - On June 30, I recommended Charles Schwab (SCHW) â itâs up 13% since then. - And on April 11, I recommended Wells Fargo (WFC). Its stock is up 18% since then. But that was six months ago. Today, itâs time to shift gears⦠Because if thereâs one sector thatâs flashing the âget out nowâ sign, itâs banking. Let me explain⦠A Look at the Hiring Data Whenever I need to determine if Iâm bullish or bearish on a sector, my first step is to analyze the hiring data. Hereâs hiring for a handful of banking companies, starting with JPMorgan Chase (JPM): And for Citibank (C): Notice anything? Meanwhile, hereâs hiring for regional banks like Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB): And hiring for Citizens Financial Group (CFG): It should be obvious by now. Hiring in banking across the board is down, down, down. Whatâs going on here? Banking Goes Bust Keep in mind that every sector has its boom cycles and bust cycles. And during Covid, banks were boominâ. Trillions of dollars were being pumped into the economy. Interest rates were near zero. Mergers and Acquisitions was humming. And banks thrived in this environment. During this time, they also reaped the benefits of a bustling housing market. After all, interest rates were miniscule. So buyers scooped up houses at a record pace. Take a look: In 2021, more than six million homes were sold in the U.S. And banks raked in profits facilitating all these mortgages. But look at the right side of this chart. As we close out 2023, the housing market is anemic. Interest rates are high, buyers are priced out, and sellers are unwilling to move. Thatâs led to a 42% drop in housing transactional activity in just two years. And without these mortgages, banks have gone from boom to bust. But is there hope on the horizon? Donât Hold Your Breath Short answer? Nope â at least not any time soon. Yes, interest rates may start to drop in 2024. But any rate cuts will take time to ripple throughout the economy and into the housing and banking sectors. Translation? Pain for the banking sector is still on the menu for much of next year. Based on the data, banks are downsizing and preparing for a lean 2024. And thatâll inevitably send the stock prices of many of these companies crashing. My message to you? Get rid of your banking stocks now. But donât despair. If youâre a Pro reader, the banking-related move I suggest you make today will help you lock in returns of around 30%. Weâre in it to win it. Zatlin out. FOR MONEYBALL PRO READERS ONLY
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