If you've ever seen an illusionist in person, it's an incredible experience. These magicians can seemingly make things vanish. [Chaikin PowerFeed]( [TOMORROW: A Critical Election-Year Event Is Headed for U.S. Stocks â¤]( This Electric-Vehicle Maker Is an 'Illusionist' on Wall Street By Pete Carmasino, chief market strategist, Chaikin Analytics
If you've ever seen an illusionist in person, it's an incredible experience. These magicians can seemingly make things vanish. I once saw one of these performances at the Mirage hotel in Las Vegas. It featured white tigers suspended over the crowd that could "disappear." And it was held by the iconic duo of Siegfried Fischbacher and Roy Horn – known professionally as Siegfried and Roy. Between 1990 and 2003, the pair was as famous as the great magician Harry Houdini. Siegfried and Roy had been working with jungle cats for more than four decades. And in the span of their 13 years at the Mirage, their act – which featured illusions – was famous on the Vegas Strip. But in 2003, a tragic turn of events brought things to an end... During a show in October that year, Roy was attacked by a white tiger. It took four men and a fire extinguisher to get the tiger to release him. Roy suffered massive blood loss and was partially paralyzed on one side of his body. It was a terrible end to a popular show. Night after night, Siegfried and Roy entertained audiences with jungle cats and magic. Of course, everyone knew they didn't actually make the tigers disappear. It was an illusion. And right now, an illusion is much like what electric-vehicle ("EV") maker Rivian Automotive (RIVN) does to billions of investors' dollars. The management at this company makes money "disappear." And as I'll explain today, I'm afraid it will also come to a tragic end for investors... Recommended Links: [Wall Street Veteran Names No. 1 Election-Year Stock]( You could be sitting on over $75,000 in profits if you had followed his system's "buy" signals for 2023. Now, he's stepping forward with a critical market prediction for the 2024 election year... including his No. 1 stock to buy NOW. [Full details here](. ['I Found the Answer to Retirement']( A man from New York came forward with his unique story of how he retired early and worry-free WITHOUT stocks... thanks to ONE single idea that anyone can use. Now he sees 16%-plus annual returns with legal protections... and he NEVER has to worry about another market crash again. [Get the full story right here](.
Now, this isn't the first time I've discussed Rivian. Back in [December 2022]( I explained that the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index had chosen Rivian as its newest member. At the time, RIVN shares were trading around $25. And I thought the move was "virtue signaling" because it couldn't have been for the fundamentals of Rivian's business. The company was hemorrhaging cash. In 2022, it had lost almost $7 billion. But the worst part is that investors eventually saw the "illusion" of a turnaround... After the stock slid lower in early 2023, it eventually started to turn higher by the middle of the year. And by June 6, after months of "neutral" and "bearish" ratings, the Power Gauge flipped to "bullish." That day, RIVN shares closed at $14.50. Remember, our system uses 20 factors to review a stock's fundamental and technical indicators... The reason for the turn to "bullish" is the way the Power Gauge read the data. Rivian did report better sales, so metrics like the price-to-sales ratio improved... as did the near-term technical indicators. You see, Rivian gave investors the illusion of a good stock. Both the Power Gauge and the Wall Street community began to increase their ratings – basing the changes on Rivian's improving outlook and results. And by the end of July, the stock had hit a high of nearly $28 per share. But then the stock slowly started to drift lower. And on December 4, the Power Gauge made a change to the downside. Rivian's rating went from "bullish to "neutral" that day, with shares closing at $17.74. And then, the Power Gauge turned even lower – flipping Rivian's rating to "bearish" on January 16. Today, Rivian is still "bearish" in our system. In the chart below, you can see how it played out... [Chaikin PowerFeed]
But it seems that Wall Street hasn't caught on yet. Today, 54% of the analysts that cover Rivian still have a "buy" rating on it. And only 14% have a "sell" rating. Sure, Rivian's improvement in 2023 versus 2022 in terms of sales is a positive. But in the end, the company's loss from operations totaled $5.7 billion in last year. Folks, the "tigers" didn't disappear. And Rivian still lost billions in 2023. Indeed, after the company reported earnings last week, RIVN shares collapsed by nearly 26% the next day. A peek behind the curtain using the Power Gauge tells us Rivian is a stock to avoid for the foreseeable future. Good investing, Pete Carmasino Market View Major Indexes and Notable Sectors
# Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish
Dow 30 -0.27% 13 16 1
S&P 500 +0.19% 202 223 73
Nasdaq +0.24% 44 48 8
Small Caps +1.39% 514 1020 381
Bonds -0.69% Utilities +1.89% 4 13 12 â According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Large Cap stocks and Small Cap stocks are Bullish. Major indexes are mixed. * * * * Sector Tracker Sector movement over the last 5 days Discretionary +2.89% Information Technology +2.57% Industrials +2.18% Materials +1.93% Financial +1.72% Energy +1.3% Utilities +1.14% Health Care +1.11% Staples +0.59% Communication +0.47% Real Estate +0.05% * * * * Industry Focus Bank Services
51 37 2 Over the past 6 months, the Bank subsector (KBE) has underperformed the S&P 500 by -1.22%. However, its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Very Strong, with more Bullish than Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #5 of 21 subsectors and has moved up 1 slot over the past week. Top Stocks [rating] APO Apollo Global Manage
[rating] BPOP Popular, Inc.
[rating] NTRS Northern Trust Corpo
* * * * Top Movers Gainers [rating] NCLH +19.84%
[rating] CEG +16.92%
[rating] CCL +7.65%
[rating] AZO +6.66%
[rating] ALB +5.82%
Losers [rating] IFF -3.84%
[rating] SBAC -3.77%
[rating] HSIC -3.38%
[rating] HES -3.09%
[rating] AES -2.89%
* * * * Earnings Report Reporting Today
Rating Before Open After Close
NRG CRM
DLTR HPQ, MNST, VTRS
XRAY PARA No earnings reporting today. Earnings Surprises [rating] AMT
American Tower Corporation Q4 $0.25 Missed by $-0.69
[rating] SPLK
Splunk Inc. Q4 $3.03 Beat by $1.07
[rating] CPNG
Coupang, Inc. Q4 $0.08 Beat by $0.02
[rating] AXON
Axon Enterprise, Inc. Q4 $1.12 Beat by $0.27
[rating] CEG
Constellation Energy Corporation Q4 $1.51 Missed by $-0.51
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