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You Can Hate the Story and Still Love the Stock

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Thu, Jan 19, 2023 01:47 PM

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You might get déjà vu after reading today's headline... It's very close to what we published on

You might get déjà vu after reading today's headline... It's very close to what we published on January 11, after all. [Chaikin PowerFeed]( You Can Hate the Story and Still Love the Stock By Marc Gerstein, director of research, Chaikin Analytics You might get déjà vu after reading today's headline... It's very close to [what we published on January 11]( after all. But look again... Our original essay focused on popular companies that attract investors, like Tesla (TSLA). We discussed how Tesla founder Elon Musk is changing the way we get around. He sells electric cars at doable prices to the masses. And like it or not, he's succeeding. It's a great story. But as we discussed, you can love the story and still hate the stock. Tesla isn't a good stock to own right now. It's too expensive. And it's in a big downtrend. As you'll see today, the opposite is also true... You can hate the story and still love the stock. One historically unpopular company in particular is in a "disagreeable" business. Heck, its methods of profiting might even disgust you. But as I'll explain, that's exactly what makes it investable. And even better, the Power Gauge is flashing "green" on a couple key factors for this company right now... Recommended Links: [GET OUT OF CASH IMMEDIATELY]( One year ago, one of our corporate affiliates predicted a market crash. People laughed at them. But beginning the day afterward, we saw the worst sell-off in half a century, and you could've doubled your money six times with their recommendations. Until midnight tonight, [see their NEWEST prediction in full - for 2023](. [** THIS WILL DEFINE MY LEGACY **]( To ring in the new year, Dr. David Eifrig is reopening his original briefing on his No. 1 biggest discovery in 15 years (and more than four decades in the markets). He has already shown readers big double-digit gains since last July... even while the broader markets suffered. But see why 2023 could be the best year yet for this strategy [right here](. I'm talking about the GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) – a for-profit prison enterprise. To reiterate investing legend Peter Lynch's term, GEO's business model is "disagreeable." For better or worse, the company makes billions of dollars from people who've been put behind bars. In the end, GEO isn't exactly saving humanity or revolutionizing the world... That's what makes it far less sexy than the Teslas of the world. And it's why most investors don't pay attention to it. But by focusing on a company's technicals and fundamentals, we can pinpoint good opportunities even within "hated stories." That's where the Power Gauge comes in... Regular PowerFeed readers know all about our one-of-a-kind system. It weighs 20 different factors to help us figure out whether a stock is great or not. Now, the Power Gauge currently ranks GEO as "neutral" overall. That isn't great. But when we drill down, we see a lot of things to like about the stock right now... For example, its projected price-to-earnings ratio is "very bullish." That makes sense... Favorable valuations and unpopular businesses often go hand in hand. If most investors are ignoring a stock, it's often cheap to own. This dynamic creates opportunities in the market. In addition, the earnings surprise factor in the Earnings category and the earnings estimate trend factor in the Experts category are both "bullish" today. That's important because it tells us that Wall Street is starting to focus on the stock rather than the company. In other words, analysts realize that... you can hate the story and still love the stock. And it gets better... The following chart shows GEO's performance over the past year. I want you to focus on the two lower panels – Chaikin Money Flow and relative strength versus the S&P 500 Index... [Chaikin PowerFeed] The Chaikin Money Flow indicator signals that the so-called "smart money" is flowing into this stock. And you can see that it has been firmly in the green since November. Meanwhile, GEO has outperformed significantly since last May. The stock is up an incredible 70% over the past eight months. And the S&P 500 is down about 3% in that span. This type of outperformance is great to see. It tells us that the trend is in our favor. GEO isn't a sexy stock. And yet, when we look at the whole picture, it's clear why Wall Street is focusing more on the stock than the company's "disagreeable" story. The Power Gauge helps us see that. And in the end, it's important to remember... You can hate the story and still love the stock. That's the case with GEO today. Good investing, Marc Gerstein Market View Major Indexes and Notable Sectors # Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish Dow 30 -1.82% 10 15 5 S&P 500 -1.55% 135 275 90 Nasdaq -1.30% 32 50 19 Small Caps -1.60% 520 1016 356 Bonds +2.42% — According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks are somewhat Bullish. Major indexes are mixed. * * * * Top Movers Gainers [rating] JBHT +4.95% [rating] MRNA +3.32% [rating] STX +3.04% [rating] POOL +1.60% [rating] QCOM +1.46% Losers [rating] KHC -6.31% [rating] PNC -6.04% [rating] KMX -5.98% [rating] ZION -5.11% [rating] MKC -4.85% * * * * Earnings Report Reporting Today Rating Before Open After Close NTRS, TFC NFLX FITB, KEY, MTB, PG PPG CMA No earnings reporting today. Earnings Surprises [rating] JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. Q4 $1.92 Missed by $-0.52 [rating] PLD Prologis, Inc. Q4 $0.63 Beat by $0.09 [rating] KMI Kinder Morgan, Inc. Q4 $0.25 Missed by $-0.04 [rating] PNC The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. Q4 $3.49 Missed by $-0.47 [rating] SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation Q4 $1.07 Missed by $-0.02 * * * * Sector Tracker Sector movement over the last 5 days Energy +0.41% Information Technology +0.18% Discretionary -0.14% Communication -0.74% Real Estate -0.99% Materials -1.43% Financial -1.59% Health Care -1.74% Industrials -2.26% Staples -2.97% Utilities -3.55% * * * * Industry Focus Bank Services 21 68 9 Over the past 6 months, the Bank subsector (KBE) has outperformed the S&P 500 by +0.92%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Strong, with more Bullish than Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #9 of 21 subsectors and has moved down 3 slots over the past week. Top Stocks [rating] JXN Jackson Financial In [rating] NMIH NMI Holdings, Inc. [rating] AX Axos Financial, Inc. * * * * You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to PowerFeed. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from PowerFeed, [click here](. You’re receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call [+1 (877) 697-6783 (U.S.)](tel:18776976783), 9 a.m. - 5 p.m. Eastern time or e-mail info@chaikinanalytics.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2023 Chaikin Analytics, LLC. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Chaikin Analytics, LLC. 201 King Of Prussia Rd., Suite 650, Radnor, PA 19087. [www.chaikinanalytics.com.]( Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Chaikin Analytics, LLC, does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Chaikin Analytics forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Chaikin Analytics, LLC (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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