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Here's What the Power Gauge Sees Ahead for Energy

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chaikinanalytics.com

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Tue, Jun 4, 2024 12:47 PM

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You might have seen it in the financial media this past weekend... Oil cartel OPEC and its allied co

You might have seen it in the financial media this past weekend... Oil cartel OPEC and its allied countries just made a major decision about their oil production. [Chaikin PowerFeed]( Here's What the Power Gauge Sees Ahead for Energy By Vic Lederman, editorial director, Chaikin Analytics You might have seen it in the financial media this past weekend... Oil cartel OPEC and its allied countries just made a major decision about their oil production. OPEC itself accounts for roughly nearly 50% of global oil exports. Its member countries hold roughly 80% of the world's proven oil reserves. The oil cartel formed the extended OPEC+ coalition in 2016. The expanded group includes nations like Russia, Mexico, and Malaysia. And since late 2022, OPEC+ has made some deep production cuts. The group has been cutting output by nearly 5.9 million barrels per day. That's nearly 6% of global demand for oil. These cuts were set to expire this year. But on Sunday, OPEC+ agreed to maintain the bulk of the cuts into 2025. Put simply, this production-cut agreement is about as serious as it gets. It's a big development for the energy sector as OPEC+ tries to keep oil prices high. So today, let's look at the sector through the lens of the Power Gauge. We'll see where energy stocks fall in our system's ratings. And we'll look at the energy sector's current trend and Power Gauge rating to see what could be ahead for this corner of the market Recommended Links: [Doc Eifrig: "I'm Staking My ENTIRE Reputation on This"]( Dr. David "Doc" Eifrig has successfully navigated every crisis you can imagine in 40 years as a financial pro: The 1987 "Black Monday" crash... the dot-com bust... the Financial Crisis... and the COVID panic. But he says THIS coming event will top them all. And he's sharing the most important new work of his life. For a short time only, [get the full story here along with a special gift from Doc](. [Urgent Alert: "This Could be Worth 20 Times More Than Nvidia"]( Whitney Tilson has nailed many of the most famous stocks of the last 25 years – including Netflix, Amazon, and Apple. Now he's pounding the table on a new technology rolling out across America, which early estimates say could create more wealth than AI, the personal computer, and the smartphone combined. [Click here to see how it could become the No. 1 investment of the next decade](. If you haven't noticed, energy stocks are having a bit of a rough run... In the Power Gauge, we measure the sector using the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE). This exchange-traded fund ("ETF") holds huge energy names like ExxonMobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and Phillips 66 (PSX). XLE was surging earlier this year. But it peaked on April 5. And since then, the ETF is down about 7%. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 Index is up about 1% over that same time frame. Not surprisingly, the Power Gauge currently gives XLE a "bearish" rating. But it's more than just the price action that determines the rating... The below screenshot from our system shows XLE's Power Bar. It consolidates the ratings behind every rated stock in the fund. And it displays them in an easy-to-read graphic. As you can see, XLE currently has four holdings in "bullish" or better territory. It also has three stocks rated "bearish" or worse. Meanwhile, the remaining 15 holdings are stuck in "neutral" territory. Take a look... [Chaikin PowerFeed] With most of the holdings having "neutral" ratings, that means there's a lot of opportunity for movement. Those "neutral" holdings could move into "bullish" or "bearish" ratings. And considering the OPEC+ decision on extending production cuts, you might think it could be time to load up on energy stocks. Well, I wouldn't quite yet... Let's look at a one-year chart of XLE with some data from the Power Gauge. Specifically, the first panel under the chart below shows XLE's relative strength versus the S&P 500. As you can see, XLE has been underperforming the broad market. And the fund's relative strength versus the market has been getting worse in recent weeks. Take a look... [Chaikin PowerFeed] Taken all together, it still looks early to rush out for energy stocks. The sector ETF currently holds a "bearish" rating from the Power Gauge. Only four of its stocks earn a "bullish" or better rating right now. And the fund has been underperforming the broad market. Fortunately, the Power Gauge makes this easy to see concisely. And using it, we can watch closely for a turnaround that's more than just a headline. I'll be using the Power Gauge to keep an eye on XLE. And I recommend you do the same. Good investing, Vic Lederman Market View Major Indexes and Notable Sectors # Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish Dow 30 -0.33% 6 17 7 S&P 500 +0.08% 117 302 78 Nasdaq +0.54% 22 54 24 Small Caps -0.54% 468 1049 378 Bonds +1.62% — According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks remain somewhat Bullish. Major indexes are mixed. * * * * Sector Tracker Sector movement over the last 5 days Real Estate +1.47% Communication +0.77% Utilities +0.55% Staples +0.27% Health Care +0.2% Discretionary +0.2% Materials -0.4% Financial -0.55% Energy -0.69% Industrials -1.98% Information Technology -2.09% * * * * Industry Focus Biotech Services 36 77 17 Over the past 6 months, the Biotech subsector (XBI) has outperformed the S&P 500 by +2.47%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Strong, with more Bullish than Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #7 of 21 subsectors and has moved up 3 slots over the past week. Top Stocks [rating] UTHR United Therapeutics [rating] TWST Twist Bioscience Cor [rating] MYGN Myriad Genetics, Inc * * * * Top Movers Gainers [rating] PARA +7.47% [rating] CCL +6.17% [rating] NVDA +4.9% [rating] ADSK +4.57% [rating] BA +3.92% Losers [rating] TSCO -6.21% [rating] VST -5.88% [rating] BLDR -5.39% [rating] HAL -5.34% [rating] URI -4.77% * * * * Earnings Report Reporting Today Rating Before Open After Close No earnings reporting today. Earnings Surprises * * * * You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to PowerFeed. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from PowerFeed, [click here](. You’re receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call [+1 (877) 697-6783 (U.S.)](tel:18776976783), 9 a.m. - 5 p.m. Eastern time or e-mail info@chaikinanalytics.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2024 Chaikin Analytics, LLC. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Chaikin Analytics, LLC. 201 King Of Prussia Rd., Suite 650, Radnor, PA 19087. [www.chaikinanalytics.com.]( Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Chaikin Analytics, LLC, does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Chaikin Analytics forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Chaikin Analytics, LLC (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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