I hope youâve been following my advice! Iâve been bullish for a while now. If youâve been listening, you might be sitting on double-digit gains. Today, Iâll show you why itâs not too late to get in â and where you should be focusing for maximum profits. For a transcript of this video, see below. This [â¦] Youâre receiving this email as part of your subscription to Andrew Zatlinâs Moneyball Daily [Unsubscribe]( [Moneyball Daily] Donât Just Play the Market â Beat the Market November 17, 2023 I hope youâve been following my advice! Iâve been bullish for a while now. If youâve been listening, you might be sitting on double-digit gains. Today, Iâll show you why itâs not too late to get in â and where you should be focusing for maximum profits. [CLICK HERE TO LAUNCH VIDEO OR READ THE FULL TRANSCRIPT BELOW »»]( For a transcript of this video, see below. This transcript has been lightly edited for length and clarity. Donât Just Play the Market â Beat the Market The market is up two-and-a-half percent in the past six weeks. Thatâs solid. Meanwhile, itâs up 10% since things bottomed out in mid-October. If youâve been following my advice, you might be sitting on gains like this yourself. But today, Iâll tell you how to do even better⦠Iâll explain how to beat the market. Hiring = Growth It all centers around my hiring data. If youâre a longtime listener or reader, you know my stance about how important this data is: Companies that are growing are hiring. Companies that are shrinking arenât. Itâs that simple. So, to determine which companies and which sectors are poised for growth, we need to follow hiring activity. Because where thereâs growth, thereâs almost always money to be made. In fact, take a look at this⦠A Strong Correlation This chart shows the correlation between hiring activity (in orange) and the S&P 500 (in blue). Over the past eight years, these two have been tightly correlated. In other words, when hiring activity jumps, so does the S&P 500. Donât put too much stock into that diversion in 2020. COVID was a once-in-a-lifetime external shock that resulted in a major drop in hiring. And remember, trillions of dollars were thrown at the stock market to keep it going. But notice: once all the money stopped being thrown around and things returned to normal, the correlation resumed. And pay attention to the far right-hand side. Hiring in 2023 has been lackluster. And so has the overall growth of the S&P 500. But thatâs about to change. In fact, this change is already underway⦠Year of the Bull Hereâs a look at my hiring index for companies in the S&P 500: Again, the past year or so has been rough. But see how the most recent data is trending up? That tells me that companies have their feet off the hiring brakes. Sure, not all of them may be pressing the gas pedal quite yet, but this inflection is a major bullish indicator. And it tracks with my projection that 2024 will be the Year of the Bull. But hereâs the thing: A lot of investors might see my data and jump right into the market. After all, thatâs how youâll earn the returns the S&P 500 will deliver. But remember, weâre after market-beating returns. And the way to achieve that is to identify pockets of strength and weakness in the broader market⦠And thatâs where my hiring data becomes even more powerful. A Booming Sector You see, certain sectors are doing better than others. And by using my hiring data to identify them, we can make targeted investments with greater profit potential. For example, look at year-over-year hiring for the construction industry, as tracked through the ITB exchange-traded fund (ETF): Since July 2023, hiring has surged, which makes sense. After all, home inventory is low. So most people wanting to buy a home are forced to look at new construction. Furthermore, builders locked in materials experiences last year at miniscule interest rates. That means their costs are lower than usual, and they can afford to pass along some savings to potential buyers, creating even more work for this sector. Now letâs compare this hiring activity to ITBâs stock-price performance: For much of this year, the market was pushing down this fundâs stock price, despite hiring activity trending up. Thatâs not surprising â Wall Street doesnât understand the hiring data like I do. But look whatâs finally happened. This ETF has soared in recent weeks. In fact, this fund is up 20% and approaching a twelve-month high. If youâd invested in this fund based on my hiring data, youâd be sitting on major gains. And remember, hiring data can not only tell us which sectors to target, but also which ones to avoid⦠Steer Clear Hereâs year-over-year hiring for the consumer-goods sector, as tracked through the IYK ETF: As you can see, hiring activity has been dismal this year, and continues to drop. Yet look at the one-year chart of IYKâs stock price: Notice how itâs trending up? Thatâs a false flag, in my opinion. When in doubt, trust the hiring data. And the hiring data tells us that itâs not quite turnaround time yet. Consider selling into this fundâs recent rise. The Key Takeaway Hiring data is essential to beating the market. Not only can it tell us when to get in or out, but it can also tell us which sectors or companies to target for maximum profit potential. Iâve leveraged this data to reveal a specific investment idea, but the details are only for my Pro readers. So donât miss out. Weâre in it to win it. Zatlin out. FOR MONEYBALL PRO READERS ONLY
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