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The S&P 500 Is Near This Dangerous Line (Again)

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chaikinanalytics.com

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Wed, Oct 25, 2023 12:48 PM

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It feels like almost everyone is just waiting for the world to fall apart... Eight of the 11 top-lev

It feels like almost everyone is just waiting for the world to fall apart... Eight of the 11 top-level sectors are now in correction territory or worse. That means they're roughly 10% (or more) below their most recent highs. [Chaikin PowerFeed]( The S&P 500 Is Near This Dangerous Line (Again) By Marc Chaikin, founder, Chaikin Analytics It feels like almost everyone is just waiting for the world to fall apart... Eight of the 11 top-level sectors are now in correction territory or worse. That means they're roughly 10% (or more) below their most recent highs. We also know that the Power Gauge transitioned to "neutral+" territory on the benchmark S&P 500 Index [in mid-September](. And more than a month later, it still holds that rating. So it's clear that investors face a tough market today. And it gets worse... The S&P 500 is near a dangerous line once again. In short, the index is hovering near its 200-day moving average ("DMA"). That means the index's current level is around its average closing price for the past 200 trading days. When an asset or stock heads meaningfully below its 200-DMA, it symbolizes a downtrend. It's an especially ominous sign for an entire index. But as you'll see today, other factors are at play in the market right now... Recommended Links: [TOMORROW: 'The End of America? It's Here.']( Tomorrow at 3:30 p.m. Eastern time, Porter Stansberry is returning for the first time in more than three years to issue one of the most important warnings of his career. If he's right, the next several years could be a very, very difficult period for investors and everyday Americans. [Before tomorrow, see why right here](. [An A.I. Reckoning Is Coming]( He called the 2020 crash, the 2022 bear market, and the 2023 bank run. Now, 40-year Wall Street veteran Marc Chaikin just issued a new alert about the A.I. market. If you have any exposure to stocks, this is a must-see presentation. [Click here for Marc's new A.I. warning](. After spending decades studying the markets, I've learned the power of the trend. Right now, the S&P 500's trend is in question. We can feel the negative investor sentiment in almost every article we read. And perhaps more importantly, we can see it on the chart... [Chaikin PowerFeed] The solid black line follows the daily closing price of the S&P 500 over the past year. In other words, it's a normal price chart. The blue line adds another layer... It's the 200-DMA. As I said, that's the average closing price of the past 200 trading days. This indicator is described as the "moving" average because it updates every day to include the most recent 200 trading days. In turn, the 201st day rolls off the average. The 200-DMA allows us to visualize and calculate the long-term trend. It's especially useful in broad-market indexes like the S&P 500... When the 200-DMA is pointing up and the index is trading above it, we're in an uptrend. When it's pointing down and the index is trading below it, we're in a downtrend. The problem is clear today... The S&P 500 is once again right around its 200-DMA. So we're in danger of starting a new downtrend in stocks. But I want you to notice one other thing about the above chart... As you can see, the 200-DMA line hasn't turned lower yet. That's important. It means the downtrend isn't here yet. I get it, though... The current setup with the 200-DMA creates a huge amount of anxiety for a lot of investors. We're seeing that play out right now. Many folks are scared to put their money to work. In the end, my message remains the same... Don't let fear rule the day. Be patient. But don't have your feet stuck in cement. The S&P 500 is still hovering around "correction" territory. That means it's down nearly 10% from its most recent high in late July. And it has headed lower for the past three months. That sounds terrible on its face. But historically, these "near correction" events only last for about four months. So it's possible that we're already nearing the other side of the current downturn. We're also facing the period of general "autumn panic" in the market. Put simply, it's not unusual for stocks to blow off steam and round out the year on a higher note. The world is a complicated place today. So is the market, its sectors, and its subsectors. But you need to make sure you're following all these sectors and subsectors individually. They'll each have their own opportunities and hazards in the coming months. I'll be watching everything closely. And I suggest you do the same. Good investing, Marc Chaikin Market View Major Indexes and Notable Sectors # Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish Dow 30 +0.64% 4 21 5 S&P 500 +0.75% 59 296 142 Nasdaq +0.97% 22 64 13 Small Caps +0.82% 247 1168 519 Bonds +1.32% Utilities +2.57% 2 7 21 — According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks remain Bearish. Major indexes are mixed. * * * * Sector Tracker Sector movement over the last 5 days Staples -0.10% Communication -1.07% Utilities -1.22% Information Technology -2.48% Health Care -2.59% Energy -3.93% Industrials -4.04% Financial -4.45% Real Estate -4.72% Materials -4.84% Discretionary -5.21% * * * * Industry Focus Insurance Services 17 31 0 Over the past 6 months, the Insurance subsector (KIE) has outperformed the S&P 500 by +3.35%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Very Strong, with more Bullish than Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #1 of 21 subsectors and has moved up 1 slot over the past week. Top Stocks [rating] EG Everest Group, Ltd. [rating] ACGL Arch Capital Group L [rating] WRB W. R. Berkley Corpor * * * * Top Movers Gainers [rating] VZ +9.27% [rating] BALL +7.36% [rating] RTX +7.18% [rating] NEE +6.99% [rating] GE +6.50% Losers [rating] FICO -7.02% [rating] EFX -5.22% [rating] KLG -4.58% [rating] PNR -4.56% [rating] HCA -4.49% * * * * Earnings Report Reporting Today Rating Before Open After Close MOH, META, EG, EQT LIN, HLT, NSC, ODFL, OTIS, ROP, TDY, FTV, TMUS, CME, WAB, WTW, ADP TER, NOW, ORLY, PKG, RJF, ROL, MAA, TYL, UHS, URI, WHR, MSCI, AAPL, KLAC, IBM, GL, FE, EW, AVB, APH, AMP, ALGN AVY, XEL, TSCO, TMO, MKTX, MCO, GRMN VICI, BA, INVH No earnings reporting today. Earnings Surprises [rating] SPOT Spotify Technology S.A. Q3 $0.35 Beat by $0.58 [rating] GE General Electric Company Q3 $0.82 Beat by $0.26 [rating] CNC Centene Corporation Q3 $2.00 Beat by $0.46 [rating] GM General Motors Company Q3 $2.28 Beat by $0.44 [rating] SHW The Sherwin-Williams Company Q3 $3.20 Beat by $0.42 * * * * You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to PowerFeed. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from PowerFeed, [click here](. You’re receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call [+1 (877) 697-6783 (U.S.)](tel:18776976783), 9 a.m. - 5 p.m. Eastern time or e-mail info@chaikinanalytics.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2023 Chaikin Analytics, LLC. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Chaikin Analytics, LLC. 201 King Of Prussia Rd., Suite 650, Radnor, PA 19087. [www.chaikinanalytics.com.]( Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Chaikin Analytics, LLC, does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Chaikin Analytics forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Chaikin Analytics, LLC (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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