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This 'Canary in the Coal Mine' Fell Over in November

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Fri, Mar 31, 2023 12:48 PM

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For decades, British coal miners used a unique system to detect danger... Canaries. You see, canarie

For decades, British coal miners used a unique system to detect danger... Canaries. You see, canaries are more sensitive to carbon monoxide and other deadly gases than humans. [Chaikin PowerFeed]( This 'Canary in the Coal Mine' Fell Over in November By Pete Carmasino, chief market strategist, Chaikin Analytics For decades, British coal miners used a unique system to detect danger... Canaries. You see, canaries are more sensitive to carbon monoxide and other deadly gases than humans. So if the birds got sick, the coal miners would head for fresh air. British coal miners used canaries from the early 1900s through the mid-1980s. That's when electronic sensors replaced them. The system was also used in the U.S. and Canada. Canaries saved hundreds – if not thousands – of lives over the years. These days, the phrase "canary in the coal mine" is used to describe any early indicator of potential danger or failure. And it's especially common in the investing world... At this point, you know all about the banking industry's problems over the past month. It might seem like the trouble came out of nowhere. But as you'll learn today, there was a canary in the coal mine. And it could've alerted investors to the danger back in November... Recommended Links: [Here's What You Missed This Week]( A powerful indicator just triggered that has only appeared a handful of times since 1950 - and every time, it has predicted the stock market's next move with a 100% success rate. Marc Chaikin sounded the alarm... and explained why ignoring this signal could spell disaster for your money in 2023. [Click here to tune in now (includes a free recommendation)](. [Pentagon Consultant: Here's How Biden Wins Landslide Re-election]( Forensic accountant who consults for U.S. Pentagon, FBI, and Marines says a surprising July 25 "twist" could make many Americans vastly wealthier... but also hand Joe Biden a landslide re-election win. Full story, including four steps you can take to protect your money, [detailed here](. The financial stock that got sick first was Lincoln National (LNC). Lincoln is a well-known, Pennsylvania-based insurance company. It sells life, health, and group insurance. And it offers products for long-term care and annuities as well. Through last fall, everything seemed normal with Lincoln... AM Best, the business that rates insurance companies, gave it an "A+" rating for Financial Strength. And AM Best gave it an "aa-" rating for Long-Term Issuer Credit. But this canary in the coal mine got sick in November... By that, I mean Lincoln reported an adjusted loss of $10.23 per share in the third quarter. That was much worse than its $1.62 in earnings per share in the third quarter of the previous year. Like banks, insurers invest capital after bringing in clients' money. And soaring interest rates put incredible pressure on Lincoln's business – just like they did with the failed banks. Lincoln's stock plunged 33% in one day after its earnings report came out. And the downtrend has continued since then. It's now down roughly 58% from its November peak. Put simply, Lincoln has gotten crushed. And its problems surprised many investors. Heck, AM Best didn't even downgrade its rating until a week after the company's earnings report. But with the right tool, you could've seen the trouble with Lincoln as it played out in real time. And you could've prepared for more pain in the financial sector... Regular readers know the Power Gauge is our trusted system. It updates daily. And in Lincoln's case, as soon as the trouble was known... it flipped from "bullish" to "bearish" overnight. Take a look... [Chaikin PowerFeed] This saga shows why it's crucial to have a ratings system for stocks that works daily... The Power Gauge had the information at hand. It rated the stock as "bullish" until new information surfaced. And as soon as that happened, it flipped to a "bearish" grade. AM Best took much longer. It didn't downgrade the company until a week later. More importantly, Lincoln was the canary in the coal mine for financial stocks... Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank (SBNY) blew up in early March. But with the Power Gauge at your side, you could've seen this canary get sick months before the crisis. Good investing, Pete Carmasino Market View Major Indexes and Notable Sectors # Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish Dow 30 +0.44% 8 20 2 S&P 500 +0.59% 119 290 88 Nasdaq +0.95% 44 39 17 Small Caps -0.15% 384 1013 492 Bonds +0.46% Real Estate +1.30% 1 9 20 — According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks have become somewhat more Bearish than Large Cap stocks. Major indexes are mixed. * * * * Sector Tracker Sector movement over the last 5 days Energy +5.95% Real Estate +5.66% Utilities +5.49% Materials +4.17% Industrials +3.47% Staples +3.29% Financial +2.55% Discretionary +2.54% Information Technology +2.27% Health Care +2.01% Communication +0.92% * * * * Industry Focus Insurance Services 10 34 5 Over the past 6 months, the Insurance subsector (KIE) has underperformed the S&P 500 by -3.85%. However, its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Strong, with more Bullish than Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #9 of 21 subsectors and has moved down 1 slot over the past week. Top Stocks [rating] ACGL Arch Capital Group L [rating] RE Everest Re Group, Lt [rating] AON Aon plc * * * * Top Movers Gainers [rating] ZBRA +4.39% [rating] CZR +3.74% [rating] GEHC +3.66% [rating] PAYC +3.65% [rating] IPG +3.23% Losers [rating] SCHW -4.96% [rating] FRC -4.00% [rating] MTCH -3.98% [rating] CTLT -3.35% [rating] BBWI -2.63% * * * * Earnings Report Reporting Today Rating Before Open After Close No earnings reporting today. Earnings Surprises [rating] AMPS Altus Power, Inc. Q4 $-0.01 Missed by $-0.02 [rating] NEOG Neogen Corporation Q3 $0.12 Missed by $-0.03 * * * * You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to PowerFeed. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from PowerFeed, [click here](. You’re receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call [+1 (877) 697-6783 (U.S.)](tel:18776976783), 9 a.m. - 5 p.m. Eastern time or e-mail info@chaikinanalytics.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2023 Chaikin Analytics, LLC. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Chaikin Analytics, LLC. 201 King Of Prussia Rd., Suite 650, Radnor, PA 19087. [www.chaikinanalytics.com.]( Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Chaikin Analytics, LLC, does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Chaikin Analytics forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Chaikin Analytics, LLC (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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