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It's Bad Here in the U.S... But It's Worse in Europe

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Mon, Nov 7, 2022 01:47 PM

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If you've invested for long, you've likely heard of "home-country bias"... It's exactly as it sounds

If you've invested for long, you've likely heard of "home-country bias"... It's exactly as it sounds. It's the idea of only investing in stocks listed in your own country. [Chaikin PowerFeed]( It's Bad Here in the U.S... But It's Worse in Europe By Karina Kovalcik, senior quantitative analyst, Chaikin Analytics If you've invested for long, you've likely heard of "home-country bias"... It's exactly as it sounds. It's the idea of only investing in stocks listed in your own country. Here in the U.S., home-country bias is great most of the time. After all, our capital markets lead the world. And our stocks outperform global markets about 56% of the time. But that isn't always the case... Investment giant BlackRock recently researched 10-year rolling periods from 1971 to 2021. When U.S. stocks returned less than 6%, BlackRock found that international stocks outperformed 94% of the time. And when U.S. stocks returned less than 4%, international stocks outperformed every single time. Of course, U.S. stocks are down significantly in 2022. So with odds like that, I wouldn't be surprised if you headed straight to your broker to buy some international stocks. Not so fast... You see, that statistic comes with a big asterisk. Put simply, it's bad in the U.S. today. But it's worse in Europe. In fact, things are bleak in most of the rest of the world as well. Let's take a closer look... Recommended Links: [PLEASE STOP BUYING THE DIP!]( This is the worst year for buying the dip since 1931. Instead, you could make $1,000s a week right now by getting key information FASTER than the public on 6,000 different stocks. [See a demo here (87% success rate)](. [I Warned You: 0.75-Basis-Point Hike and the Next BIG Crash]( Dan Ferris recently came forward with a dire warning that a devastating market crash far greater than we've seen yet this year could already be underway... and that you needed to ignore any of the so-called "experts" hoping for a Fed "pivot" with a fourth-quarter rally. RIGHT NOW is the time to protect your financial life. And it couldn't be more urgent. [Click here for the full story... including Dan's exact gameplan](. First, political instability is a big deal right now... [Russia invaded Ukraine back in February](. That move amplified uncertainty around the world. And as we've seen, the European economy is taking the brunt of the storm... Before the invasion, Russia and Ukraine exported many goods across Europe. But now, they're not doing that (or they're charging much more to do so). It gets worse when we look at the energy markets in particular... According to the latest Eurostat data, energy costs in Europe are up more than 40% over the past year. It's much more expensive for Europeans to fill up their gas tanks, heat their homes through the fast-approaching winter, and just keep their lives running in general. In comparison, the latest numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics show that energy costs in the U.S. aren't up as much. They've risen roughly 20% over the past year. In other words... Europeans are dealing with an even bigger inflation problem than we are in the U.S. And even more alarming, this problem likely won't go away anytime soon. In September, the annual rate of consumer-price inflation in the eurozone was 9.9%. And when they were released Monday, the latest numbers for October shocked many analysts... Eurozone inflation came in at 10.7%. That was much higher than the experts expected. That's a huge problem for Europe's economy... As we know all too well in the U.S., the European Central Bank will need to keep raising interest rates if inflation keeps rising. And in general, rising rates are bad for stocks. Major media outlets and economic experts are beating the drum about a "likely recession" in the near future for Europe. And mountains of data support that conclusion. While some companies will survive the storm, it's best for American investors like us to avoid straying from home-country bias today. Stay away from European stocks for now. The picture isn't too pretty here in the U.S. But as we've seen, it's worse in Europe. Good investing, Karina Kovalcik Market View Major Indexes and Notable Sectors # Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish Dow 30 +1.35% 8 19 3 S&P 500 +1.45% 129 257 109 Nasdaq +1.61% 23 53 24 Small Caps +1.37% 531 889 453 Bonds -1.68% Materials +3.47% 3 15 10 — According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks remain somewhat Bullish. Major indexes are mixed. * * * * Top Movers Gainers [rating] FCX +11.50% [rating] EL +8.64% [rating] SBUX +8.48% [rating] NEM +8.47% [rating] TPR +8.06% Losers [rating] WBD -12.86% [rating] LYV -7.46% [rating] MOH -6.35% [rating] NOW -6.18% [rating] PAYC -6.17% * * * * Earnings Report Reporting Today Rating Before Open After Close NRG, VTRS FANG IFF, LNT, MOS NI ATVI, SEDG, TTWO, WELL No earnings reporting today. Earnings Surprises [rating] CAH Cardinal Health, Inc. Q1 $1.20 Beat by $0.23 [rating] AES The AES Corporation Q3 $0.63 Beat by $0.10 [rating] D Dominion Energy, Inc. Q3 $1.18 Beat by $0.10 [rating] WPC W. P. Carey Inc. Q3 $0.66 Beat by $0.04 [rating] DUK Duke Energy Corporation Q3 $1.78 Missed by $-0.07 * * * * Sector Tracker Sector movement over the last 5 days Energy +2.43% Materials +0.90% Industrials +0.48% Utilities -0.47% Financial -0.91% Health Care -1.52% Real Estate -1.71% Staples -1.80% Discretionary -5.15% Information Technology -6.63% Communication -6.75% * * * * Industry Focus Retail Services 15 50 32 Over the past 6 months, the Retail subsector (XRT) has underperformed the S&P 500 by -6.23%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Weak, with more Bearish than Bullish stocks. It is currently ranked #15 of 21 subsectors and has moved down 2 slots over the past week. Indicative Stocks [rating] WRBY Warby Parker Inc. [rating] GES Guess', Inc. [rating] ANF Abercrombie & Fitch * * * * You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to PowerFeed. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from PowerFeed, [click here](. You’re receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call [+1 (877) 697-6783 (U.S.)](tel:18776976783), 9 a.m. - 5 p.m. Eastern time or e-mail info@chaikinanalytics.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2022 Chaikin Analytics, LLC. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Chaikin Analytics, LLC. 201 King Of Prussia Rd., Suite 650, Radnor, PA 19087. [www.chaikinanalytics.com.]( Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Chaikin Analytics, LLC, does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Chaikin Analytics forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Chaikin Analytics, LLC (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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