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A Five-Part Investment System To Help You Control Emotion

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Fri, Dec 9, 2022 07:24 PM

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You're receiving this email as part of your subscription to Michael Robinson’s Trend Trader Daily [Unsubscribe](. [Trend Trader Daily] A Five-Part Investment System To Help You Control Emotion Friday, December 9, 2022 After nearly forty years of investing — through bull market and bear markets — I’ve learned to adopt the following mantra: Invest for the long haul and control your emotions. Certainly, this is easier said than done. After all, we’re constantly barraged with headlines about exciting new investment opportunities… And hot topics like inflation and the risk of a recession cause many investors to make short-sighted and emotional decisions. That’s why I’ve developed a Five-Part Investment System. This system takes emotion out of the equation. Furthermore, it helps me identify which companies can help investors like us build true wealth. And today, I’ll show you how to use it. > ADVERTISEMENT < Why 2023 Could Kick Off a "Cash Frenzy" in Stocks Many investors expect a market recovery in 2023. But the analyst who called the Lehman Collapse says to expect a "Cash Frenzy" instead. [Details here.]( Tech Is a Bargain Right Now The technology sector is largely out of favor right now. The tech-centric Nasdaq is down twenty-eight percent this year. So we’d be crazy to look for tech investments at a time like this, right? Not so fast… Even when times are tough, there are profitable opportunities. That being said, I’m not suggesting we simply buy stocks while they’re cheap and hope they go up. Instead, let’s use my system to identify the most promising companies… Like global IT-services leader Perficient Inc. (PRFT). Introducing Perficient Perficient provides customers with automated-ordering systems, e-commerce backend solutions, and digital-marketing programs. This company’s tech is device-agnostic and integrates with a range of technology platforms. Its goal is to help simplify operations so customers can improve their profit margins. So far this year, Perficient’s stock is down about forty-eight percent. Is this an investment opportunity? To answer that question, let’s put it through my Screening System. Rule No. 1: Hire Great Operators To start, let’s focus on the team. Remember, at the end of the day, management works for shareholders. So we want to see well-run companies with top-notch leaders. When CEO Jeff Davis was named President of Perficient in 2003, the company had annual sales of about thirty million dollars. Last year, sales reached $761 million. This growth stems from Perficient’s involvement in multiple sectors, including automotive, finance, manufacturing, and retail. It’s particularly well-known (and highly-regarded) for its work in the life-sciences industry. The company also boasts strategic partners like Adobe Inc. (ADBE), Amazon Web Services, Oracle Corp. (ORCL), and International Business Machines Inc. (IBM). Rule No. 2: Find The Signal Media headlines about Perficient might tempt you to stay away. But it’s important to filter out the noise. Instead, we should focus on finding any signals of long-term strength. And in the case of Perficient, we’ve got a major strength signal with respect to its track record. Over the past five years, the S&P 500 has gained nearly fifty percent. Perficient, meanwhile, has shot up 246%. That means it’s beaten the bellwether index during that time by nearly 400%. That’s a great signal for future returns. Rule No. 3: Swim with The Trend To better position ourselves for life-changing gains, we need to focus on companies that are part of major trends. Perficient clearly meets this criterion. For example, during Covid, companies increased their efforts to go digital. And that’s bound to continue with the rise of hybrid work-schedules. Essentially, employees need remote access to apps, data, and projects — all of which falls under the IT-services category, which is Perficient’s bread and butter. Rule No. 4: Focus on Growth Companies with the strongest growth rates almost always produce the highest returns. The market for digital-savvy IT-services firms is growing fast. Last year, it was valued at ninety-four billion dollars, according to Straits Research. By 2030, it’s projected to surpass $211 billion. That’s a compound annual growth rate of more than nine percent. (Perficient, for the record, is growing sales at nearly twice that rate, or about eighteen percent annually.) Rule No. 5: Look for Doubles Finally, let’s analyze the company’s earnings growth, and forecast how long it might take to get a double on our investment. Over the last three years, Perficient has grown its earnings by an average of thirty percent. And in the most recent quarter, its growth rate reached fifty-seven percent. With that in mind, let’s use The Rule of 72. This a way to estimate how long it might take for an investment to double, based on a given rate of return. Simply put, by dividing 72 by a given annual [rate of return]( investors can get a rough estimate of how many years it will take for their investment to double. So in this case, let’s divide Perficient’s average annual growth rate of 30 percent into the number 72. When we do that, we see it should take about two-and-a-half years for the company’s earnings to double (72/30 = 2.4). And if its earnings double, its stock price is likely to double as well. That’s a lot of upside. And with most tech stocks (including Perficient’s) currently out of favor, we can scoop up shares at an attractive discount. In doing so, we can position ourselves for even more profits when this company’s stock rebounds. And here’s another tip: Consider investing in one of Perficient’s biggest customers. That way, we can potentially profit from its success, too. I explain all the details below in our “Trade of the Day.”   FOR TREND TRADER PRO READERS ONLY > [LEARN MORE]( < Cheers and Good Investing, [Michael Robinson] Michael Robinson Chief Investment Officer Trend Trader Daily   Copyright © Trend Trader Daily, All rights reserved. You signed up on []( Our mailing address is: Trend Trader Daily 301 S. Perimeter Park Dr. Suite 100 Nashville, Tennessee 37211 [Update Subscription Preferences]( | [Unsubscribe from this list]( RISK NOTICE: All investing comes with risk. That includes the investments teased in this letter. You should never invest more than you can afford to lose. Please use this research for the purpose that it's intended — as research only. You should consult a professional financial advisor before ever taking a position in any securities you see herein. DISCLAIMERS: The work included in this communication is based on diverse sources including SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and information published on funding platforms, but the views we express and the conclusions we reach are our own. As such, this content may contain errors, and any investments described in this content should be made only after reviewing the filings and/or financial statements of the company, and only after consulting with your investment advisor. Actual results may differ significantly from the results described herein. Furthermore, nothing published by Trend Trader Daily, Inc should be considered personalized financial advice. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed as personalized investment advice. Trend Trader Daily is an independent provider of education, information and research on publicly traded companies, and as such, it accepts no direct or indirect compensation from any companies or third parties mentioned in any of our letters, reports or updates.

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