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This Rally Is Likely More Fragile Than You Think

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Mon, Nov 14, 2022 01:47 PM

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Another surge of optimism is underway in the markets... As I'm sure you know by now, the latest infl

Another surge of optimism is underway in the markets... As I'm sure you know by now, the latest inflation report came out last Thursday. And notably, the numbers came in a little bit better than the experts expected. [Chaikin PowerFeed]( [NOV. 15: Important Update From Marc Chaikin – Details Here ➤]( This Rally Is Likely More Fragile Than You Think By Marc Chaikin, founder, Chaikin Analytics Another surge of optimism is underway in the markets... As I'm sure you know by now, the latest inflation report came out last Thursday. And notably, the numbers came in a little bit better than the experts expected. Specifically, the Consumer Price Index ("CPI") experienced its smallest monthly increase since January. Unfortunately, the year-over-year increase in CPI was still more than 7%. In other words, inflation remains really high. It's still near its highest level since the 1980s. Despite that, another bear market rally is playing out. Thanks to the latest surge of optimism, stocks are moving higher again. The S&P 500 Index is up about 6% in two days. Some folks even believe the Federal Reserve will end its tightening cycle. Take a look... [Chaikin PowerFeed] Now, I'm not trying to be a curmudgeon. I'm glad people are feeling hopeful. After all, we've endured a brutal year as investors. Even with the recent two-day rally, the S&P 500 is still down roughly 17% this year. But the truth is, bursts of hope and optimism are normal during bear markets. And brief rallies like the one happening right now don't mean the pain is completely over. In fact, recent history shows us that these types of rallies can be incredibly fragile... Recommended Links: [AFTER every crash... buy this investment]( It only appears in the market once every 10 years or so. You could have doubled your money 63 times after the 2020 crash... 12 times after the 2008 crash... 12 times after the dot-com crash, and more. [Click here for details on tomorrow's special broadcast and receive a free recommendation](. [33x the Performance of the S&P!]( Lifetime cumulative returns as high as 3.5 million percent. Virtually recession-proof and inflation-proof. Everything you could dream of in an investment can be found in one extraordinary sector you've likely never considered. Find out EXACTLY where when Dr. David Eifrig, MD, MBA, makes the most important message of his life. [Click here for details](. It's amazing how quickly investors forget. The slightest bit of good news can send stocks soaring during a downturn. And that can happen even when major economic headwinds remain. With just a quick look at the S&P 500's chart, you can tell that we've taken this road before. Heck, we've already seen it twice in the current downturn. Take a look... [Chaikin PowerFeed] Starting in early March, the market rallied nearly 11%. But unfortunately, overly optimistic investors got burned again when the market's longer-term downturn resumed. Next, a major rally started in June. The S&P 500 soared more than 17% from its bottom. I think all of us hoped that would be the end of this bear market. But inflation persisted. And the Fed had little choice but to keep tightening its grip in response. Today, the market is up about 11% from its latest bottom. And as I said, another huge outpouring of investor optimism is underway. Folks are getting excited again. But that doesn't change the big picture... The war in Ukraine is still disrupting the oil and gas sector, as well as other global commodities. Serious inflation problems remain for much of the world. And Fortune 500 companies are in one of the deepest layoff cycles in decades. Will things get better eventually? Of course. We can still be realistic about what's happening, though... After the end of the housing crash, the market soared. It became one of the greatest asset booms in history. Today, we're facing a very different reality. The Fed is still battling high inflation. And interest rates are soaring in response. That's a major headwind for stocks. But importantly... that doesn't mean we've run out of opportunities. In fact, I believe 2023 could be the best year yet for a certain type of investor. It comes down to a specific type of investing vehicle. In roughly 24 hours, I'll explain all the details. I'd love for you to join us. It's free to attend. And just for tuning in, you'll get a free recommendation as well. [Save your spot right here](. For now, remember that bear market rallies are normal. And it's common to feel like "everything is getting better" right before the market turns lower yet again. More simply... it ain't over 'til it's over. Good investing, Marc Chaikin Market View Major Indexes and Notable Sectors # Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish Dow 30 +0.12% 10 19 1 S&P 500 +0.96% 155 266 78 Nasdaq +1.84% 33 48 19 Small Caps +0.82% 611 896 375 Bonds -0.37% Energy +2.98% 12 11 0 — According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Large Cap stocks and Small Cap stocks are Bullish.. Major indexes are mixed. * * * * Top Movers Gainers [rating] PARA +13.52% [rating] ALGN +11.45% [rating] VFC +11.39% [rating] EMBC +9.85% [rating] WBD +9.63% Losers [rating] NOC -7.32% [rating] HII -6.79% [rating] LHX -6.10% [rating] CI -6.04% [rating] ELV -5.85% * * * * Earnings Report Reporting Today Rating Before Open After Close ACM TSN, TWKS AZTA DNA No earnings reporting today. Earnings Surprises No significant Earnings Surprises in the Russell 3000. * * * * Sector Tracker Sector movement over the last 5 days Information Technology +10.04% Communication +9.41% Materials +7.73% Real Estate +7.05% Financial +5.81% Discretionary +5.52% Industrials +4.69% Staples +2.32% Energy +1.95% Health Care +1.75% Utilities +1.48% * * * * Industry Focus Aerospace & Defense Services 14 16 3 Over the past 6 months, the Aerospace & Defense subsector (XAR) has outperformed the S&P 500 by +7.02%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Very Strong, with more Bullish than Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #9 of 21 subsectors and has moved up 1 slot over the past week. Top Stocks [rating] VVX V2X, Inc. [rating] MOG.A Moog Inc. [rating] PSN Parsons Corporation * * * * You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to PowerFeed. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from PowerFeed, [click here](. You’re receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call [+1 (877) 697-6783 (U.S.)](tel:18776976783), 9 a.m. - 5 p.m. Eastern time or e-mail info@chaikinanalytics.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2022 Chaikin Analytics, LLC. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Chaikin Analytics, LLC. 201 King Of Prussia Rd., Suite 650, Radnor, PA 19087. [www.chaikinanalytics.com.]( Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Chaikin Analytics, LLC, does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Chaikin Analytics forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Chaikin Analytics, LLC (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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