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The Seven-Setting Traffic Light

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chaikinanalytics.com

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powerfeed@exct.chaikinanalytics.com

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Fri, Jun 10, 2022 12:48 PM

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Regular Chaikin PowerFeed readers know all about the Power Gauge... Chaikin Analytics founder Marc C

Regular Chaikin PowerFeed readers know all about the Power Gauge... Chaikin Analytics founder Marc Chaikin came out of retirement to build this powerful system. [Chaikin PowerFeed]( The Seven-Setting Traffic Light By Karina Kovalcik, senior quantitative analyst, Chaikin Analytics Regular Chaikin PowerFeed readers know all about the Power Gauge... Chaikin Analytics founder Marc Chaikin [came out of retirement to build this powerful system](. And he set out to help individual investors level the playing field with Wall Street. The Power Gauge uses 20 individual factors to analyze more than 4,000 stocks and exchange-traded funds. And it pulls all the data together to produce a single overall rating for each stock. The Power Gauge's overall rating spans seven distinct categories. It's sort of like a seven-setting traffic light... [Chaikin PowerFeed] Now, astute readers will notice that this graphic only includes five categories – not seven. That's because the "neutral" category is hiding two more options. They are "neutral+" and "neutral-." These two categories can confuse Power Gauge users. You see, they don't mean, "I don't know." Instead, they mean one of two things... For "neutral+" stocks, the system is telling us that it likes something. And for "neutral-" stocks, it's saying that it sees some bad stuff. And given what the Power Gauge's 20 factors reveal at the time, the stocks' prices aren't behaving as we might expect. That sounds simple enough. But it's important to know the "why" behind these ratings. They have big investment implications... Put simply, I love looking into "neutral+" stocks. And I know to avoid "neutral-" stocks. Today, I'll pull back the curtain on this part of the Power Gauge. We'll learn exactly why that's the case... Recommended Links: [Once-in-19-Years Event Could Slam U.S. Financial System]( The man who called the 2008 crisis says a problem that's been festering under the surface of American society for the last decade will take shape as a catastrophic financial event this year. The last time he issued a warning this big, the market went on to suffer its worst one-day drop ever at the time. [Click here to learn more](. [The 'Super Bubble' Is Finally Popping]( A powerful market bubble in America is setting up a collapse that could soon send the S&P 500 plunging 50% to 70%. And investors could be in for a decade (or more) of negative returns from here. You don't need a crystal ball. [You just need this plan](. In short, the Power Gauge wants to give "bullish" or better ratings to "neutral+" stocks. But it doesn't because these stocks are trading below their long-term moving averages. So instead, the Power Gauge assigns a "neutral+" rating. It's a call to attention... When a stock crosses below its long-term moving average, it can be a warning signal. These stocks are often headed for tougher times. But that isn't always the case... "Good stocks" can dip below their long-term moving averages as well. But once these "neutral+" stocks are there long enough, they tend to bounce back and continue to soar higher. That's why I love "neutral+" stocks. These stocks are already below their long-term moving averages. They're more likely to bounce back sooner. They offer great "hidden" opportunities. And our data from the Power Gauge backs that up... "Neutral+" stocks outperformed across every holding period last year. In fact, in some scenarios, they fared almost as well as "very bullish" stocks. And the opposite holds true for "neutral-" stocks... The Power Gauge wants to assign "bearish" ratings to "neutral-" stocks. However, their recent price action contradicts that rating... These stocks are actually trading above their long-term averages. But the Power Gauge is telling us that something isn't right with the company. So in the short term, I avoid "neutral-" stocks. They show signs of reverting down in the future. Here's a nasty example – health care equipment maker DexCom (DXCM)... [Chaikin PowerFeed] As you can see, the Power Gauge turned "neutral-" at the end of March... The stock earned that rating in the middle of a brief run higher. But importantly, beneath the surface, the Power Gauge still viewed DexCom as a "bearish" stock. Not surprisingly, DexCom turned lower again in April. And the stock continued its overall downtrend. It's down roughly 50% since its November 2021 peak, including around 38% after the "neutral-" tease earlier this year. That's why I avoid "neutral-" stocks. So if you're looking for opportunities in this volatile market, my advice is simple... Never stray into the land of "neutral-" stocks. But remember, "neutral+" stocks are nearly "bullish" or better. They've simply had a rough time in the markets in the short term. If you want to uncover a contrarian opportunity, start your research with these stocks. Personally, I love looking at "neutral+" stocks. You'll likely find some hidden winners, too. Good investing, Karina Kovalcik Market View Major Indexes and Notable Sectors # Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish Dow 30 -1.92% 5 21 4 S&P 500 -2.36% 62 330 105 Nasdaq -2.68% 7 66 26 Small Caps -2.33% 279 1093 515 Bonds +0.33% — According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks remain somewhat Bearish. Major indexes are mixed. * * * * Top Movers Gainers [rating] NXPI +4.04% [rating] POOL +2.34% [rating] DG +1.70% [rating] TSCO +1.66% [rating] MHK +1.00% Losers [rating] MRNA -9.76% [rating] CCL -9.28% [rating] NCLH -9.18% [rating] RCL -8.28% [rating] WBD -6.24% * * * * Earnings Report Reporting Today Rating Before Open After Close HRB No earnings reporting today. Earnings Surprises [rating] DOCU DocuSign, Inc. Q1 $0.38 Missed by $-0.08 [rating] SIG Signet Jewelers Limited Q1 $2.86 Beat by $0.48 [rating] MTN Vail Resorts, Inc. Q3 $9.16 Beat by $0.15 * * * * Sector Tracker Sector movement over the last 5 days Energy +2.15% Industrials -2.42% Health Care -2.91% Staples -3.14% Materials -3.75% Utilities -3.77% Communication -4.27% Discretionary -4.53% Financial -4.61% Information Technology -4.94% Real Estate -5.02% * * * * Industry Focus Software & Services 18 94 71 Over the past 6 months, the Software & Services subsector (XSW) has underperformed the S&P 500 by -13.25%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Very Weak, with more Bearish than Bullish stocks. It is currently ranked #11 of 21 subsectors. Indicative Stocks [rating] COUP Coupa Software Incor [rating] DOCU DocuSign, Inc. [rating] PLTR Palantir Technologie * * * * You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to PowerFeed. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from PowerFeed, [click here](. You’re receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call [+1 (877) 697-6783 (U.S.)](tel:18776976783), 9 a.m. - 5 p.m. Eastern time or e-mail info@chaikinanalytics.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2022 Chaikin Analytics, LLC. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Chaikin Analytics, LLC. 201 King Of Prussia Rd., Suite 650, Radnor, PA 19087. [www.chaikinanalytics.com.]( Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Chaikin Analytics, LLC, does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Chaikin Analytics forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Chaikin Analytics, LLC (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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