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This Is Happening for Only the Third Time Ever

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Tue, Jul 18, 2023 12:49 PM

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A major change is about to take place in the markets... It will touch nearly every American's invest

A major change is about to take place in the markets... It will touch nearly every American's investment account. [Chaikin PowerFeed]( [TOMORROW: The 2023 AI Race Begins – Details Here ➤]( This Is Happening for Only the Third Time Ever By Pete Carmasino, chief market strategist, Chaikin Analytics A major change is about to take place in the markets... It will touch nearly every American's investment account. Put simply, the powers that be are changing the way the Nasdaq 100 Index holds stocks. They're tweaking the so-called "weightings" within the index. Their goal is to dilute the impact of the biggest stocks. I'm talking about the Big Tech stocks that nearly everyone holds in their investment accounts. These stocks include Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL), Alphabet (GOOGL), Nvidia (NVDA), and Amazon (AMZN). They've been on a major tear so far this year. And now, these stocks make up an unusually large part of the Nasdaq 100. But that won't be the case for long... Next week, the folks at Nasdaq will make a change that pushes billions of dollars out of those stocks. And just like that, the money will flow into the smaller stocks in the index. So today, let's take a closer look at what it all means for us as investors... Recommended Links: [Tomorrow's Urgent Briefing: The 2023 AI Race Is Underway]( AI just shattered one of the most critical barriers in technological history. Now two Wall Street legends are sharing with you the details behind this momentous breakthrough... and exactly why the opportunity to use AI could transform your wealth in 2023... or risk you being left behind forever. Before tomorrow, [click here to reserve your spot](. [This 'Canary in the Coal Mine' Is SCREAMING]( While the stock market hums along, a much bigger (and more important) market is flashing a huge warning. One that will definitely affect stocks... housing... and the entire economy. Ignoring this signal would be a big mistake. But billionaires (and some of the world's best analysts) LOVE this kind of turmoil. Because it's a chance to buy world-class investments for pennies on the dollar. The same setup led to 772% gains in 2009. [Get the full story here](. The exchange-traded fund ("ETF") that tracks the Nasdaq 100 is the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ). With more than $200 billion in assets under management, QQQ is the fifth-largest ETF in the world. It's one of the most traded ETFs, too. An average of roughly 52 million QQQ shares have exchanged hands daily over the past three months. And importantly, QQQ is about to experience a major shakeup... You see, the Nasdaq 100 is designed to track 100 of the largest nonfinancial companies on the Nasdaq exchange. But there's a problem with that right now... The top five holdings currently make up roughly 47% of the Nasdaq 100. Take a look... [Chaikin PowerFeed] That's a lot of exposure to a small group of stocks. It means that these five companies hold almost the same weighting as the other 95 stocks within the Nasdaq 100. As a result, the folks in charge are making a big change. They announced a "special rebalance" of the Nasdaq 100 that will take effect before the market opens next Monday, July 24. In short, the index follows a certain set of criteria – or a "methodology." And a special rebalance can take place any time the total weight of companies with at least 4.5% holdings tops 48%. That happened recently, before the percentage dropped back to its current level. According to the Nasdaq 100's methodology, the top five companies should make up a smaller portion. So after the special rebalance, they'll make up 38.5% of the index. Folks, the takeaway is simple... These companies are about to become less of nearly every investment account in America. The rebalance is causing waves in indexes other than the Nasdaq 100, too. No matter where these top five stocks are, the selling will weigh on their prices. So we can expect volatility. But importantly, there will be some winners in this situation as well... The changes in the Nasdaq 100 will force the ETFs that track the index (like QQQ) to recalibrate their weights as well. In other words, the top stocks will move down to levels that look less top heavy. And that money will go toward other stocks within the ETFs. So don't be surprised if your Nasdaq-related holdings seem especially volatile in the coming weeks. This is a selling and buying scenario. Volatility can occur when that happens. Be prepared, but don't overreact. A special rebalancing has only happened twice before – in 1998 and 2011. Each time, the market saw volatility at first. But before long, the Nasdaq returned to its outperformance. So let the market react first. Then, at that point, we'll reassess the trend. If history is any guide, this special rebalancing will just be a speed bump for the Big Tech companies. If they're as good as the buying suggests, they'll quickly take the lead again. Good investing, Pete Carmasino Market View Major Indexes and Notable Sectors # Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish Dow 30 +0.19% 9 18 3 S&P 500 +0.35% 183 232 84 Nasdaq +0.93% 62 32 5 Small Caps +1.09% 627 968 347 Bonds +0.05% Information Technology +1.28% 50 15 0 — According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Large Cap stocks and Small Cap stocks are Bullish.. Major indexes are mixed. * * * * Sector Tracker Sector movement over the last 5 days Information Technology +3.83% Discretionary +3.38% Communication +3.13% Materials +2.61% Financial +2.49% Utilities +1.49% Real Estate +1.42% Industrials +1.22% Staples +0.84% Health Care +0.83% Energy -0.16% * * * * Industry Focus Telecom Services 3 22 14 Over the past 6 months, the Telecom subsector (XTL) has underperformed the S&P 500 by -27.13%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Very Weak, with more Bearish than Bullish stocks. It is currently ranked #19 of 21 subsectors and has moved down 3 slots over the past week. Indicative Stocks [rating] GSAT Globalstar, Inc. [rating] CCOI Cogent Communication [rating] FYBR Frontier Communicati * * * * Top Movers Gainers [rating] FSLR +8.06% [rating] ENPH +6.59% [rating] ACGL +4.69% [rating] ON +4.66% [rating] PGR +4.42% Losers [rating] VZ -7.50% [rating] SBAC -7.23% [rating] T -6.69% [rating] F -5.94% [rating] CCI -4.89% * * * * Earnings Report Reporting Today Rating Before Open After Close CSX, SYF BK, SCHW JBHT, OMC BAC, LMT, MS, PNC No earnings reporting today. Earnings Surprises [rating] ELS Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. Q2 $0.42 Missed by $-0.12 * * * * You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to PowerFeed. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from PowerFeed, [click here](. You’re receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call [+1 (877) 697-6783 (U.S.)](tel:18776976783), 9 a.m. - 5 p.m. Eastern time or e-mail info@chaikinanalytics.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2023 Chaikin Analytics, LLC. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Chaikin Analytics, LLC. 201 King Of Prussia Rd., Suite 650, Radnor, PA 19087. [www.chaikinanalytics.com.]( Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Chaikin Analytics, LLC, does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Chaikin Analytics forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Chaikin Analytics, LLC (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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